NBA Double Over System - Year Long Thread

Bucks get to OT so it could happen, but Kings/Wizards don't hit.

Gross.

Getting frustrated as I look back at some numbers on the KS Query. It shows that the system should have won on 3/14, so I check to see the discrepancies and its because it has Clippers/Pelicans listed at 236.5. We know the KS Query uses closing lines on the NHL (if I'm not mistaken???) because we've seen that the next day it has road favorites listed at -115 or something that opened at +100... but this is clear evidence that the NBA KS Query is off opening lines. I thought "Hm, maybe they're going back later and editing using closing lines?".. Nope. I checked a game from Christmas day. The query from 12/25/20 shows Warriors vs. Bucks as 233.5 total.

The game opened at 233.5, closing around 230.5 at pretty much every book.

https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/odds/line-history/1346051

Pretty clear evidence that the query goes off opening lines. So, if that's the case, and we're ONLY playing games with totals over 230... then there's only 2 plays today. 

Jazz/Wizards and Pelicans/Blazers. Both totals have dropped since opening... so if it's based off opening lines, now is a good time to wager.

Yeah, super frustrating, can pretty much confirm KS Query uses opening lines for NBA, closing lines for NHL.

Query date=20210220 and team=Oilers for NHL shows they played the Flames that day. Shows a line of -125 and a total of 6.

https://www.oddsshark.com/nhl/odds/line-history/1368541

Oddsharks shows that game opened at 6.5 pretty much everywhere, and the Oilers were closer to -115 at every book but one. They closed VERY close to -125 (or higher) at every book.

Looks pretty clear to me that NBA lines are based off opening, NHL are based off closing.

Using opening lines would be way easier. Just lock it in early.

Maybe opening OU is used for KS query, but closing ML is used for KS query. Would explain the difference.

Game 1 hits...

Game 2 misses, moving on.

I’m dropping the multi game for a bit. Looking forward to tomorrow.

Kings/Celtics and Mavs/Blazers are todays play.

KsQuery shows closing lines for yesterday... if it stays that way it means they randomly sometimes update lines and sometimes don’t? Pretty unreliable source if that’s the case.

Today the query shows three games 230 or higher. One of them it has the opening line (Mavs/Blazers), it has the Jazz/Celtics closing line, and the Suns/Wolves opening line. 

The data is 100% useless if they randomly update some lines and not all. I may just revert to doing my own picks and keeping this same parlay system. I started the year 11-3 and people were pissed when I switched to systems... Maybe it's time to make two picks a day, and stick to the parlay system. 

Since 2010 in the NBA favorites on the road of 5 or more have covered the spread 55.8% of the time... I think this parlay system, combined with personal high confidence picks and road favorites of 5 or more may be a beautiful formula. Thoughts? 

@arakias

 55.8% is a solid stat...appreciate your sharing technique

Going to keep rolling for now, because todays games don't look like it will likely matter if you went off opening or closing and I think I got a good value play on the 76ers total.

1 parlay of 2 Teams
Stake: $400.00 Win: $1,057.85
Ticket # 491968412
Over
231.5-110
Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers
Over
231-110
Charlotte Hornets vs Los Angeles Clippers

For about two weeks now it’s felt like every day we’ve had at least one game where a team couldn’t shoot to save their lives. It was the hornets tonight. Watched the entire game and it was brick after brick.

Resetting to 1x tomorrow.

Nets/Wizards and Nuggets/Pelicans, 1X

System is struggling!

We need @DB51daBEARS in here making fun of us so we start winning again.

And he should be making fun of us right now. 

@race444

 They came back from the all star break stinking up the joint.   

LMAO race...if you ever took my comments as making fun of you guys, then you MIS-took my comments.

I like your sense of humor though  

Cheers buddy, I know you're just discussing. But thanks for commenting, System hitting tomorrow LOL.

@DB51daBEARS

@PitchdiveU

 I played a sport at a collegiate level, the saying from coaches was always "1 day off and 2 to get back," so if they took 3-5+ days off from the all star break, then we shouldn't run this system until 6-10+ days after. 

(neither game hit today)

Locking in my play 

PARLAY (2 TEAMS) to win $264.46
Placed 03/22/2021 @ 11:07 AM
Stake: $100.00 - Win: $264.46
TOTAL o232-110 - (Indiana Pacers vrs Milwaukee Bucks)
TOTAL o227½-110 - (Utah Jazz vrs Chicago Bulls)

Thunder/Wolves are now 230.5

Killersports showing them at 231 

@race444

 Damn, were they way lower earlier?

Thought Jazz were the second highest!

Didn't matter, neither of those games went over. Nobody wants to score. Horrible streak right now. 

Looks like only one qualifier today, so possibly no play. 

@arakias

 How can I get these plays and system?

@race444

 I agree Race, officially no play today. The degen in me took Nets/Blazers O231.5 and Wizards/Knicks O222 for a little bit of action.

@Taurus123

 It's explained throughout the post but feel free to PM me.