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NBA SUN 031509 early thoughts - value hunting

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Posted: #176
Quote Originally Posted by chasing2day:


ax, i have a quick question in regards to capping unders. i suck at totals. i saw the last match up between utah vs orlando and the total was set at 201. i think both teams combined to score 197 and the total went under. if the total went under, why is the total for this match up set at 4 points higher than the previous match up? i was just wondering why the odds makers would increase the total 4 points if the previous match up went under?
thanks


chase, i'm thinking UTA 3OT game yesterday=tired legs= no defense...and public places heavy emphasis on this.  just my best guess.
 
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Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by Fathomable:

i hear ya 40. gs games scare me. how many folks r really gonna take this over?

I guess $$ is on this...can't believe this movement.
 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by Crockie:

If you jump with me on the GS under I wish us the best I think the game will end  235-240. This is the only game where I think: under or no play. And this doesn't happen so often

BOL Crockie, I know you had to pull the trigger since it's almost bedtime for ya.  I'm going to hold off since I have a whole day.  
 
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Posted: #179
Quote Originally Posted by CoFred:

Bodog doesn't have lines posted for the Utah/Orlando or Sacremento/Washington games. They say its due to injuries and stuff....Idiots

You like that book Co?  I've heard only bad things?
 
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Posted: #180
Is there any verdict yet AX?
 
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Posted: #181
i like your picks Axpiota
 
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Posted: #182
Im not seeing alot of under stuff I like, Im gonna look some more.....
 
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Posted: #183
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

Is there any verdict yet AX?

Yeah, Locked in UTA/ORL U205.5 when it came out.
 
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Posted: #184
The LA Clippers have lost their last 7 games averaging 90.8 points per game ... sooo the under 203 1/2 looks inviting since NJ hasn't scored 114 points in a game since their home win over Denver back in the beginning of February when all the players sampled Five-Hour Energy drinks before the game !!!
 
 
 
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Posted: #185
Quote Originally Posted by ree:

i like your picks Axpiota

Thank you ree, GL to you
 
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by ree:

i like your picks Axpiota

You can like AX's picks all you want ... I like your avatar's ass !!!

 
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Posted: #187
Hmmmm, BOL bro i'll be rooting for ya............personally im staying away..........
 
 
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Posted: #188
Quote Originally Posted by chump:

The LA Clippers have lost their last 7 games averaging 90.8 points per game ... sooo the under 203 1/2 looks inviting since NJ hasn't scored 114 points in a game since their home win over Denver back in the beginning of February when all the players sampled Five-Hour Energy drinks before the game !!!
 
 

Damn Chump, completely overlooked that.  That's a very good point.  I have about 8 hours left on that one, going to start running numbers.  Thanks pal..
 
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Posted: #189
Hey Ax, I'm already with you on UTA/ORL but I'll stay away from the PHO/GSW under even @ 244

I also like a game which seems to fly under the radar. I'm talking about MIA/PHI with the line set @ 197. The average total in previous meetings this season was 185. Okay, recently both teams put some decent numbers on the board, but with MIA coming from that 3OT game with tired legs and PHI dictating their pace do you expect to see that many points?
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by chump:

You can like AX's picks all you want ... I like your avatar's ass !!!


I must be getting old...there's another one I missed 
 
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Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

Hmmmm, BOL bro i'll be rooting for ya............personally im staying away..........
 

Thanks Bruce...BOL to you also pal
 
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Posted: #192
ax, just caught up with the thread, i am glad we are on the same page today
 
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Posted: #193
Quote Originally Posted by Ole_Gunslinger:

Hey Ax, I'm already with you on UTA/ORL but I'll stay away from the PHO/GSW under even @ 244

I also like a game which seems to fly under the radar. I'm talking about MIA/PHI with the line set @ 197. The average total in previous meetings this season was 185. Okay, recently both teams put some decent numbers on the board, but with MIA coming from that 3OT game with tired legs and PHI dictating their pace do you expect to see that many points?

Slinger...yeah bro, it's exactly those recent numbers that throws me off.  Not just Miami's but the PHI defense also giving up a little more lately.  If PHI dictates and stays true to form at home like they've been doing most of the season and discarding some of both team's recent play, this doesn't get out of the 180's.  I just can't pull the trigger on this though.  I wish you luck and will be rooting for this to go under!
 
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Posted: #194
Quote Originally Posted by Turc:

ax, just caught up with the thread, i am glad we are on the same page today
Turc, your POD is out?  I missed that, going to go check it out now!  
 
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Posted: #195
After further review, I think there I great value with the Lakers game under..........I personally thought the total should have been 205.............have a steady line with alot of OVER action............just something to look at....
 
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Posted: #196
i bought it just now at 211
 
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Posted: #197
I agree with Chump, LAC has had a lot of trouble scoring lately.

Also, the UTA-ORL total has rose to 206 now Do I take it now or wait and see how it moves?
 
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Posted: #198
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

After further review, I think there I great value with the Lakers game under..........I personally thought the total should have been 205.............have a steady line with alot of OVER action............just something to look at....

Let us know Bruce...seems to be a lot of interest on the under in that game...looks like it's moving back up
 
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Posted: #199
My book moved the Orlando total to 206 already
 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:

i bought it just now at 211

I'm looking at 211.5 now and may move up even more.  I may just be getting greedy.
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