NBA Contest Day 90 Sunday 4/24

Yesterday I took:

Golden State Warriors - 8.

Here is the explanation I did that:

The main reason Warriors fail to lead in the series with 3-0 so far is that Curry was out for second straight game and the downtown shooting really was awful last game. Here is the proof why 3-pt shooting is so important weapon in the recent playoffs history: In postseason since 2002 teams that shoot three pointers below 25% are 130-309 SU (29.5%). But let see what happen in the next game in a similar situation. In postseason since 2002 favorites which just lost last game as road favorites (like Warriors did last game against Rockets) in which they scored below 25% of  their downtown shots are 17-5 SU and 15-6-1 ATS with avg line of – 7.9. Favorites outscored underdogs with 8.7 ppg in these 22 games. We all know how good three point shooting team Golden State are. I dig into stats and found that since 2013 Warriors are 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS with avg line of – 6.1 after they scored below 25% from their 3pt-shots in the previous game. Golden State outscored their opponents by 11.5 ppg in these 20 games. It seems my team know how to bounce back after such bad downtown performances. With Curry probably back in the roster I will take comfortably the best team in the league to bounce back against team with very suspicious defense like Houston. According my numbers 8 points won’t be e problem here. Let’s hope I will be right after the game.

BOL