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NBA FRIDAY !!!

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Posted: #26

Hello Mr. 44-dimes. 

First time caller - Long time listener.

 

Correct me if I am wrong cause it could nave been another poster but......Was it you that said about a week ago that Philly had peaked at that time and were on there way down?

 
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Posted: #27
i like both your cleveland pick and your memphis pick.  I forgot that denver had all those players out and now i am going to go back and have to look at it again.

anyways i am on the otherside of the phili bet and here is why:

mavericks are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.


Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Mavericks are 21-9-2 ATS in their last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.
76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

Also philis average scoring margin at home is +10.2 while dallas' is +1.2 on the road.   However, phili averages 94.4 points at home while dallas averages 92.3 on the road.

The only real number phili has is the scoring margin at home but dallas at least counters that with a positive scoring margin on the road.  I am holding on this line hoping that it drops but i will take it at 3 tomorrow if its the best i can get.




 
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Posted: #28
Varejo is a major glue guy for that team his rebounds,and defense and dirty work will be missed. i can see a blowout here easily
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Damu4Life:

Varejo is a major glue guy for that team his rebounds,and defense and dirty work will be missed. i can see a blowout here easily

ahhh thank you for reminding why i skipped over that game!
 
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Posted: #30
love the Philly and memphis play. love them, but I think this Heat team is starting to put it all together. I'll fade that. BOL
 
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Posted: #31
 
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Posted: #32
I can't bet against the Heat the way they're playing right now. Could blow out a team by 20+ EASY, but BOL to you
 
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Posted: #33
Love Sixers -2.5 and Grizz -3.5 looks solid as well with Denver missing their 2 big men (Mozgov and NENE) and their leading scorer Gallinari, could be another route
 
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Posted: #34
Love the Cleveland pick...
 
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Posted: #35
i feel that 11 or 12 can be had backing cleveland so no need to lock it in now
 
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Posted: #36

youl go 2-1 which is great  youll lose the philly pick, these are all winners tomoorow, i did some solid research     tor 7.5mil 7.5 det -2cle 9.5 dal 3 mem3.5hou 4.5 goldenst 10.5 was 10 ph x 8.5

Toronto -7.5 500
Toronto -
Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Milwaukee +7.5 500
Orlando -
Sacramento - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -2 500
Detroit -
Miami - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland +9.5 500
Cleveland -
Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +3 500
Philadelphia -
Denver - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -3.5 500
Memphis -
Minnesota - 8:00 PM ET Houston -4.5 500
Houston -
Golden State - 8:00 PM ET Golden State +10.5 500
Oklahoma City -
Washington - 9:00 PM ET Washington +10 500
Utah -
Phoenix - 10:30 PM ET Phoenix +8.5
Toronto -7.5 500
Toronto -
Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Milwaukee +7.5 500
Orlando -
Sacramento - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -2 500
Detroit -
Miami - 7:30 PM ET Cleveland +9.5 500
Cleveland -
Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +3 500
Philadelphia -
Denver - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -3.5 500
Memphis -
Minnesota - 8:00 PM ET Houston -4.5 500
Houston -
Golden State - 8:00 PM ET Golden State +10.5 500
Oklahoma City -
Washington - 9:00 PM ET Washington +10 500
Utah -
Phoenix - 10:30 PM ET Phoenix +8.5
 
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Posted: #37
Like the plays 44
 
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Posted: #38
 
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Posted: #39
With you on both 3 Unit plays....I just capped both of those and I just can't see Cleveland losing by more than 6-7 at home. And I like Philly @ home for sure. I have them winning by 6. Also leaning on the under 182 in the Philly/Dallas game.
 
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Posted: #40
I'm taking sixers as well. Over valued dallas team. Sixers perimeter defense should lock dallas tom. bol dimes 
 
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Posted: #41
Daniel GibsonGDoub Fri - Ankle - 2/16/12notes0-00-0
Anthony ParkerGOut Fri - Back - 2/16/12notes0-00-0
Anderson VarejaoFMid March - Wrist - 2/16/12notes0-00-0

don't you think laying 3u on cavs is too risky? 
 
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Posted: #42
alright finally siding w/dimes
gl bro
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by FantasyStocks:

I'm leaning 6ers at home as well, but I feel like that ATS might be a little inflated with the loss of hawes. They are 8-7 without him, and Vucevic has looked awful. Their rebounding has been down tremendously, and hes not expected back till after the break.

I'm a little scared of that hot mavs defense.

GL


Philly's defense at home though is FLAT NASTY...Going with Philly -3

Score:

Dallas - 84
Philly - 91
Philly 94
 
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Posted: #44
EDIT:

Philly's defense at home though is FLAT NASTY...Going with Philly -3

Score:

Dallas - 84
Philly - 91


 
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Posted: #45
i dont care what spilmaz88 is saying. im still with you!
 
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Posted: #46

Love all 3

Lets do this!!

 
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Posted: #47
I bet their other way GOLDEN STATE AND THE POINT.
 
Captain
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Posts: 6800
Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by coldsnap55:

Hello Mr. 44-dimes. 

First time caller - Long time listener.

 

Correct me if I am wrong cause it could nave been another poster but......Was it you that said about a week ago that Philly had peaked at that time and were on there way down?



15-5 ATS in their first 20 games-------------I'd call  this an exceptional record and therefore gave them peak status.
Only 4-6 ATS in their last 10----------------The adjustment did kick in .and it just might be time to go the other way.

GL
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

i like both your cleveland pick and your memphis pick.  I forgot that denver had all those players out and now i am going to go back and have to look at it again.

anyways i am on the otherside of the phili bet and here is why:

mavericks are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.


Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Mavericks are 21-9-2 ATS in their last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.
76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

Also philis average scoring margin at home is +10.2 while dallas' is +1.2 on the road.   However, phili averages 94.4 points at home while dallas averages 92.3 on the road.

The only real number phili has is the scoring margin at home but dallas at least counters that with a positive scoring margin on the road.  I am holding on this line hoping that it drops but i will take it at 3 tomorrow if its the best i can get.






My only concern here is that Dallas plays well on the Road. You are correct Howard.The sixers have one of the best overall win margins in the league. I laid 3 in this game but took juice at +104. I currently see the number at 2.5 in most places.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by pangoper:

Daniel GibsonGDoub Fri - Ankle - 2/16/12notes0-00-0
Anthony ParkerGOut Fri - Back - 2/16/12notes0-00-0
Anderson VarejaoFMid March - Wrist - 2/16/12notes0-00-0

don't you think laying 3u on cavs is too risky? 


I think it's still the right side.
gl

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