Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:
Foster saved me from a Bulls play in that game 4 Cavs/Bulls series. Another situation where officiating stats provided a winning play over any other angles i had initially thought.
After that game Foster was 7-1 in the playoffs for the Road team. I then whent on to Bet Houston on the road in game 6 vs Clippers where Foster was sent in. I won that bet too w/ Houston winning by 12 pts on the road.
I then whent on to bet Cavs on the Road game 1 ECF vs Atlanta because Foster was again sent in. This is what i had posted about that game:
"Foster is 8-1 SU for the Road team after that Houston win and cover. If
Cavs wins this 1st game it takes away home court advantage from the
Hawks - wich is perhaps what the league would want to get their cash cow
Lebron the chance to advance to the finals. So as i've been saying now
for the last 3 season "if indeed the Cavs are supposed to advance they
will take this 1st game t insure that agenda".
Play
CLE +1.5"
Cavs won by 8 pts. Foster was then 9-1 for the Road team these playoffs.
Foster then whent on to Ref game 3 of GSW/Houston series. I bet Warriors since they were on the road and they blew out Houston by 25pts. Foster is now 10-1 for the Road team these playoffs.
But things get a little interesting w/ the other two refs.......
Brothers is 9-3 for the Home team.
Zarba is 7-3 for the Home team.
These two are 16-6 combined for the Home Team.
So now combined these refs are 17-10 for the Home team.
Obviously if the other two refs were on the same page as Foster it wouldn't even be a question here and i blindly put my money on the Cavs. I do already lean the Cavs for game 2, especially because Irving is out......so Foster does make my lean closer to a play. But these other 2 refs has me 2nd guessing a little, specifically Brothers since i just made a winning wager 2 games ago on Warriors in that elimination game because GSW were @ Home. Let's take a look at their regular stats.
When home team is fave by between 5-9.5:
Brothers: 8-12
Zarba: 8-14
Foster: 9-13
= 25-39 for the Road team
So far i have not been using reg stats to base my plays on, strictly playoff stats. I think i may use reg stats this time round since it is the finals now and stats over all for refs become more a factor. Foster being the head ref also is significant here.10-1 is just too glaring. When Foster's the head honcho the other two merely follow. Remember also that Foster was in Donaghy's book, stating that Foster was the recipient of 134 phone calls from Donaghy and that a report said that Donaghy called Foster more than any other ref and
that he didn’t call any other official more than 13 times. This guy is a crooked as they get. Let's se if i can be on the same side w/ him.
So after that game 2 Cavs/GSW game......Foster reffing Lebron is now 17-6 since 2006. Lebron is 3-0 so far this playoffs w/ Foster. Foster is
11-1 in favor of the
ROAD team these playoffs.
I am
4-0 on the games above w/ Foster.
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Let's have a look at the other 2 refs:
Davis is
8-3 for the
Home team.
Zarba is
7-4 for the Home team.
Refs Total:
18-16 small favor of
Road team.
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Let's peep their reg stats:
When home team is the underdog of between 0-4.5
Foster: 5-3
Davis: 7-3
Zarba: 9-7
Total:
21-13 in favor of
Home Dog.
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So we have ourselves a dilemma. Major conflicts. Here's what i wrote about this situation:
The only games Cavs has won is game 2 & 3 and that's with:
- Foster: (Since 2006 w/
Foster reffing
Lebron is
17-6 &
3-0 so
far this playoffs.
- Dan Crawford: (
Lebron a whopping
23-6 record w/ Dan Crawford since 2006.
Lebron 3-0 so
far these playoffs w/ Crawford as ref. Last
The other 3 games Cavs lost was with was with McCutchens twice:
-
McCutchens stats w/ Lebron is
8-12 since about 2009
&
- Joe Crawford:
Lebron is
15-14 in the playoffs since 2006 w/
Joe Crawford ref'ing.
Now we have Foster back, who Lebron has a good history with. So will this be a Cavs win and send this to a very lucrative game 7?
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So we have these 3 factors:
- Refs Playoffs Total:
18-16 small favor of
Road team.
- Total:
21-13 in favor of
Home Dog when home dog is 0-4.5.- Since 2006 w/
Foster reffing
Lebron is
17-6 &
3-0 so
far this playoffs.
2 of those match each other (Foster & Refs Home playoffs stats).
The one out of place is the Road team stats and is the least convincing. This most def points to a Cavs win.
Game 4 took me a very long time to cap, it confused me as it was very tricky. We whent away from what made us money and actually did not use the refs playoffs stats and managed to come away winning.......
.........This is even more difficult. The most difficult game to cap for the last 3 finals. I am quite baffled. I was initially heavy leaning the Warriors and thought they would finish this off, simply because i think Lebron & crew are gassed. And again the opening line is quite revealing.
Both my heart & head says Warriors. Foster may be a decoy, have everybody thinking his sent in to assist Lebron. The rest of these refs officiated games resulting in Cavs victories also. Trap?
I'm a little baffled here.