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Miami_Money *Sat... Over&Under Talk...

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Posted: #1
Guys ,
 
I was out of town for the past few days. Back today to get some positive cash flow our way.
 
What do we think about the Bulls under 209.5 ?
 
 
 
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Posted: #2
   Indiana NBA
Average		 Chicago
  Offense Defense   Offense Defense

Points
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter

 103.7
26.9
27.1
24.2
24.7		 105.6
26.5
26.2
26.2
25.6		 99.8
25.0
24.9
24.6
24.6		 101.4
24.0
25.8
24.6
25.8		 102.1
25.1
25.6
25.3
24.7
Avg Margin -1.9      -0.7
FG%
FGM
FGA		 45.0
38.6
85.9		 45.6
38.0
83.3		 45.8
37.1
80.8		 45.4
37.8
83.3		 45.5
38.0
83.6
3P%
3PM
3PA		 37.4
7.9
21.2		 37.5
7.1
18.9		 36.7
6.6
18.1		 38.1
6.0
15.7		 33.9
5.8
17.2
FT%
FTM
FTA		 80.5
18.5
23.0		 75.9
22.5
29.6		 77.2
19.1
24.7		 79.2
19.9
25.1		 79.2
20.2
25.6
Rebounds
Offensive
Defensive		 43.5
11.2
32.3		 44.3
11.1
33.2		 41.3
11.0
30.2		 42.6
12.1
30.5		 42.7
12.4
30.3
Assist : TO
Assists
TO
Points off TO		 1.52
21.7
14.2
0.0		 1.53
20.9
13.6
0.0		 1.55
21.0
13.6
0.0		 1.46
20.9
14.3
0.0		 1.51
20.6
13.7
0.0
Starter Points
% points
% minutes
Starting 5 avg min.		 75.2
72.5
66.5
32.2		 75.5
71.5
68.5
32.5		 70.7
70.8
67.0
31.8		 69.6
68.7
66.6
31.7		 73.1
71.6
67.2
32.0
Bench Points
% points
% minutes		 28.5
27.5
33.5
 30.1
28.5
31.5
 29.2
29.2
33.0
 31.8
31.3
33.4
 29.0
28.4
32.8
Steals 6.9 7.7 7.3 7.4 7.7
% 3PA to FGA 24.6% 22.7% 22.4% 18.8% 20.5%
Blocks 5.3 5.5 4.8 5.5 5.6


 
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Posted: #3
vs. the Total
Team        
  < 170 170-174.5 175-179.5 180-184.5
IND 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
CHI 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
  185-189.5 190-194.5 195-199.5 200+
IND 2-0 1-2 4-3 30-28
CHI 6-1 3-4 11-8 19-19
 
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Posted: #4
Hi MIAMI_MONEY

I feel the under at this game. I see both scoring ~100 points, but not the total of 209.
 
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Posted: #5
At a first glance we can imagine a high scoring game, but trends differ at this value in 209.5. Last 2 match-ups show an average of 192 + 8 point cusion for garbage shots, fouls leaves me at a 200.
 
I see this game with an inconsistent tempo up/down thru out ultimately this game looks, feels like an under...
 
Throw your 2 cents in fellas...
 
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Posted: #6
[Quote: Originally Posted by Crockie] Hi MIAMI_MONEY

I feel the under at this game. I see both scoring ~100 points, but not the total of 209.
 
 
Crockie- Hope all is well buddy. I'm with you.
 
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Posted: #7
                         Los Bulls / Los Pacers
 
Shooting    3pt shots Free Throws Rebounds  
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FGM-A Pct FGM-A Pct FTM-A Pct Tot. OFF TO
02/22/2009 CHICAGO 91 -1 Under 51 34-79 43.0% 6-15 40.0% 17-25 68.0% 57 10 14
  INDIANA 98 216.5 SU ATS 52 36-90 40.0% 8-15 53.3% 18-23 78.3% 55 17 10
11/15/2008 INDIANA 91 202.5 Under 47 35-94 37.2% 4-16 25.0% 17-21 81.0% 68 17 19
  CHICAGO 104 -5.5 SU ATS 55 37-93 39.8% 5-15 33.3% 25-27 92.6% 53 8 9
 
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Posted: #8
What do you think about the under Memphis/Portland and New York/Charlotte?
 
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Posted: #9
LETS START THE CELEBRATION AT

4PM ET
 
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Posted: #10
[Quote: Originally Posted by Crockie] What do you think about the under Memphis/Portland and New York/Charlotte?
 
 
Shooting    3pt shots Free Throws Rebounds  
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FGM-A Pct FGM-A Pct FTM-A Pct Tot. OFF TO
03/07/2009 CHARLOTTE 114 207 SU ATS 59 41-74 55.4% 11-22 50.0% 21-24 87.5% 46 6 19
  NEW YORK 105 -3 Over 57 34-77 44.2% 11-32 34.4% 26-32 81.2% 39 10 13
12/30/2008 NEW YORK 93 205 SU ATS 56 36-85 42.4% 7-21 33.3% 14-16 87.5% 50 13 18
  CHARLOTTE 89 -4.5 Under 48 35-82 42.7% 6-26 23.1% 13-19 68.4% 54 11 19
11/05/2008 CHARLOTTE 98 203 ATS 51 41-84 48.8% 5-10 50.0% 11-15 73.3% 48 18 18
  NEW YORK 101 -3.5 SU Under 51 38-77 49.4% 12-26 46.2% 13-14 92.9% 39 9 21
 
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Posted: #11
Crockie
 
The Charlotte game looks tempting, line open at 207 is 206.5 now. The only thing that scares me is that the Bobcats are unprdictibale lately. They have been playing some D lately but not like before. It can turn out to a shooting fest if they fall behind. Very small look here but I will dig in.
 
The Portland game looks good. Again, I wish the line would have opened at 196.5. That would have been sweet. But the books did there job here. Though I have not looked that deep. I will shortly...
 
 
What do you feel here?
 
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Posted: #12

[Quote: Originally Posted by nostradamus168] LETS START THE CELEBRATION AT

4PM ET

 

Nos- ThanksGL

 
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Posted: #13
Over/Under
CHICAGO games over-under-push this season are 114-109-3
INDIANA games over-under-push this season are 107-106-6
Vital Stats
  Line PS/48 OEFF DEFF CtAdv
IND 209 97.9 102.9 105.0 -1.5
CHI -8 96.0 102.8 102.5 2.2

Home/Road Averages

  PPG RPG APG TO/G 1ST 2ND
IND 98.3 41.4 21.7 15.5 50.3 48.7
CHI 99.7 44.2 22.4 14.3 50.1 49.3

 
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Posted: #14
Over/Under
CHARLOTTE games over-under-push this season are 105-112-1
NEWYORK games over-under-push this season are 107-106-3
Vital Stats
  Line PS/48 OEFF DEFF CtAdv
NYK 206.5 96.0 103.8 108.5 -1.3
CHR -6.5 93.9 101.7 105.7 1.9

Home/Road Averages

  PPG RPG APG TO/G 1ST 2ND
NYK 98.8 42.1 20.0 15.0 49.4 48.1
CHARLOTTE 95.9 41.0 21.6 14.0 48.1 47.4

 
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Posted: #15
Over/Under
PORTLAND games over-under-push this season are 97-117-3
MEMPHIS games over-under-push this season are 101-109-3
Vital Stats
  Line PS/48 OEFF DEFF CtAdv
MEM 193 95.6 103.0 109.2 -1.1
POR -13 90.5 106.0 106.7 2.1

Home/Road Averages

  PPG RPG APG TO/G 1ST 2ND
MEM 95.5 39.7 19.0 15.0 46.1 49.2
POR 97.9 40.9 21.6 12.6 49.1 48.8

 
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Posted: #16
Chicago Bulls
ATS this season: 113-111-2
ATS @ home this season: 61-50-0
CHICAGO Team Stats
Last 10 Games
Date vs. Score Home Line ATS
3/26/2009 MIAM 87-106 -6/203 CHIC/U
3/24/2009 DETR 91-99 -4.5/189 CHIC/O
3/23/2009 @WASH 101-99 8/208.5 WASH/U
3/21/2009 LALA 117-109 4/211.5 LALA/O
3/18/2009 @OKLA 103-96 / CHIC/P
3/17/2009 BOST 121-127 1/195.5 CHIC/O
3/14/2009 NEWO 79-97 2/193.5 CHIC/U
3/13/2009 @PHIL 101-104 -3.5/201 CHIC/O
3/11/2009 @ORLA 79-107 -8/204.5 ORLA/U
3/9/2009 @MIAM 127-130 -5/202 CHIC/O
 
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Indiana Pacers
ATS this season: 102-109-8
ATS On the Road: 55-56-5
INDIANA Team Stats
Last 10 Games
Date vs. Score Home Line ATS
3/25/2009 MIAM 88-90 1/205 INDI/U
3/21/2009 @CHAR 108-83 -6.5/198 INDI/U
3/20/2009 DALL 94-92 -2/211 DALL/U
3/18/2009 PORT 95-85 2/203 PORT/U
3/15/2009 @TORO 87-110 -3/214.5 TORO/U
3/13/2009 @ATLA 87-101 -5.5/207.5 ATLA/U
3/10/2009 UTAH 112-100 3.5/214.5 UTAH/U
3/7/2009 @LACL 106-105 6.5/211 LACL/P
3/4/2009 @PORT 105-107 -10/208.5 INDI/O
3/3/2009 @SACR 117-109 2/215 INDI/O
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by MIAMI_MONEY:

Crockie
 
The Charlotte game looks tempting, line open at 207 is 206.5 now. The only thing that scares me is that the Bobcats are unprdictibale lately. They have been playing some D lately but not like before. It can turn out to a shooting fest if they fall behind. Very small look here but I will dig in.
 
The Portland game looks good. Again, I wish the line would have opened at 196.5. That would have been sweet. But the books did there job here. Though I have not looked that deep. I will shortly...
 
 
What do you feel here?


I feel both under. Yes you're right. The under Charlotte/Philadelphia killed me yesterday. But I like New York/Charlotte under because:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road

New York doesn't score much points on the road.

The total Memphis/Portland is @ 194 now.
 
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Posted: #19

[Quote: Originally Posted by Crockie]

I feel both under. Yes you're right. The under Charlotte/Philadelphia killed me yesterday. But I like New York/Charlotte under because:

- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road

New York doesn't score much points on the road.

The total Memphis/Portland is @ 194 now.

Good call out...

 
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Posted: #20
Going to step out this morning, hope to be back by mid-day. So far lock and loaded Bulls under 209.
 
Will look at a few more later. GL to All with your bets!
 
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Posted: #21
would you be locking it in again?
the Bulls o/u is at 213 now.
 
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Posted: #22
Huge movement...I liked the under at 209
 
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Posted: #23
under
best of luck


 
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under
best of luck


 
 
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