okay icegun, you're right its completely unacceptable to get a little insight on someone's post and then jump on a pick. do tell us more about your professional capping process.
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okay icegun, you're right its completely unacceptable to get a little insight on someone's post and then jump on a pick. do tell us more about your professional capping process.
All watching does is make you think you have an advantage. You see things in one game and think they will translate into the next. Watching simply helps you know how the boxscore came to be....it doesnt help you pick the next game.
I still don't buy this, Train. Let me give you a concrete example and you tell me if watching doesn't help. The NFC playoffs: I watched all the Niners games closely. Kap threw at least 5 balls that should have been picked off by GB and Carolina. Those throws never showed up in the box score. I went on this forum and said (several times) that if Kap makes those throws against the Seattle D he will get picked off and he did. Had I not watched those games I would not have known that. I'm sure people have many, many more examples. That's just one.
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
All watching does is make you think you have an advantage. You see things in one game and think they will translate into the next. Watching simply helps you know how the boxscore came to be....it doesnt help you pick the next game.
I still don't buy this, Train. Let me give you a concrete example and you tell me if watching doesn't help. The NFC playoffs: I watched all the Niners games closely. Kap threw at least 5 balls that should have been picked off by GB and Carolina. Those throws never showed up in the box score. I went on this forum and said (several times) that if Kap makes those throws against the Seattle D he will get picked off and he did. Had I not watched those games I would not have known that. I'm sure people have many, many more examples. That's just one.
Could have easily gone the other way. Mavs were terrible in the 4th and the Nuggets blew it late. Tomorrow's a new day. Looking forward to your picks, LC..
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Could have easily gone the other way. Mavs were terrible in the 4th and the Nuggets blew it late. Tomorrow's a new day. Looking forward to your picks, LC..
okay icegun, you're right its completely unacceptable to get a little insight on someone's post and then jump on a pick. do tell us more about your professional capping process.
I throw darts n hit 85% how's ur system working?
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Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:
okay icegun, you're right its completely unacceptable to get a little insight on someone's post and then jump on a pick. do tell us more about your professional capping process.
The heat are pretty simple to figure out when on the road regardless of who they play. No need to try to cap their game. When the heat close at -3 or less on the road, or are a rare underdog you take them (maybe one loss in this situation all year). When books put heat at those short lines road lines it's almost a reverse trap. Makes you like the heat when you look at the line off the start, but then you think about it for a minute you have all these thoughts in your head. Why are they such a short fav? Dallas is good at home. The books are begging you to take the heat the public is pounding them! And that line in turn makes you take/like Dallas. When the heat close from -3.5 -6 on the road you automatically bet against them no matter who they play. They have lost the majority of their road games right in this range this season, and if you faded via the spread or ML here you woulda cashed BIG! Finally, when the heat are favored 6.5 or more on the road you bet them no matter who they play. I think they only had like 2 or 3 losses in this situation all season. Take it for what it is but it works. Yes some may say it's a stupid way to bet the heat road games but it works. Worked last two years and Is working this year. The first -3 or less situation makes smart bettors think too much and they play againat the heat it's a reverse trap, the 3.5 to 6 range against decent teams (nets, wizards, sac, etc.) forces you right on the heat as the line is not too short to sway you off them but inticing enough to make you want to bet them as it looks like an easy cover. Good luck with the heat the rest of the year. They will be a dog at Okc tomorrow night and please bet heat. Don't be stupid and get fooled into not betting them cause they are a dog which will make you think "Vegas wants you to bet the heat as a dog"!
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The heat are pretty simple to figure out when on the road regardless of who they play. No need to try to cap their game. When the heat close at -3 or less on the road, or are a rare underdog you take them (maybe one loss in this situation all year). When books put heat at those short lines road lines it's almost a reverse trap. Makes you like the heat when you look at the line off the start, but then you think about it for a minute you have all these thoughts in your head. Why are they such a short fav? Dallas is good at home. The books are begging you to take the heat the public is pounding them! And that line in turn makes you take/like Dallas. When the heat close from -3.5 -6 on the road you automatically bet against them no matter who they play. They have lost the majority of their road games right in this range this season, and if you faded via the spread or ML here you woulda cashed BIG! Finally, when the heat are favored 6.5 or more on the road you bet them no matter who they play. I think they only had like 2 or 3 losses in this situation all season. Take it for what it is but it works. Yes some may say it's a stupid way to bet the heat road games but it works. Worked last two years and Is working this year. The first -3 or less situation makes smart bettors think too much and they play againat the heat it's a reverse trap, the 3.5 to 6 range against decent teams (nets, wizards, sac, etc.) forces you right on the heat as the line is not too short to sway you off them but inticing enough to make you want to bet them as it looks like an easy cover. Good luck with the heat the rest of the year. They will be a dog at Okc tomorrow night and please bet heat. Don't be stupid and get fooled into not betting them cause they are a dog which will make you think "Vegas wants you to bet the heat as a dog"!
Glad I could help, I have thought about starting a MAVS thread but its a lot of work cause the WIZ and IND threads have been very informative, people don't realize how much more info a local has on their team. I mean I look at MAVS games every night they play and If I miss one its all over sports radio the next day(only listen sports radio) I look at covers and see injuries but as a local I know those questionables are actually playing that night
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Quote Originally Posted by Overlander:
I'm happy i saw your post.
Glad I could help, I have thought about starting a MAVS thread but its a lot of work cause the WIZ and IND threads have been very informative, people don't realize how much more info a local has on their team. I mean I look at MAVS games every night they play and If I miss one its all over sports radio the next day(only listen sports radio) I look at covers and see injuries but as a local I know those questionables are actually playing that night
Look people...I for one have made $$$ on LC's picks. I couldn't have done better capping myself. This brother has a unique capping style....it's insane!!! Keep up the good work bro!!! Mad respects for making me and many others $$$.
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Look people...I for one have made $$$ on LC's picks. I couldn't have done better capping myself. This brother has a unique capping style....it's insane!!! Keep up the good work bro!!! Mad respects for making me and many others $$$.
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