Posted:
#1
Play: Indiana -5
They managed to put up some W's before the All Star break, granted, against low quality teams but they figured a way to get out of that previous 5 L's slump. Golden State played well lately, winning 5 of their last 8 and losing two games very close. Yeah, they might be in revenge mode against Indiana after the horrible call from the refs a month ago when Hill stripped the ball from Ellis and converted a 3 point play.
But even with their recent nice performances, the Warriors still have a 13-17 record and not nice numbers.
On the road, they're averaging 99.2 ppg and are allowing 103.2 ppg. Indiana is averaging 98 ppg at home and are allowing just 91.2.
Also, the Warriors are Danny Granger's favorite opponent as he is averaging a whopping 31.6 ppg against them since 2008.
Curry is listed as probable for this game.
Golden State has no business to attack Indiana in the paint, as they have no weapons under the rim whatsoever. They'll have to settle for jumpers and 3 pointers and while I know they can be hot from those areas, Indiana is ranked 13th in defending the downtown shots and are 9th in making them with a .364 average. Even if the Warriors will go hot, Indiana can almost match them and then some more from the paint.
Indiana gets more to the FT line, averaging 25.1 FTs/game while GSW is averaging 20.4.
As for the look ahead angle, there is no such thing for Indiana today, as they will travel only Saturday @ New Orleans. GSW will start a 5 roadie, with a game today @ Indiana and tomorrow at Atlanta.
I expect the Pacers to come out strong, to dominate the paint, and get their 5th W in a row for the first time in two years.
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