Posted:
#1
'10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u
'10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF: 16-21 (43.2%) -7.40u'11-12 NFL: 42-35-1 (54.5%) +5.05u
'11-12 NCAAB: 5-1 (83.3%) +3.90u
'11-12 NCAAF-P: 9-6 (60.0%) +1.65u
'11-12 NFL-P: 5-4 (55.5%) +0.60u
'11-12 NBA: 18-17 (52.6%) +1.60u
8:05 EST - Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (120)
The Timberwolves are playing in a prime time game at home against a struggling Kings team. Kevin Love is playing like the animal that he is (he was also just selected to the Olympic team today). And the fans love Rubio. I know the T-Wolves have a number of other injuries, but the fact that the oddsmakers set the line north of the key number of 7 to open tells me that a) this won't be a big factor and b) the Kings really suck! The Kings have had their hat handed to them in two straight road games and are now playing their 3rd game in four nights. I know Minnesota is in the same scenario, but they've been home for two days and are coming off the momentum of a really good defensive performance in Atlanta (they lost by 2 but held Atlanta to 41% shooting). They've had a number of games against the NBA's elite that they took down to the wire including a 2 point loss to the Heat and a 4 point loss to Memphis. They also put up 100 points against Chicago despite being on the third game of a back-to-back-to-back. Their 4-8 record doesn't quite do them justice. According to my relative point spread ratings Minnesota is 10th best in the NBA at +1.5. Sacramento on the other hand is the 5th worst team in the NBA at -4.4. Take the differential of -5.9 and throw in 4 points in Minnesota's favor for playing at home against a team on a long road trip and you get a true line of -10. Sacramento's team is in shambles and I expect their downward spiral to continue tonight in front of a tough Minnesota crowd on prime time. Minnesota by double digits.
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