Mak's BIG Fundamental Friday

Question

Sup fellas.  It&#x27;s a recipe for disaster playing too many games on one night in my opinion. I have yet to surpass 4 ats plays on one night this season, until today, biggest card of the season, #feartheslaughter.  I am just liking way too many games, I tried hard to get it down to a max of 4, but was unable to. Believe it or not, I had two other games I wanted to play but worked them off of the card.  TNT Thursday was my 2nd flawless victory of the week and 4th on the season, still off my mark of 8 at this point last year and 11 flawless victories at this point in 2011-2012.  No complaints, slowly but surely getting there, but progress could easily be demolished in one night, that&#x27;s the NBA grind.  Went 4-0 on Thursday (SW = 2-0, PP = 1-0, 2H = 1-0, OT = 0-0) for a 4.75 unit gain. Will be back close to 7:30pm EST for some prop plays.  As always gents, I wish you all the best of luck with your wagers, peace - - - MAK -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Mak&#x27;s 2014/2015 NBA Season InvestmentsSW = 121-111 (&#x2B;15.50)PP = 129-78 (&#x2B;34.50)2H = 36-20 (&#x2B;11.75)OT = 3-5 (-1.00)YTD = 289-215 (&#x2B;59.25)Juice Approximation AveragesSW = 11.45%PP = 12.25%2H = 10.30%-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

makaveli23 · Answer

Sup fellas.  It&#x27;s a recipe for disaster playing too many games on one night in my opinion. I have yet to surpass 4 ats plays on one night this season, until today, biggest card of the season, #feartheslaughter.  I am just liking way too many games, I tried hard to get it down to a max of 4, but was unable to. Believe it or not, I had two other games I wanted to play but worked them off of the card.  TNT Thursday was my 2nd flawless victory of the week and 4th on the season, still off my mark of 8 at this point last year and 11 flawless victories at this point in 2011-2012.  No complaints, slowly but surely getting there, but progress could easily be demolished in one night, that&#x27;s the NBA grind.  Went 4-0 on Thursday (SW = 2-0, PP = 1-0, 2H = 1-0, OT = 0-0) for a 4.75 unit gain. Will be back close to 7:30pm EST for some prop plays.  As always gents, I wish you all the best of luck with your wagers, peace - - - MAK -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Mak&#x27;s 2014/2015 NBA Season InvestmentsSW = 121-111 (&#x2B;15.50)PP = 129-78 (&#x2B;34.50)2H = 36-20 (&#x2B;11.75)OT = 3-5 (-1.00)YTD = 289-215 (&#x2B;59.25)Juice Approximation AveragesSW = 11.45%PP = 12.25%2H = 10.30%-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

makaveli23 · Answer

Tonight the legend of big hand returns to the Spurs lineup, he has been sorely missed. My hope is that he is not on a minutes restriction, but even his presence for a 25 minutes can make a huge difference. Basically the Spurs are at full strength except for Marco and Baynes. I hope that Joseph and Mills can continue playing together with Cory sliding over to the 2 guard spot. At 6'4 he can handle it but he will have to go against Wes if he does play tonight. The way I see it, the Spurs can matchup with the Blazers starters fairly well. Timmy vs Big L is a wicked matchup, Tony back, will play his first game vs D Lil this season, Danny Green caused Wes fits and his defence on him will will be key tonight. Batum continues to struggle with his shot and Kawhi will not make things any easier for the frenchman. The bench for the Champs is far superior in every aspect. San An's bench ranks 3rd in the NBA in points and defensive efficiency while the Blazers rank 26th in the league. It is now time for the champs to step up and prove all you doubters wrong. This team is still a legit threat to go back to back. With age comes wisdom, experience and pride. Tonight the champs exact sweet revenge from the overtime thriller. In the illustrious words of Rudy Tomjonovich, "Never underestimate the heart of a champion".

I was expecting the Griz/Magic line to be close to 8.5. When I saw 6, I jumped on it like a giddy schoolgirl. I love the Magic, I think once Tobias comes back, Aaron Gordon (who is active now) and if Vaughn continues to run a 10 man rotation, the Magic can really surprise a lot of teams. They key to their 2 game winnign streak has been Oladipo and Vucevic. They have taken over and shown that they are ready to be star players. But tonight, they will face two of the best individual defenders at their positions in the NBA. Lee will not guard Victor, instead he will slide over and guard Marble who will start at SF for the injured Tobias. Victor will have to go against Tony Allen. Allen will be an irritant all game long. Marc Gasol is the most underrated 5 man defender in the NBA, he is so good on screen and roll coverages and does not allow big men to get anything easy in the paint which is where Nikola lives. These two defenders are key to an easy cover tonight. Jeff Green has a practice in with his new team and I like him coming off the bench as a 6th man, he will do just fine in this system. Along with Vince, Beno, Koufos and now Calethes, the Griz bench is very underrated on both ends of the floor. Memphis ranks 1st in the NBA in points in the paint and the Magic cannot defend inside, they do not have any rim protectors, Frye is soft (and starting now), he will get owned by Zach who is on a tear since his return from injury. The Griz rank 6th in the NBA at shooting % and the Magic rank 23rd in the NBA at defending, I just do not see how the Griz drop this game if Oladipo and Nikola do not tear up the floor which I just do not see them doing tonight against Allen and Gasol. I'll take Griz by two possessions over a an Eastern opponent who is out of the playoffs any day, all day, every day.

The Bulls are just lost right now, tonight they will be without their defensive catalyst down low and Noah will not suit up. Gasol will move to the 5 spot with Gibson starting at the 4. Zeller and Sully will struggle to keep up with the more agile, longer, taller and stronger big men. Snell is doing an admiral job starting in place of Mike Dunleavy but his inability to hit that long ball causes problems when it comes to spacing the floor. He is actually a very long 6'7 forward, but will give up about 40 pounds to Crowder who should take advantage of him on the block. Rose coming off his best game of the season, albeit a loss, should have the confidence to duplicate that performance but will have to do it against an outstanding defender in Bradley. Butler really seems as though he is tired. He is number 1 in the league in minutes played and Thibs had ridden him to hard, I do think he gets it going tonight and the Bulls desperately need him to score and defend as he had been doing all season. The bench of the Celts can contend with the Bulls, but Brooks, Mirotic and Kirk will have to score the basketball for the Bulls to have any chance at a cover. If Thibs plays a hard 8 man rotation, rides half court possessions for Gasol, Butler and Rose only, if Taj rebounds and defends, the Bulls should narrowly cover this game and get things back on track at the Garden of basketball Eden.

The Mavs have no chance at winning the division and I have bet heavily on that in future bets. They have no bench, but their no names actually played solid against the Nugs in Denver and that confidence should carry over. I suspect some new rotations for Charlise tonight. Look for Powell to take some time away from Smith and Charlie V as the big man off the bench. Harris and J.J will be the 1 and 2 off the bench with RJ and I hope Aminu playing the 3 and 4. The Manimal is back and better than ever, but at 6'8, has no chance at stopping the 7 ft German future hall of famer. Tyson, rested and ready, will show the rook Nurkic what a real 5 man vet can do. Ellis, after a dismal 1-11 shooting night, and after being benched in the 4th, may come out with some gusto, but Afflalo is as good as it gets on defence and should lock him up. Rondo will end up guarding Aaron with Ellis shifting over to guard the lightning quick Ty Lawson. Look for Jameer Nelson to play well in his Nugs debut vs his old team, Lawson and Nelson will be seen together on the court when Harris and J.J are on the floor. The Nugs bench is still suspect. Any team with a resemblance of a bench can beat the Mavs and I will be fading them often against deep teams, but tonight the line says it all, this is a game where the Mavs can really dictate the flow of the game and the matchups favour them in almost every aspect.

makaveli23 · Answer

The Cavs played a very good game from start to finish against the Lake Show, it was a close cover only because of the brilliant ball movement of Kobe, and the slick shot making of Jordan Hill. Lakers played a great game and the Cavs still managed to pull it out. Kevin Love gained a lot of respect last night, ailing bask spasms and he refused to stop playing, even taking a big charge in the 4th quarter. Reggie Miller said those were the type of plays that could change a season and I tend to agree. Blatt knows he needs to run a tight 8 man rotation because...well...his team sucks. Only Marion, Thompson adn Dellavedova deserve time off the bench. James Jones and Mike Miller do not. That is how it should be. Tonight it will be difficult on a back-to-back. But 8.5 points is a bit too much here for a team that is practically 6 deep. Irving and Paul can battle to a stalemate. Reddick will run Smith until he can't feel his legs any more and my hope is that Dova gets more time at the two and guards J.J. Barnes is a great defender, but Lebron looks to be at another level right now, just straight up ballin with back-to-back 30+ point nights. Love, if he can get his spasms in check, should battle Griffin and has always played him well, although tonight I see Blake getting the better of him. It's up to Mozgov to try and limit Jordan's offensive output, Jordan is at a ridiculous 72% clip from the field, Mozgov has to use that size of his to match Jordan. The bench for the Clippers....who am I kidding, Crawford is the 2nd unit, he could easily outscore the 3 bench players for Cleveland and most likely will. But if Blatt runs his starter ragged (which he has to), Cavs could keep this one close.

It is very very difficult for an NBA team to complete a 4 game season series sweep against a team. I am 11-1-1 on wagers involving the Golden State Warriors this season and that 1 loss...you guessed it, was going against them. I don't do it often, but this 4 in 5 night stretch is the only time I see myself fading the Dubs. I've always thought that OKC matches up well with the Dubs, I really think that game where Durant had 30 in the half and got injured on the final drive of the half was one game that OKC could have won. Right now the Thunder are lacking the cohesiveness and confidence needed to go against top tier Western teams. But tonight, I see them really putting it all together. The back-to-back really does not scare me, the Thunder had ample time to rest, multiple days off. Sometimes after a long layoff, you can come out flat in basketball, that is exactly what happened in the first quarter against Houston. The Thunder got their legs under them, and then went on to beat them for the next 3 quarters. I see them at home, off multiple losses, still out of a playoff spot, ready to really lay it all on the line. This is strictly a physiological wager on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Yes I like this team a lot, but if they cannot get it together in the next few games, I may just lay off until they show some pride and get it going.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS - 4.0 (-113) - - - 4.5 UNITS

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES - 5.5 (-113) - - - 4.0 UNITS

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER + 2.5 (-105) - - - 3.0 UNITS

CHICAGO BULLS - 4.5 (-113) - - - 2.5 UNITS

DALLAS MAVERICKS - 7.5 (-113) - - - 2.0 UNITS

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS + 8.5 (-105) - - - 2.0 UNITS

ML PARLAY MAVS, SPURS, GRIZ (+171) - - - 1.0 UNITS

LuckyBowl95 · Answer

trailblazers&#x2B;4.5

krissucool · Answer

Like your picks man but what do you think about Conley being questionable today? With him not playing it could get a lot harder for the Grizz cause they really don&#x27;t have a good backup PG on the bench.

makaveli23 · Answer

Thanks for that outstanding analysis you idiotic jacka*s.

makaveli23 · Answer

Hey Kris, thanks for the post.  I actually disagree, they have two very capable backup point guards on the bench.  Beno Udrih is as good on the offensive end of the floor as Conley, just not even close on the defensive side.  Then you have Nick Calethas, a 6&#x27;6 PG with a lot of skill.  I still think they can pull off a cover, just as long as Tony Allen and Marc Gasol play, I am comfortable at two possessions, but if I were to put my money on it, Conley plays, he is an iron man, he plays through a lot of injuries.  Good luck bud.

makaveli23 · Answer

ADDED WAGERBogut and Iggy out, I&#x27;ll add a unit.OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER &#x2B; 1.5 (-105) - - - 1.0 UNITS

krissucool · Answer

Thanks man, good luck to you too. I also liked the line at start the for the same reason as you. Vucevic and Oladipo only players scoring for Orlando and with Tony Allen and Marc Gasol guarding them it is gonna be tough for Orlando. What makes me a little nervous apart from the Conley injury is the lookahead factor for the Grizzlies, playing against Portland tomorrow. Still leaning strong for them but have to consider it some more.

insatiable · Answer

Good luck buddy

makaveli23 · Answer

Yea the first of a back-to-back is a bit concerning, but I hate the term look ahead.  Teams do not look past any opponents.  All it means is that the bench will get a bit more run then usual.  And with guy like Green, a serviceable big like Koufus and solid guards, I still think Memphis can pull off a cover.  Here&#x27;s hoping buddy.  Good luck with all your plays KC, stay hot buddy.

makaveli23 · Answer

Insatiable, long time bro.  Always good to hear from you, best of luck on your wagers tonight, thanks for your post.

makaveli23 · Answer

Guys, some business just came up, gotta fly out in a few hours, will not be returning to post any props or 2nd half wagers. I wish you all the best of luck on your wagers tonight. See you all tomorrow. Peace out - - - MAK

tonydan · Answer

Mak,with all due respect,there are way too many "if&#x27;s" with the Bulls.I just can&#x27;t understand what all the love is about for this team.I really think they are not that good IMHO.I know Boston is going thru changes and the Bulls may very well cover that spread but at the present time this is not a team I will risk my hard earned money on.Will be on Spurs,Mavs and Grizz tonight.Best of luck brother.

nygianthead · Answer

MAK love your SA pick, I wrote almost the exact same right up on them lol, Let&#x27;s get this money !! I&#x27;m taking the Champs BIG !!!BOL

tonydan · Answer

kudos to you Mak,i hate flying and it is the only thing I fear in life.I love vacationing and travelling but this fear of flying is really hard for me to overcome.Have a safe trip Mak

DAB12AC · Answer

Mak,This is the first time in my brief covers career that my card matched yours this closely - I had all your plays with the exception of the ML parlay which I generally avoid.Needless to say, I feel better about all the plays now. Good luck tonight and thanks for the analysis.

TailDaWinner · Answer

$$$ good luck mak. Keep out classy as always

kaponofor3 · Answer

Thanks for the thoughts Mak -- same side on CHI but I&#x27;m the other way on POR, which bodes well for you!

SPark1 · Answer

Best of luck mak. Any thoughts on Wizards tonight?

GeneCam27 · Answer

I like your whole card tonight......Might make the Mavs my biggest play possibly tonight. I disagree on one thing..... i think they can win the division lol.

EducatedCheese · Answer

GL

911TruthNow · Answer

Looking great! Congrats You stayed off all the land mines... Good teams, good picks...

911TruthNow · Answer

It is early, but...

Mak's BIG Fundamental Friday

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