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6-6 ats ytd -5.5 units...2-4 ats full game wagers -20.25 units...3-2 ats 2nd half wagers &#x2B;8 units...1-1 ML dogs &#x2B;5 units...0-1 ML favs -7.25 units...2-1 POD &#x2B;9 units...Went 2-2 yesterday making a small profit because of the ML &#x2B;200 hit on the Cavs. Also nailed the Cavs on the POD pick. As always heres yesterdays thread below...https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&amp;sub=101221570Tonight&#x27;s play is:Nets@Magic under 181.5 for 10 units... Last season the Magic were able to hit the under in 56% their games &amp; the season prior to that they completed a 57% season in relation to cashing unders. A big part of this was because of their style of play as the Magic averaged 78 shots per game last season and 76.9 shots per game the season prior. That was good enough for 25th &amp; 28th in the league at each seasons end. That worked out well for unders because the Magic ranked 1st &amp; 4th those 2 years opponents FG% allowing just 43.6% &amp; 43.5% over the course of those 2 seasons. What gets really interesting when conducting research involving how teams shooting below 45% fared on totals vs the Magic last season was even more so in favor of the under as it hit 14 times out of a possible 22 attempts raising the under percentages to remarkable 63.6% over the course of last season in tonight&#x27;s situation. The Nets look to possibly be one of the worst teams early on offensively as they are currently shooting just 35% in 2 games as they clearly have no help around Deron running the point. That 35% is the reason that we are seeing such a low total tonight. At first that total being so low was a little alarming for an under wagerer but then I took a look at those 22 games I spoke of even closer and found out that the 4 games out of those 22 games that had totals set between 180-185 all stayed under in regulation and went 3-1ats to the under as that only loss came because of an OT period. Here are the games below...12/4/10 @Bucks (85-96)L 183.5u12/9/10 @Portland (83-97)L 184.5u3/16/11 @Bucks (93-89ot)w 181.5oScore was tied at 79 before OT4/5/11 vsBucks (78-72)w 180.5uSo there you have it. Last year teams that shot less than 45% as a team with totals set in-between 180-185 last season played out to an average of just 167.25ppg in regulation play. This is excellent news after witnessing the Net&#x27;s only exceed the 20 point quarterly mark once in their game against the Hawks (11, 19, 25 &amp; 15). I like my chances tonight with this excellent situation that is starring me in the face...POD

oddsbuster · Answer

6-6 ats ytd -5.5 units...2-4 ats full game wagers -20.25 units...3-2 ats 2nd half wagers &#x2B;8 units...1-1 ML dogs &#x2B;5 units...0-1 ML favs -7.25 units...2-1 POD &#x2B;9 units...Went 2-2 yesterday making a small profit because of the ML &#x2B;200 hit on the Cavs. Also nailed the Cavs on the POD pick. As always heres yesterdays thread below...https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&amp;sub=101221570Tonight&#x27;s play is:Nets@Magic under 181.5 for 10 units... Last season the Magic were able to hit the under in 56% their games &amp; the season prior to that they completed a 57% season in relation to cashing unders. A big part of this was because of their style of play as the Magic averaged 78 shots per game last season and 76.9 shots per game the season prior. That was good enough for 25th &amp; 28th in the league at each seasons end. That worked out well for unders because the Magic ranked 1st &amp; 4th those 2 years opponents FG% allowing just 43.6% &amp; 43.5% over the course of those 2 seasons. What gets really interesting when conducting research involving how teams shooting below 45% fared on totals vs the Magic last season was even more so in favor of the under as it hit 14 times out of a possible 22 attempts raising the under percentages to remarkable 63.6% over the course of last season in tonight&#x27;s situation. The Nets look to possibly be one of the worst teams early on offensively as they are currently shooting just 35% in 2 games as they clearly have no help around Deron running the point. That 35% is the reason that we are seeing such a low total tonight. At first that total being so low was a little alarming for an under wagerer but then I took a look at those 22 games I spoke of even closer and found out that the 4 games out of those 22 games that had totals set between 180-185 all stayed under in regulation and went 3-1ats to the under as that only loss came because of an OT period. Here are the games below...12/4/10 @Bucks (85-96)L 183.5u12/9/10 @Portland (83-97)L 184.5u3/16/11 @Bucks (93-89ot)w 181.5oScore was tied at 79 before OT4/5/11 vsBucks (78-72)w 180.5uSo there you have it. Last year teams that shot less than 45% as a team with totals set in-between 180-185 last season played out to an average of just 167.25ppg in regulation play. This is excellent news after witnessing the Net&#x27;s only exceed the 20 point quarterly mark once in their game against the Hawks (11, 19, 25 &amp; 15). I like my chances tonight with this excellent situation that is starring me in the face...POD

215Hustler · Answer

GL buddy

LetEMride · Answer

awesome read. thanks for the insight.

GerManiac · Answer

Best of luck tonight

LetEMride · Answer

Odds,How about taking NJ team total under 85? Seems like a bit of a safer play, no?

oddsbuster · Answer

It feels as if the Nets could actually help this total out by playing a bit of defense them selves. I have never been a big team total player. But I wouldn&#x27;t disagree with anyone attempting to wager under that number you just posted to go along with the full game....

PLAYAAAA1969 · Answer

BOL    Not feeling o/u lately ....BOL

Icemonkey · Answer

Odds...what are your thoughts on the Spurs? They look to be playing very well and Im sure the team staying very similar to last year&#x27;s team is helping.

Imakeplays · Answer

though I respect your effort and well thought out breakdown. IN a scientific sense your experiment is immediately thrown out because the bucks are the common variable three times in your 4 historical examples. Therefore one cannot directly conclude that the correlation between unders and the total being low is valid, but rather the issue is further complicated by the addition of the bucks as a consistent variable.

that being said I think you win your bet, but not for the reasons you wrote.

PABBANKS · Answer

GD LK ODDS...

3BallBomber · Answer

BOL

chestbrah · Answer

BOL brah

LawDog · Answer

GL tonight Odds

SiuLungBao · Answer

oddsthis play is also my streak survivor lol

Jose_Reyes · Answer

GL odds

JB9569 · Answer

Nice insight --- I&#39;m rolling with u on this play BOL

oddsbuster · Answer

I like the Spurs but will most likely be reluctant to make wagers on them on the road laying chalk. The Rockets defense has serious question marks all over it though...

coolfool · Answer

nice call on the under in orlando

oddsbuster · Answer

I can assure you this is no experiment. I value these situations and will be wagering accordingly based on these types of plays throughout the season. Been doing it for years. I do however think you choose to look past the point I was trying to make. My point was any time the Magic have played a team that shoots below the 45% mark it has convincingly favored the under. I would love to hear any outside reasons as to why you think this play may hit for different reasons in relation that doesn&#x27;t involve the Net&#x27;s offense sucking ass...BOL

oddsbuster · Answer

It&#x27;s the 1st qtr....

Imakeplays · Answer

Well I hear you my man, and as I said i am a follower of yours and a faithful one, so I dont mean to come off the wrong way, but I personally think its tough to even highlight the 45% stat when the bucks are still in the example 3 times, thats what I mean about experiment, like the scientific method.but either way I liked your play and I hope you win. Check out my posts sometime if you get the chance, I am 15-6 currently NBA

coolfool · Answer

i mean call like info... nice hit would mean its over lol

oddsbuster · Answer

Just checking. Got keep you honest. We don&#x27;t need no jinx&#x27;s round here...Thank you BTW. Hope this shit fest continues...

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