Good day yesterday for the start of the model: 1-0 for NBA and 2-0 for NHL. We have 1 NFL under (46) for tonight pending. I was off by 0.5 on the NBA model yesterday, so definitely gaining confidence in the model.
The pick for tonight is OKC Thunder -2.5. My model has it 115-108.
Tail or fade but good luck to all!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Good day yesterday for the start of the model: 1-0 for NBA and 2-0 for NHL. We have 1 NFL under (46) for tonight pending. I was off by 0.5 on the NBA model yesterday, so definitely gaining confidence in the model.
The pick for tonight is OKC Thunder -2.5. My model has it 115-108.
No official picks for tonight. Leaning Portland +12.5 and the UNDER 238.5 in the Jazz/Lakers game. Both are close to potential bets, but I’d like to have more of a cushion when betting based on the model.
so officially no picks tonight
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No official picks for tonight. Leaning Portland +12.5 and the UNDER 238.5 in the Jazz/Lakers game. Both are close to potential bets, but I’d like to have more of a cushion when betting based on the model.
Going to switch it up for tomorrow and go with some volume picks. All are 1 unit bets. Disregard the picks made in the post earlier as the lines have changed. Here are the bets:
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
I’ll update the record at the end of the night. Lmk if you prefer this volume method or the top picks method I’m still trying to tweak it to see what works best
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NBA: 5-1
NCAAB: 6-4
Going to switch it up for tomorrow and go with some volume picks. All are 1 unit bets. Disregard the picks made in the post earlier as the lines have changed. Here are the bets:
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
I’ll update the record at the end of the night. Lmk if you prefer this volume method or the top picks method I’m still trying to tweak it to see what works best
Same deal as with NCAAB - I'm going to tighten up the parameters on these games. I opened it up a little too much which resulted in a bit of a mixed bag today. Still very profitable day at 66.6%, but we always want more. As I mentioned before, I'm happy with 60% and we are still a healthy margin over that mark. You won't hear me complaining about making money, but we always strive for better. See y'all tomorrow!
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6-3 today
Heat +5.5
Wizards +13.5
Wizards UNDER 246.5
Spurs +10.5
Pistons OVER 247.5
Celtics UNDER 223.5
Pelicans UNDER 223.5
Kings UNDER 230.5
Bulls UNDER 217.5
NBA: 11-4
Same deal as with NCAAB - I'm going to tighten up the parameters on these games. I opened it up a little too much which resulted in a bit of a mixed bag today. Still very profitable day at 66.6%, but we always want more. As I mentioned before, I'm happy with 60% and we are still a healthy margin over that mark. You won't hear me complaining about making money, but we always strive for better. See y'all tomorrow!
NBA 5-1 NCAAB: 3-1 (see other thread for my picks there) Here we go… Miami +4.5 Wizards +12.5 Spurs +10.5 Let’s let these dogs bark! As a side note, I’ll be sprinkling a little on the Heat ML. Good luck boys!
I forgot to mention that if I had kept it at just these three, it would have been a perfect 3-0 sweep, which is a little better than 6-3 (given the juice). I would have liked 7-2 much more, so we still have some work to do.
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Quote Originally Posted by Litig8r:
NBA 5-1 NCAAB: 3-1 (see other thread for my picks there) Here we go… Miami +4.5 Wizards +12.5 Spurs +10.5 Let’s let these dogs bark! As a side note, I’ll be sprinkling a little on the Heat ML. Good luck boys!
I forgot to mention that if I had kept it at just these three, it would have been a perfect 3-0 sweep, which is a little better than 6-3 (given the juice). I would have liked 7-2 much more, so we still have some work to do.
FWIW, Clippers is my favorite bet of the day at +1.5 (-105). If line moves in opposite direction, I’ll be taking more shares of it. I’ll also be taking more shares of it live if Mavs go on any sort of run during the game.
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FWIW, Clippers is my favorite bet of the day at +1.5 (-105). If line moves in opposite direction, I’ll be taking more shares of it. I’ll also be taking more shares of it live if Mavs go on any sort of run during the game.
Clippers +1.5 @ -105 odds (sprinkle some on ML): PENDING
NBA: 13-5 (with Clippers pending)
I will be back to update if I don’t fall asleep beforehand. NBA has been profitable each day so we’ll keep this going. The model is going well and parameters set up have been effective. Clippers was my favorite pick today at +1.5 and by game time the line flipped to -1.5. We got our bet in ahead of the Vegas moves, which is always nice.
I’ll be looking to bet it live if clippers fall behind at any point. Good luck to all
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Heat +4.5 @ -120 odds
Hawks -7.5 @ -120 odds
Lakers OVER 225.5 @ -110 odds
Clippers +1.5 @ -105 odds (sprinkle some on ML): PENDING
NBA: 13-5 (with Clippers pending)
I will be back to update if I don’t fall asleep beforehand. NBA has been profitable each day so we’ll keep this going. The model is going well and parameters set up have been effective. Clippers was my favorite pick today at +1.5 and by game time the line flipped to -1.5. We got our bet in ahead of the Vegas moves, which is always nice.
I’ll be looking to bet it live if clippers fall behind at any point. Good luck to all
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