NBA Playoffs Round 2.......................................

POWER RATING PLAYS.................................

My line...... Heat -10.45

Heat -7 over Nets --- 3.3 units

LARGEST MISMATCH.......................................

Spurs off a SU loss, ussually a great spot but not here.

Power rating Plays................................................

My line...............Spurs -8.33

Spurs opened at -6.5 in game 1 and now with their blow-out wins we see the line jacked-up to 8.5.

Never a good situation to back these inflated lines, and with the inflated line we have a no-play in the game.

BOUNCE FACTOR FADE......................................

Spurs were coming off a unsustainable level of play after game 3, I was away and did post Blazers in game 4 but did not have time to post the first Bounce Factor Fade of the playoffs.

Blazers +8.5 over Spurs --- 5.5 units

Very possible Blazers out-right win.

If the Blazers get the SU win I'll be coming on the Spurs for a game-of-the-year-type-play in game 6.

LARGEST MISMATCH..........................................

Pacers +4 over Wiz --- 5.5 units

Pacers off a SU loss, will the method do it agian ?

POWER RATING PLAYS................................

My line...............Pacers -1.3

Pacers +4 over Wiz --- 5.5 units

Both methods clearly on the Pacers tonight,. they should wrap-up this series tonight.....................................

Thought I'd take a quick look into the Spurs and Heat since they've wraped-up their series.

2014 Power Ratings Regular Season ............................

Spurs  --- 7.81, Spurs better by 2.32

Heat --- 5.49

2013 Power Ratings..............................

Heat  --- 9.11, Heat better by 2.2

Spurs  --- 6.91

Heat were clearly the better team last season while the Spurs are clearly the better team this season.

Since 1980 teams better by 1.25 or better are 19-4 at winning the series, 82.6%.

Throughout the playoffs coming into the conference final..............................

2014 Power Rating

Spurs- 8.86

Heat - 8.4

Strength of schedule.........................

Spurs opponents ave power rating --- 3.03

Heats opponents ave PR --- (-.67)

Adjusted for schedule..........................

Spurs --- 11.89

Heat --- 7.73

2013 throughout the playoffs coming into conf final..................................

Heat --- 14.83

Spurs --- 8.21

Strength of Schedule .....................................

Heat --- (-1.03)

Spurs --- 2.43

Adjusted to Schedule..............................

Heat --- 13.8

Spurs --- 10.64

IF, and that's still a big if................... but if   these 2 teams meet again in this years final make nooooo mistake about who should walk-off with the title.

NO, states Spurs clearly better than the Heat in the regular season and playing better against much better teams in the playoffs thus far.

The NBA Champ is coming out of the West....................................

WOW...............is all I can say guys............WOW, the largest mismatch does it again after a SU loss............................

5-1-1 ATS in 1st round

3-0-1 ATS in 2cd round, but unfortunalely I went against the method and against the Spurs in game 5.

total through rounds 1 and 2 --- 8-1-2 ATS, this assuming you got the best available lines which I did as posted. worst case had you got closing lines was 8-3 ATS.

Past 4 years coming into this years playoffs was 14-2 ATS after a SU loss in rounds 1 and 2.

That's an incredible grand total of 22-3-2 ATS , worst case 22-5 ATS............. OMG................... we might be onto something big here, will be looking into this in the offseason to go back at least 10 years and see how it's done.

I'll be back next year with this method and any updates I find.