Posted:
#1
A beautiful Sunday to you all....
1. Indiana Pacers +1.5 (-110), 2.2 to win 2
I am reminded of a quote on Game of Thrones (best show on TV IMO) said by the best character on that show that I believe is applicable to this game, and probably not to the team you think: "It is very difficult to place a leash on a dog when you've already put a crown on its head."
Indy knows that MIA is a wounded animal right now and I will be shocked if they don't put their foot on their throat this game and put them down 3-1. Game 3 put the crown on their head and I think MIA is going to have a hell of a time trying to throw a leash on them now that they seem to have unlocked the keys to solving the Heat without Bosh.
The only, only potential way that I think MIA wins is if the refs send LeBron and Wade to the line 30+ times combined -- Wade and LeBron had FIVE free throws attempted last game, and I guarantee they attack the rim today after a joint performance like that. Easier said than done given that Hibbert is doing a great job playing center field and the Heat can't punish him for doing that. That's the only thing preventing me from putting a 3 unit play on this.
With regard to the refs, not a totally bad crew for this game for either squad, although the refs tend to lean UNDER ATS and are also a combined 17-13 ATS for home dogs under 4.5
For Indy to win, they need to win the rebounding battle. Period. Every team that has won the rebounding battle has won the game, and unless LeBron gives them another ridiculous 12+ rebound game (which will use up energy from him on the offensive end), then Indy should win the battle on the glass and win this game.
Wade is probably getting very frustrated in that he is getting guarded by a 6'10" shooting guard with ridiculous length, and in the rare chance he gets by George and attacks the paint, he has a 7'2" always on the help/weak side sliding over. No wonder Wade is having difficulty.
Should be a fantastic game today, always open as to other's thoughts on this game as well
1. Indiana Pacers +1.5 (-110), 2.2 to win 2
I am reminded of a quote on Game of Thrones (best show on TV IMO) said by the best character on that show that I believe is applicable to this game, and probably not to the team you think: "It is very difficult to place a leash on a dog when you've already put a crown on its head."
Indy knows that MIA is a wounded animal right now and I will be shocked if they don't put their foot on their throat this game and put them down 3-1. Game 3 put the crown on their head and I think MIA is going to have a hell of a time trying to throw a leash on them now that they seem to have unlocked the keys to solving the Heat without Bosh.
The only, only potential way that I think MIA wins is if the refs send LeBron and Wade to the line 30+ times combined -- Wade and LeBron had FIVE free throws attempted last game, and I guarantee they attack the rim today after a joint performance like that. Easier said than done given that Hibbert is doing a great job playing center field and the Heat can't punish him for doing that. That's the only thing preventing me from putting a 3 unit play on this.
With regard to the refs, not a totally bad crew for this game for either squad, although the refs tend to lean UNDER ATS and are also a combined 17-13 ATS for home dogs under 4.5
For Indy to win, they need to win the rebounding battle. Period. Every team that has won the rebounding battle has won the game, and unless LeBron gives them another ridiculous 12+ rebound game (which will use up energy from him on the offensive end), then Indy should win the battle on the glass and win this game.
Wade is probably getting very frustrated in that he is getting guarded by a 6'10" shooting guard with ridiculous length, and in the rare chance he gets by George and attacks the paint, he has a 7'2" always on the help/weak side sliding over. No wonder Wade is having difficulty.
Should be a fantastic game today, always open as to other's thoughts on this game as well
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