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NBA TUE FEB 14 ""GAME OF THE WEEK"""

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Posted: #26
IDK maybe you should wait and find out if Nash is or is not playing before you lock such a big wager in 44..GL
 
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Posted: #27
 
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Posted: #28
 
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Posted: #29
well i have to say i was a little hesitant to pull the trigger after hearing about nash possibly resting . . . but these trend and stats jump out.

Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite

however there are also the following 2 trends

Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Home team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

There is also the scoring margin.

Phoenix is -4.2 on the road while denver is +2.6 at home.

Even though nash is probably not going to play you also have gallinari and nene listed as questionable for denver as stated above by dimes.

I really wish i would have watched a couple phoenix's games this year.  I dont think i have seen a single one.  I heard that the team plays really poorly while nash is on the bench. 
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

YTD 46-30  ( +31.55 units )

5u  0-0

4u  3-1

3u  10-3

2u  11-13

1u  22-13

PHOENIX +9 ( 4 units )Game of the Week

The Nuggets a 9 point favorite in this game ????  Way too many points to be laying in this spot.  It'sno coincidence that Denver have lost 5 out of their last 6 games. No MOZGOG, no GALLINARI and the latest news is the NENE is also doubtful for thoday's game. It looks like Denver will only be dressing 9 tonight. The Suns are a reasonable 4-2 Ats playing B2B. Denver is 16-12 ATS but only 9-11 as a favorite. This is a huge number to be laying under these circumstances. Look for Nash to advantage of a Nugget smaller size front court.  SCORE PROJECTION 98-94 FINAL.

MEMPHIS -3 ( 3 units )

This is another solid play as far as I'm concerned. I've done well with my 3u plays this year. There's a nice situational trend developing with Memphis playing in their following game coming off a home loss.  They are 4-0 SU after a home loss with wins against HOU 113-93, NY 94-83, DEN 100-97, and MIN 85-80 . This game fits nicely into this angle with Memphis losing at home against the Jazz Sunday night.

 Good luck everybody. I'll try to respond to any discussion later on today. I'm gonna be busy spoiling my wife for most of the day. HAPPY VALENTINES DAY TO ALL THE FEMALES.

.

 
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Posted: #31
  44Dsssssssssssssssss
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

well i have to say i was a little hesitant to pull the trigger after hearing about nash possibly resting . . . but these trend and stats jump out.

Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite

however there are also the following 2 trends

Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Home team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

There is also the scoring margin.

Phoenix is -4.2 on the road while denver is +2.6 at home.

Even though nash is probably not going to play you also have gallinari and nene listed as questionable for denver as stated above by dimes.

I really wish i would have watched a couple phoenix's games this year.  I dont think i have seen a single one.  I heard that the team plays really poorly while nash is on the bench. 

They look lost without him. Nash will set them up and if they're forced off their spot, they'll dribble into trouble. Pass back to Nash and expect him to bail them out with either a shot or an assist. It gets ugly sometimes when Nash is in, imagine this kind of offense when Nash is out.

 
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Posted: #33

Thanks for the plays Dimes. If I do end up taking this play, it'd be more of a fade on the Nuggets than a play on the Suns.

 
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Posted: #34
 
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Posted: #35
Dimes what do you think about the Pistons +8.5 vs the spurs?
 
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Posted: #36
Phoenix
 
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Posted: #37
like your pick dimes!  BOL!
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by Bones29:

Dimes what do you think about the Pistons +8.5 vs the spurs?

i was looking for some help on this also as to me this was the line that jumped out the most.

For some reason when i looked at this line it really jumped out at me.  My first thought was that it was a lot of points for a home team to be getting against a san antonio team that plays pretty poorly on the road.

numbers wise detroit has a +2.6 scoring margin at home while san antone has a -2.6 on the road. Detroit averages 90.1 points at home while san antone averages 94.5 on the road.

trend wise these jump out

Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Pistons are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog


So can anyone share their thoughts on this game?

 
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Posted: #39
If Nash is indeed out, as well as half of Denver's roster, how is u206.5 not a great play?
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
Like Memphis here as well... Houston playing OKC tomorrow night at home.
 
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Posted: #42
looks good 44..

 GL 
 
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Posted: #43
memphis
 
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Posted: #44
Liking Kings +12 at chi town w/no D Rose. anyone agree???
 
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Posted: #45
Kings are terrible on the road. And Bulls still blow out bad teams w/o Rose (see Bobcats game.)
 
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Posted: #46
Big night for you dimes, good luck. Have fun with the wifey as well
 
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Posted: #47
who said nash is out?  he looked just fine last night
 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by italianmafiaSB:

who said nash is out?  he looked just fine last night

Who said he was injured? Someone mentioned he is sitting out to rest up.

 
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Posted: #49
Nash in or out denver is still blowing phx out
 
 
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Posted: #50
Yeah, there's been rumors of the Suns resting Nash (middle of a B2B2B) and Hill, but I haven't seen or found a legitimate source saying so.
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