Nba Tuesday bomb... no mercy... i change my mind and will post play while still hitting...

But i decided to change my mind and play while my trend and model is still useful.....

Yesterday my trend still hits... i reach my goal in playoffs and plan to stop.. and play game 6 or 7 or the finals...

But i decided i will bomb a play while my trend is still useful....

And share it here... disregard my total play, i stated on my other thread that i will play under, disregard it... no play on totals.

We will choose sides, the trend is stronger choosing side... and after reviewing it... sides deserves the play....

Combining it with some not too stressful factors in my own capping...

Here we go....

But boston celtics has a lot of oladipos...

Imagine when oladipo is isolating or getting some screen in the middle on the center top of the key...

In boston, we have a lot of oladipos.......

Boston still not losing at home yet, how deserving it could be if lebron give them the first one?

But according to the regular season numbers, cavs team is weak on the road...

I almost believe they are a change team after sweeping the raptors, but against boston in game 1? They are still the same old cavs who dont have a good ats record specially on the road...

Trend and model and capping says.....

No mercy jpots...

Think about this, when you losing they dont have mercy, while winning i decided to have no mercy too...

Bomb it hard...

Not addicted, as i dont bet everyday in playoffs, but now i will as long as i am winning...  1 lose now, i rest fo awhile...

Thanks for that info.. 

My source says boston m.l slightly higher than cavs...

More on 50% 50%...

76ers has a lot of scorers and threats compare to cavs..

But boston solve them easily...

Bench of cavs the newly acquired bench, clarkson hood nance not much of a factor the way they are playing in playoffs...

George hill also mediocre performance...

Look at how the defense set up by boston on every team, and you think they cannot handle love and lebron, love is a guessing game also, you dont know when he will have a big game... even so, boston celtics can beat them...

Lebron making plays is not enough for now against boston homecourt, the cavs bench will onky join the party if lebron already took a huge lead the bench will play loose and score, thats what i am seeing all playoffs for cavs...

Jr smith and korver? Not consistent enough...

But boston celtics players? Too consistent, over the ceiling on both ends of the floor..... so who will you choose?

We ride cavs to be a hero? Ride houston to be a hero yesterday? Loss

Ride cavs to be a hero and finally they figure it out against the raps and follow it up against boston game 1? Lose again...

Boston celtics is not to be a hero again for game 2, perception is cavs bounce back game 2 thats a hero... but siding with heroes doesnt end well for now...

So we side with the much consistent team at home... 

Brad stevens coach of celtics asked about what can he say that his team started 8 0 at home in playoffs..

His response, i dont want to talk about it... this coach means business, clever guy.

Espn

Mine shows public climbing back on Clev. (sprd/ml). High % on the over also.

Thats good news for the celtics splay jpots

Masters from Ceighton?????

Jpots, i like how you respond on my thread, you a stand up guy yesterday when i needed some info, and your explanation is on point like your scenario here...

There is a time when i bomb a play, and one capper here cant decide what picks he will choose, and say to my thread to post it now, or i am teasing, but i posted it early i just need to type first my analysis... so he misinterpreted me..

I visited his thread and told him, if you want to win big today, follow my bomb play and bet this, this is the only time for the whole season that i did that, and i want him to win that day big enough... and the bomb play won....

I dont do that, only once for this whole season, the reason i am so confident about that play is because, i usually make a bomb play if 6 of the 8 factors that i am considering is pointing at the play...

That day, all 8 factors are pointing at that play and won.

Perfect factors is rare, only 3 times in regular season happens, and 1 in playoffs which is 5 factors that i am using.... so in playoffs i bomb a play if 4 out of 5 factors line up on 1 play.  the cavs first game vs toronto raptors.. is a perfect 5 out of 5 factors...  where i made a thread my biggest play of the season and won...

Tonight my boston play is on 5 factors all pointing on boston play..

So this is the second time this playoffs happen... where all the factors i consider is 5 0 pointing in one play.

When i say factors, trend, trend, analysis, stats, model... the most important that suits me in choosing a bomb play.

I also bomb a play if factors is 4 1 pointing on 1 play, i adjusted the units but still a bomb play...

So in playoffs

My first perfect factors play and i made a thread my biggest play of the season, cavs game 1 vs toronto...

2nd perfect factor now activated

Boston celtics -1  

How can i resist not to play? I say no mercy... 

Goodluck man 

My model is my guide in choosing play. Sometimes medium, small, sometimes bomb, but the moment i bomb a play relying solely on my model, i lose the first 2 bomb plays in playoffs...

But before that bomb play, i am riding a 14 2 ats using that model, wrong timing and the bomb play lose.

So after that, my model stil choose play, but with combination of my trend, other trends, analysis and system.. so whatever you call it but i need 5 factors now, and should be 4 1 pointing on one play to play it big... if not i play it small or medium play.

So in order for that model to choose a play, i am following a line and sequence, using 5 lines... if majority is one play, that will be a play...

So that is 1 factor....

For today model score is 4 1 using 5 lines, choosing boston.

Thats consider as 1 factor.

Then i proceed to other factors that i am using, the trends. Analysis comes first, because i dont want trends and model to influence my analysis... so capping comes first analyzing numbers and the present position of both teams or totals...

So analysis another factor...

Thats 2.

Then i proceed to other 3 factors...

So that model is only good as 1 factor... when i choose a play, it should be 3 2 in 5 factors, units depends if the factors is 4 1 or 5 0... so i adjust...

I dont play this playoffs if my analysis and model is at the bottom of the 5 factors... so if the factors is 3 2, and my analysis and model is at the minority, i dont usually play...

Because that means i will depend on trends only...

Model plus analyis plus 1 trend if all point to the play, much stronger.

Great work jpots 

Your analysis is on point these past 3 days and i believe you too just like yesterday when you say, public might win backing gsw, you got it...

I say dont hesitate now, lebron is the only one holding you back, even if boston is +4, lebron will still hold your wager in deciding who to play and i mean for the majority of people including me.... lol 

Yesterday, whats holding the majority is harden plus paul plus hosuton as the no.1 team, that cancels out the big 3 of gsw...

So the real holding the wager back is..... houston homecourt game 1...

But hey gsw covers and you are right. 

So now, you say, yesterday public won on gsw, before that, public loss on cavs... so what will happen now?

I tell you majority of holding back the boston play is ? Lebron and cavs bounce back game 2, they wont lose 2 in a row game 1 game 2 right?

Keep circling and you end up in the wrong play thats what i experience..

So the thing to decide for me is 5 factors, i cant decide early yesterday as gsw is 3 2 in my factors, with my model at the minority..

But i am stubborn and hit that one big which is a risky play that i consider lol.....

But now, i am bot guilty of being stubborn, i like it, all 5 factors is on boston celtics.

I will say, bomb it hard today jpots... and win big, no mercy and get the $$$$$$...

I want to point out yesterday this statement, what do you want? You too comfortable in backing houston at home and calm at halftime, or bet gsw and get scared for the first 3 quarters? But be happy after the game is over...

This too my prediction for the game...

Cavs just leading in 3 or 2 quarters doesnt mean they figure it out, doesnt mean cavs bounce back in game 2...

Get a scare choosing boston then after 4th q ends we will win big............. 

So this is sometimes the reason i just hint a play on my thread, if i post a play, i talk too much, and spill all whats in my mind...

And get bash lol...

Goodluck man... 

1. Analysis choosing boston, score of analysis boston 3 0

2. Model choosing boston, score of model boston 4  1

3.  First set of trends, regular season plus playoffs trends ( present trends), i got 4 trends now, backing boston  4 0

4.  2nd set of trends, ( history) score 3 1  backing boston

5. System 1 set, consist of 3 system   3 0 ( inside of system we  got score too lol )  backing boston too 3 0

So the final score of 5 factors in choosing play 5 0 

So 5 0 = bomb play

So thats about it for me...