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one [WIN] a day, let's all help each other and get [PAID]

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Prospect
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Posted: #126
Great a system.  Let,s do it
 
Veteran
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Posted: #127
Quote Originally Posted by M0n3y2BMad3:

What are the plays tony??


No play today

Let's stick to the concept of not forcing the action when it's not
crystal clear and using the game as research for later down the road.

Looking forward to Round 2 of this long & profitable Playoffs.

You can reach me directly on Skype ID tony.covers with any questions or comments.
 
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Posted: #128
5/4 NO PLAY

Too many [if's] in this match-up. Both teams don't deserve a play.
Expect high-powered drama. Save your money for later down the road.
 
Captain
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Posted: #129
Good call, Tony and tjohn I think oftentimes it is a juice play but when you hit it is worth it.   I have done this when I have one leg of a teaser left and go the other side for the scoop.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #130
Quote Originally Posted by tony2toes:

5/4 NO PLAY

Too many [if's] in this match-up. Both teams don't deserve a play.
Expect high-powered drama. Save your money for later down the road.


I like your style..  ONE play per day or no play.  There is no guarantee in this business..  It's hard to win a game.  So why take a higher risk.  Good job, Tony!  Discipline is key.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #131
agreed that discipline is one very important or key element in being successful and staying successful...as you said tony, lots of playoff bb is left.
we will get them next time
 
Prospect
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Posted: #132
bookmarked this thread ! will wait for the 2nd round plays.. but for now i might gamble small play for brooklyn.. if only bulls are much healthier and get plenty of rest + rose.. i might consider bulls.. but brooklyn for 2nd round :)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #133
got lucky again. By the way, good call tony for the no play really tough match up.
 
All-Star
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Posted: #134
Going to bump this thread!
 
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Posted: #135
Quote Originally Posted by sweeep:

got lucky again. By the way, good call tony for the no play really tough match up.


The match up was easy, it was more about Home court and having a better team (on paper). Talent wise Nets should have won easy.
Yet it all comes down to coaching hustle and heart, clearly Chicago had that going for them and they were the only play today, if betting.
1. Brook Lopez is a soft 7 footer. Plays down to the opponent.
2. Joe Johnson admitted to being a "decoy" out there on one foot.
3. Deron Williams tries to be too fancy and doesn't shoot enough.
4. Wallace admitted to not knowing his role on the team.
5. Humphries had no business being in that game, total dud
6. Reggie Evans is just bad luck, something about him.
7. Brooklyn crowd chanting "brooklyn brooklyn...." 0 sense.
8. PJ Carlisimo didn't make the proper adjustments.
9. Sometimes the crowd can be the 6th man, non-existent.
10. Nets have didn't play with intensity until the 3rd Q. Too late


Chicago Bulls = Heart & Determination, it clearly showed tonight.

What I learned, go with the facts, don't play the game on paper.
Late in the series go with the trend trust your instincts & get paid.

Scared money is dead money yet I still feel OK about the no play today.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #136
Tomorrow I really really like the grizzlies plus the points.

with westbrook out, the grizzlies d can key in on durant.

check this clip out of tony allens relentless d on durant


i like the griz plus the points on the road tomorrow
 
Prospect
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Posted: #137

Good stuff, let's get ready for a  tomorrow!

 
Prospect
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Posted: #138

Quote Originally Posted by tony2toes:



The match up was easy, it was more about Home court and having a better team (on paper). Talent wise Nets should have won easy.
Yet it all comes down to coaching hustle and heart, clearly Chicago had that going for them and they were the only play today, if betting.
1. Brook Lopez is a soft 7 footer. Plays down to the opponent.
2. Joe Johnson admitted to being a "decoy" out there on one foot.
3. Deron Williams tries to be too fancy and doesn't shoot enough.
4. Wallace admitted to not knowing his role on the team.
5. Humphries had no business being in that game, total dud
6. Reggie Evans is just bad luck, something about him.
7. Brooklyn crowd chanting "brooklyn brooklyn...." 0 sense.
8. PJ Carlisimo didn't make the proper adjustments.
9. Sometimes the crowd can be the 6th man, non-existent.
10. Nets have didn't play with intensity until the 3rd Q. Too late


Chicago Bulls = Heart & Determination, it clearly showed tonight.

What I learned, go with the facts, don't play the game on paper.
Late in the series go with the trend trust your instincts & get paid.

Scared money is dead money yet I still feel OK about the no play today.

Cool. Still, the match up is tough then, just easy on paper my friend. But if you base on some pros/cons and some consideration, it's kinda so so on picking a better team. But like it's outcome, heart and system played a significant part over talent. Dont get me wrong man, I'm with you on this, just clearing that this is not that easy match up for me,generally. I'm on my first season so I'm here to learn 

 
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Posted: #139
Very important to remember:

the books do not set the lines to predict the outcome of a game or who they think is going to win, the line is set to get the action in their favor, even action on both sides (or in their favor). Strictly business you don't care who wins the game, it's all about numbers and perception.
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by sweeep:

Cool. Still, the match up is tough then, just easy on paper my friend. But if you base on some pros/cons and some consideration, it's kinda so so on picking a better team. But like it's outcome, heart and system played a significant part over talent. Dont get me wrong man, I'm with you on this, just clearing that this is not that easy match up for me,generally. I'm on my first season so I'm here to learn 



Yes, exactly as you said. All that I meant was the match up was easy if you went with the facts and not what was on paper. I felt really really good about the Bulls ML last night and then talked myself out of it by considering home court, the better players
on paper, and all of the key players who were out for the Bulls.
Hindsight is always 20/20 as we know. That's partly why I said earlier to expect high drama as the favorite (Nets) would certainly
not make it easy on themselves at Home. The key to all of this is putting in the work treating it like a job and getting better as we go.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #141
i too like Memphis with the 3 points as they can play up tempo or run nice half court sets. thunder can score a lot and my biggest concern would be if they got into a high scoring game as i feel that favors the thunder.
Mem a very good road team that will need to slow the game down and score consistently to beat the thunder. thinking mem is ready to go to the next level.
thunder did find their way without RW and handled hou easily in the second half...liking mem bigs of gasol and randolph over perkins and ibaka for points in the paint...
 
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Posted: #142
Quote Originally Posted by rocklocks:

Tomorrow I really really like the grizzlies plus the points.

with westbrook out, the grizzlies d can key in on durant.

check this clip out of tony allens relentless d on durant


i like the griz plus the points on the road tomorrow


This match up is too even and is not a good spot to warrant a
play in Game 1. My personal rule is to pick your spots wisely
based on the facts, certain trends, and momentum. Don't force
the action, just to get action. Use the early games 1-4 as research
and use them to your advantage in games 5-7 to make money.
Look for the weakest team in the best spot with the best odds and good things will happen. Don't force the action.
 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by M0n3y2BMad3:

Game starts early tomorrow wi you have a play toy by tonight ?


I generally use the early games in the series as research and then later use them to my (our) advantage later in the series to capitalize on.
The "one WIN a day" applies to any day that we wager, not each and every day, just to get action. By rule I pick spots wisely and don't wager every game. I suggest that many of you follow this same concept as wagering every day can get overwhelming trying
to predict what's going to happen, with little information to go on.

Use Games 1-4 as research, to make profit in games 5-7.

It takes discipline, you have to reach in and find it for long-term success.

 
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Posted: #144
Recap of our 3-0 record so far:

Boston Celtics -- were down 3-1 in the series.
Brooklyn Nets -- were down 3-2 in the series.
Oklahoma Thunder -- were up 3-2 in the series.
 
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Posted: #145
As first glance I like the Knicks but after the way pacers played on the road against hawks with a big win and the way the Knicks manhandled them last time I can actually see the pacers winning maybe a let down spot for ny and some revenge on pacers mind. See this game be very close from start to finish. My heart goes for Knicks but my gut tells me the pacers is the play any feedback appreciated.
 
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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by darkmandave:

See this game be very close from start to finish.


If you see it that way then don't force the action, get the odds in your favor by using Games 1-4 as research, and then using that data to make money (with less stress) in games 5-7.
 
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Posted: #147
K thanks man...
 
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Posted: #148
Patience and Discipline

Patience and discipline are the two most important things you need to have in order to find the edge and succeed in sports betting. Yes, these two are more important than money management itself because, without patience and discipline you wouldn't be able to successfully employ an efficient money management plan. In sports betting, having patience and discipline is a special ability--if you cannot master this special ability you will never find the edge. It may seem easy but mastering this ability is very difficult, it is as hard as climbing a slippery and almost vertical hill; you can lose control and slip anytime. For most bettors it is virtually impossible to maintain patience and discipline in the long run. They might do everything perfectly for 1 week, 1 month or even a year but eventually they will momentarily lose that special ability and that moment is enough to destroy the bankroll.

Most bettors begin with a short bankroll, perhaps a few hundred dollars. Often bettors who load their sportsbook with short bankroll find it impossible to maintain patience and discipline in a consistent basis because they will get bored of using proper money management on such small amount. As a result they will lose their bankroll frequently and re-load numerous times to accumulate losses. These bettors turn few hundred dollar losses into few thousand dollars in a matter of few weeks while dreaming of turning few hundred dollars into few thousand dollars of profit! Without patience and discipline your dream will never come true.

 
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Posted: #149
Bro I swear u and lippsman are very informative on this site. I like the lessons and info you both provide on this site about gambling very wise words to casual bettors like myself. It's all about controlling the action and not chasing bets or going above or beyond your means. Keep up the great info and great work.
 
 
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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by darkmandave:

Bro I swear u and lippsman are very informative on this site. I like the lessons and info you both provide on this site about gambling very wise words to casual bettors like myself. It's all about controlling the action and not chasing bets or going above or beyond your means. Keep up the great info and great work.


You're welcome. Glad that you (and everyone) doesn't take it as someone trying to be right or smarter than anyone else. The goal here is teamwork and ultimately getting paid from both our insight & experience. Treat each other as equals and help when possible.
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