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NBA Play of the Day for Jan 27-Post it here!

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Mem +6.5
 
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Jazz PK
 
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Charlotte +12


 
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Pick of the Day: Ind/Orl U215!

Got win #40 yesterday!


 
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18-18

CHA/LAL over 196
 
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Line Movements / Money Moves
 
It's 7 PM ... and money has moved all totals OVER the posted numbers except the Utah game and money has moved that number UNDER ... yesterday all the games went under except one ... and for the last two days the under has been 12-4 ... will be interesting if tonight goes against recent trends.
 
 
 
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Posted: #210
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


well, we're all part of tha market.  when you watch the line move, your watching how the market is responding.  if a bettor has 10k to play for the night (play not bankroll), he has the option how he spends it.  he can play it all on one game and it may be enough to move the line.  this leaves no extra cash to play on anything else.  or he could split it up 10 plays.  I'm just curious how people read moves like 4points.  That's a lot of money spent on one game.  that leaves less money to move lines elsewhere.  that's what i mean by studying the market.

 

I see...so you like to go against the money? even though it may be the sharp money...if the guy only spends so much and puts it all on one game, would you follow?

GL with the under...50/50 shot

 

 
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Under Pacers =215
 
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-1 Spurs
 
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u 215 orlando

 
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bobcats +11
 
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Orl/Indy Under 215
 
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Hope I made it in time...
 
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Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

 

I see...so you like to go against the money? even though it may be the sharp money...if the guy only spends so much and puts it all on one game, would you follow?

GL with the under...50/50 shot

Needless to say - I disagree !!!  A significant line moves prompts me to do one of three things ...

1.) cancel my play, like I did last night with Houston

2.) research as to WHY the line moved so much

3.) go along with the "money" if in fact I make a play at all ... perhaps no play is the best action.

 
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utah/sa under 192.5
 
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cha  196/u
 
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Orl-8
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Chase_Beaverman:

u215 Indy @ Orlando
u201 Denver @ Memphis
u203.5 Sac @ Cleveland

lines moved in a couple,

u205 Denver @ Mem

u204.5 Sac @ Cle

 
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Utah Jazz HCP+1
 
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19-7-1 (73%)
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Posted: #224
quote
Posted: 1/27/2009 6:06:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by AJLightning:

 

I see...so you like to go against the money? even though it may be the sharp money...if the guy only spends so much and puts it all on one game, would you follow?

GL with the under...50/50 shot

Needless to say - I disagree !!!  A significant line moves prompts me to do one of three things ...

1.) cancel my play, like I did last night with Houston

2.) research as to WHY the line moved so much

3.) go along with the "money" if in fact I make a play at all ... perhaps no play is the best action.

 

 

Thanks Chump and AX...all the knowledge I and everyone else on here can get the better off we all are

 
 
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Den/Mem under 204
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