Memphis@Toronto.....

Another game with 2 teams that are evenly matched.....And the Raptors are only a -1.0 Point Favorite tonight.....

Toronto is 36-27 Overall and 19-12 at Home, while Memphis is 38-26 Overall and 18-12 on the Road.....Very evenly matched but Toronto did beat Memphis on December 6/2013 in Memphis by a score of 106-97 as a 6 Point Dog.....So why is Toronto only a -1.0 Point Favorite.....

I believe Toronto should have Opened as a -4.0 Point Favorite tonight.....Once again, I think Oddsmakers opened this Line a little short, in order to lure Raptor money.....A 19-12 Home Record, having beaten Memphis in Memphis earlier this season and winning 8 games in a row at Home and 9 of the past 10 in Toronto.....All the makings of a setup.....

I did a little more digging and found that the Raptors only 9-10 ATS at Home following a win.....9-11 S/U after allowing Under 90 Points in their previous game.....Only 3-5 ATS as 1 to 2.5 Point Favorites this season.....And 3-7 ATS at Home versus Teams with an Above .500 Record.....Not too good.....

The Raptors also have a Revenge Game on deck versus the Suns.....A team they lost to this season by a score of 106-97.....

Lastly.....System Play.....67% Winning Percentage.....States to go for a Road Dog of less than 4 points, if the Dog has won 5 or less Road games in their last 10 attempts and the Favorite has won 8 or more Home games in their last 10 attempts.....

Memphis gets the job done tonight.....

Memphis +1.0.....

Good Luck.....

Sorry Guys.....I put a lot of time and effort into these picks and write-ups.....You win some and you lose some.....But with idiots like this Ay-Yo guy.....

I won't be posting my picks here for a while.....

Good Luck Guys.....