Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors
Road teams playing revenge for a same-season home loss where they lost the spread by more than 10 (blown out at home if you will) have been absolutely money over the years. Teams in this situation are 40-16 ATS (71.4%) just this season. The Heat are also 22-3 SU playing with no rest since 2012 and 11-0 ATS playing on the road against a team that covered by more than 10 against them earlier in the year.
The Warriors meanwhile, will be playing this game as a favorite off a blowout home win, a situation that has resulted in a 33% cover rate over the past 2 years.
This line scares me a bit, no idea why the Heat are underdogs here in a revenge game, i've been trying to figure it out all day but can't come up with anything. Wade being out doesn't account for that much. I might be a fool here biting on this line but I'll take a shot for a small amount.
- Heat +105 (2x)
Hot Forum Topics
