0-3 last night. (sigh. I left my mojo in 2009) On to the next...
CHA +11 Bobcats 5-2 ATS as road dogs in December, 10-5 ATS overall as road dogs. CHA is the silent giant-slayer of the league; I'll pick 'em any day over the Lakers or the Magic. CLEV 5-10 ATS as home faves, 3-7 ATS overall as double-digit faves. B2b situation favors CHA (4-2 ATS) over CLEV (5-6 ATS).
INDI +8 First, the numbers: INDI 5-10 ATS as a road dog, 6-10 on the road overall. NYK 3-4 ATS as a home fave, 8-9 ATS overall at home, has never been tagged as a fave of more than 6 pts all season, and is 3-5 ATS overall as a fave. Ok now forget all of that shit. The little voice in my ear is saying that after NYK beat all expectations to hand the Atlanta Hawks their 3rd straight loss, it's going to go home and shoot itself in the foot again. Also, if you believe the 1_Hit_Take_All theory, you have to play against the home fave who just came off a road win as a dog. Personally, I think Nate just ejaculated all of the juice he was cooping up in those weeks bench-warming, and now it's all dried up.
Leaning:
TOR +1 Rarely bet TOR, but I like'em now. SAS is an excellent 5-2 ATS as a road fave, with the 2 ATS losses coming in early November. TOR is 2-3 ATS as a home dog. IMHO, spot here is SAS on a 5-game win streak about to be broken, and although SA is slightly better on b2b games (2-3 ATS) vs TOR (1-6 ATS), I suspect that of both teams coming off overnight flights from the Eastern seaboard, TOR, coming off a loss to BOS, will play better.
++am on a bad 3-day slump, so I'd gladly hear about all your takes/picks.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
0-3 last night. (sigh. I left my mojo in 2009) On to the next...
CHA +11 Bobcats 5-2 ATS as road dogs in December, 10-5 ATS overall as road dogs. CHA is the silent giant-slayer of the league; I'll pick 'em any day over the Lakers or the Magic. CLEV 5-10 ATS as home faves, 3-7 ATS overall as double-digit faves. B2b situation favors CHA (4-2 ATS) over CLEV (5-6 ATS).
INDI +8 First, the numbers: INDI 5-10 ATS as a road dog, 6-10 on the road overall. NYK 3-4 ATS as a home fave, 8-9 ATS overall at home, has never been tagged as a fave of more than 6 pts all season, and is 3-5 ATS overall as a fave. Ok now forget all of that shit. The little voice in my ear is saying that after NYK beat all expectations to hand the Atlanta Hawks their 3rd straight loss, it's going to go home and shoot itself in the foot again. Also, if you believe the 1_Hit_Take_All theory, you have to play against the home fave who just came off a road win as a dog. Personally, I think Nate just ejaculated all of the juice he was cooping up in those weeks bench-warming, and now it's all dried up.
Leaning:
TOR +1 Rarely bet TOR, but I like'em now. SAS is an excellent 5-2 ATS as a road fave, with the 2 ATS losses coming in early November. TOR is 2-3 ATS as a home dog. IMHO, spot here is SAS on a 5-game win streak about to be broken, and although SA is slightly better on b2b games (2-3 ATS) vs TOR (1-6 ATS), I suspect that of both teams coming off overnight flights from the Eastern seaboard, TOR, coming off a loss to BOS, will play better.
++am on a bad 3-day slump, so I'd gladly hear about all your takes/picks.
If hansbourgh and murphy are still out knicks easily cover a big spread for once.
But the thing is, even severely depleted lineups like that of BOS and POR can pull out convincing wins. I've seen it too many times to discount injured teams
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Quote Originally Posted by Mikado:
If hansbourgh and murphy are still out knicks easily cover a big spread for once.
But the thing is, even severely depleted lineups like that of BOS and POR can pull out convincing wins. I've seen it too many times to discount injured teams
damn Steve, you need not remind me. It's obvious New Year's Eve til today hasn't been exactly profitable. It's hubris. After a good few weeks in November, I believed I could fly, and started betting 5 or 6 games a day, double the usual amount of wagers. Heck, I need to have more disciplined bets.
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damn Steve, you need not remind me. It's obvious New Year's Eve til today hasn't been exactly profitable. It's hubris. After a good few weeks in November, I believed I could fly, and started betting 5 or 6 games a day, double the usual amount of wagers. Heck, I need to have more disciplined bets.
Man that Spurs line looks square as hell but I dont see how Toronto wins this game. They are severely outmatched in this game and have faired poorly when dogged at home this year(2-4 SU). I might have to jump on the square train today with the Spurs.
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Man that Spurs line looks square as hell but I dont see how Toronto wins this game. They are severely outmatched in this game and have faired poorly when dogged at home this year(2-4 SU). I might have to jump on the square train today with the Spurs.
VegasVille: Likewise, how many people looked at ORL@CHI yesterday and said, "CHI surely will be blown out of their own building." But we all know what happened.
nba_calculator: Thanks, certainly hope it's a bounceback slate.
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VegasVille: Likewise, how many people looked at ORL@CHI yesterday and said, "CHI surely will be blown out of their own building." But we all know what happened.
nba_calculator: Thanks, certainly hope it's a bounceback slate.
the raptor looks good against sas althougth i classify the raptor under shitty or no good teams.this game against the sas you can see the raps play an exceptional game against a red hot sas team.
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the raptor looks good against sas althougth i classify the raptor under shitty or no good teams.this game against the sas you can see the raps play an exceptional game against a red hot sas team.
Man that Spurs line looks square as hell but I dont see how Toronto wins this game. They are severely outmatched in this game and have faired poorly when dogged at home this year(2-4 SU). I might have to jump on the square train today with the Spurs.
Are you for real...Toronto could not beat my Celts with no Rondo ..KG and the Truth.....Spurs all day in this 1.bank it
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Quote Originally Posted by Vegasville:
Man that Spurs line looks square as hell but I dont see how Toronto wins this game. They are severely outmatched in this game and have faired poorly when dogged at home this year(2-4 SU). I might have to jump on the square train today with the Spurs.
Are you for real...Toronto could not beat my Celts with no Rondo ..KG and the Truth.....Spurs all day in this 1.bank it
Are you for real...Toronto could not beat my Celts with no Rondo ..KG and the Truth.....Spurs all day in this 1.bank it
This is usually the type of thinking that has you scratching your head by the final buzzer: "If Team A beat Team B, and Team B beat Team C, then logically Team A can also easily beat Team C."
Nacho fast, Lone Ranger. The NBA don't work that way
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Quote Originally Posted by LaDaddy:
Are you for real...Toronto could not beat my Celts with no Rondo ..KG and the Truth.....Spurs all day in this 1.bank it
This is usually the type of thinking that has you scratching your head by the final buzzer: "If Team A beat Team B, and Team B beat Team C, then logically Team A can also easily beat Team C."
Nacho fast, Lone Ranger. The NBA don't work that way
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