@insatiable
@Macwestie1
@bobmaloogatimesfive
@Force
@Force
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MY LINES .......................................game 3
Nuggets -1.18 over Heat
We know Heat have improved more from regular season, line maybe should be pk to Heat -.5, maybe even -1 but instead it is Nuggets -2.5. The value lies with the Heat.
But game 3 with series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines, we back the team to win the series "if" the series winner is a clear choice. I don't see a clear choice in this series, Nuggets based on regular season PR's would be the choice but Heat based on playoff only method which called a number of upsets would be the choice.
I think the Heat have a very, very good shot to win this series, for them to do that they need to hold home court, winning both game 3 &4 while Nuggets need 1 win in Miami.
Game 2 Heat did shoot lights-out on 3's but Nuggets shot over 39% which is not bad at all, regular season ave was over 37% and Nuggets shot 52% FG% over 3% better then the Heat who shot under 49% and still lost at home.
In Miami with Nuggets on the road I'd have to side with the Heat game 3. I think the Heat have a very good shot to hold home court and take a shocking 3-1 series lead. But won't take any action, maybe if the line goes up I'd consider it.
MY LINES .......................................game 3
Nuggets -1.18 over Heat
We know Heat have improved more from regular season, line maybe should be pk to Heat -.5, maybe even -1 but instead it is Nuggets -2.5. The value lies with the Heat.
But game 3 with series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines, we back the team to win the series "if" the series winner is a clear choice. I don't see a clear choice in this series, Nuggets based on regular season PR's would be the choice but Heat based on playoff only method which called a number of upsets would be the choice.
I think the Heat have a very, very good shot to win this series, for them to do that they need to hold home court, winning both game 3 &4 while Nuggets need 1 win in Miami.
Game 2 Heat did shoot lights-out on 3's but Nuggets shot over 39% which is not bad at all, regular season ave was over 37% and Nuggets shot 52% FG% over 3% better then the Heat who shot under 49% and still lost at home.
In Miami with Nuggets on the road I'd have to side with the Heat game 3. I think the Heat have a very good shot to hold home court and take a shocking 3-1 series lead. But won't take any action, maybe if the line goes up I'd consider it.
MY LINES ........................................NBA Finals version game4
Heat -.82 over Nuggets
since 1991 my lines in game 4 where one team has a 2-1 series lead and a 2.5 difference to the closing line..................................................
9-4 ATS
Play is on the Heat coming off a 15 pt loss at home then back at home.
Heat +3.5 over Nuggets --- 1.1 units
MY LINES ........................................NBA Finals version game4
Heat -.82 over Nuggets
since 1991 my lines in game 4 where one team has a 2-1 series lead and a 2.5 difference to the closing line..................................................
9-4 ATS
Play is on the Heat coming off a 15 pt loss at home then back at home.
Heat +3.5 over Nuggets --- 1.1 units
My Lines.,................
Nuggets -5.18 over Heat
With a 3-1 series lead.......
1 pt difference to closing line --- 11-5 ATS
2 pt difference or better --- 9-3 ATS
The last time this came into play was backing the Heat in 2020 in game 5, Heat won SU as a 7.5 dog
My line was LA -1.67
My Lines.,................
Nuggets -5.18 over Heat
With a 3-1 series lead.......
1 pt difference to closing line --- 11-5 ATS
2 pt difference or better --- 9-3 ATS
The last time this came into play was backing the Heat in 2020 in game 5, Heat won SU as a 7.5 dog
My line was LA -1.67
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