SAC IT UP *GAME 3*

Playoff record

Straight bets 9-4
Teasers 1-3
Totals 0-1


1. BULL-2.5

The bulls have won 6 in a row. Thibs has them dialed into playoff basketball. I feel that Jason Kidd's inexperience showed in game 2. His strategy to "scrum it up" in game 2 was deployed 1 game too early IMO. He would of been much better off to use that strategy tonight in game 3 on their homecourt. This showed me that he doesn't trust his team to beat the bulls by playing su ball. The mismatches on the court favor the bulls, too much size and length. Scruming it up w/ the Bulls is the wrong strategy, it actually fueled them up, and they respond well to such tough tactics. I'm not sure what Kidd does tonight, I can't see him even daring to go ISO down low vs pao and noa.

Game 1 spread opened -8, a 5.5 value swing, ofcoarse flip flopping homecourt and adding desperation to the bucks needing this one is condusive of that. But the pressure is on the Bucks here, not the Bulls. And Thibs isn't one to let off for a second.

Nikola Mirotic is out(a blessing in disguise) he is a great addition to the bulls but he has been cold as ice of late. I like what Tony Snell can do w/ added minutes. The guy has a great 3 ball, and on defense he has the length to contest MCW.

I know the dog at home down 0-2 looks like the sharp play, but I'll take the short line here tonight.

I capped the bulls to win by 4.36.

Leaning pelicans+5 and possibly ML.

BOL FELLAS

Mirotic will play?

ARGHHHH! dumb question

delete it

Hes out. Most likely out next game too, quad strain

GL buddy... Not touching this game.. Just so you know, Home dogs in playoffs since 2005 coming off two non covers are 12-4-1 ATS. I hope that changes for you mate.. Thoughts about Rondo and the Mavs now? Just heard on Mike and Mike that both Celtics and Mavs had better win percentages without him this season. Celtics with him, only win 35%, 52% without him. Mavs won 67% without him, 54% with him. I think we might see a better Mavs team in game #3 vs the Rockets... GL today mate, my lean is The Warriors today. Line is weak, should be -7 if the last game was -13. I think they crush the Pels and then the Pels steal game #4 and then return for the 5th and final game of the series..

I hear you aussie. Those ats stats are correct, I only take em here because of the short line. It's closer to a pick so I adjusted the ats figures a tad in my cap. Also I lessen the public factor a bit w/ shorter lines and picks. I expect the public to be on the bulls. The Bulls have defied all betting logic all year as well.

In Dallas...right on bro. Line opened dallas-2! Now at a pick 72% are on Houston. Think we are going to see a good value swing by tip. And yes rondo out the door is a blessing. Carlise sat parsons out for a reason and I'm hopeing he can give it a go. Do or die for Dallas, this might be the only time to make a play on em this series.

W/ the pels, they showed me they can win when they need to in high pressure situations, like vs the spurs when they needed to get in the playoffs. Im yet to cap it or make a decision there. The public will be on gsw.

BOL

Nice hit on nets+10 DK.

GL today

Bulls win........absolute.......Bulls win

BOL bro. but the bulls are no juggernaut. IMO they were very unimpressive for most of the season. How many times did we see them drop games to teams like the magic? I don't think its a given they win 3 straight playoff games even if it is against a soft Bucks draw. I get that the short line is tempting but in my opinion this game three is a coinflip. should be tight throughout. 

ADDING...

3 TEAM 8PT TEASER(-120)*gasp*...

1. BOSTON+13
2. clev/boston UNDER 214.5
3. PELICANS+13.5

Bovada has redboxed pels game so not the regular-110 juice. Had to use my other book.

med to reg play

BOL

BULLS-2.5 $$$

3 TEAM TEASER $$$

2-0 night. 5-1 last 2 days.

Goodnight Covers, see ya all tomorrow.

great work sac. i know some people are tailing you with out even  saying thanks

***FRIDAY***

1. CLIPPERS+4.5(reg play)

Tony Parker is questionable. He's been dealing w/ that Achilles for a while now. It's a very delicate tendon once strained, and there is a reasonable chance of a blowout especially on the hardwood. I feel he "might" be a late scratch. Even if he does play he will be sore and a step slow IMO.

That last game's OT was added minutes to the spurs old legs that they did not want. The last month of the season where they went on that incredible win streak was no time for rest. Combine that w/ the OT I feel its a nice spot for the clips to cover here.

It'd be in Doc Gooden's best interest to run his boys hard, early and often. At the very least make the spurs hustle back to their half court set after an in bound pass, and a faster run after a clippers defensive rebound.

I'm interested to see if Pop calls for his team to crash the boards after shooting so poorly game 2. I suspect he won't because that would make them twice as susceptible to fast breaks.

I capped this matchup for game one where I had the spurs a .33 fav if it were a neutral court. I did not factor in ATS stats then for the line was a near pick.

CLIPPERS ATS AWAY 22-19 (4-0 last 4)
CLIPPERS ATS AWAY VS WEST 14-12

SPURS ATS HOME 21-18-2 (3-1 last 4)
SPURS ATS HOME VS WEST 13-12-2

Near dead even, slightest edge clippers. But consider the clippers were usually road favs not road dogs throughout the year.

Last game opened clip-2. Now +4.5, a 6.5 value swing in that regard.

I cap the spurs to win by 2.83. I'M taking the +4.5.

With all the other angles mentioned above I feel this is the best chance to steal one back @San Antonio. Considering a play on the ML.

BOL

Nice hit bro! I like Clips as well. Surprised line is going up and might still go up. Got any teaser play? 

Like it except the raptors. Just from watching them and wiz, looks like it just might be a missmatch that the raptors might not have an answer for. Yes they are desperate for a win...but we also saw a desperate celtics, bucks, and pelicans go 0-3. But its worse for the raptors...game 3 is on the road.

I haven't touched this series and dont plan on it.

BOL DK

Good work, buddy. Way to fill up the sacks. I like the Clippers too but I'm laying off. I'm hoping they win so we can go big on the Spurs in game 4. The Clippers, though they are or have been chokers (in the final analysis), are great in these spots. They are very tough minded, just don't ask them to close out a series. Last year, they won game 3 at Oracle against the Dubs (with the series tied) then they won game 1 in OKC (very tough to do),  then almost won game 5 (also in OKC).  

Whats interesting these playoffs is there have been only 3 dog ML's to hit thus far...wizards twice, spurs+2 game 2.(anyone correct me if I'm wrong)
Pelicans failing yesterday was a travesty.
This makes me reluctant of a clippers ML bet today, even though those outcomes shouldn't influence this game.

Thanks BB. BOL w/ Dallas

Great Write ups.. Congrats and Good Luck on the Clips

Nice work Sac . . .

great work as usual sac...going with my gut today..houston pk and under 215. and also going with the wiz. dont see how they are going to lose at home when they've been doing so well on the road. gl to you!!

Any teasers for today?

ADDING...

3 TEAM 8PT TEASER(-110)*reg play*

1. Dallas+9.5
2. Clippers+13
3. Spurs/Clippers UNDER 212

Also...

CLIPPERS ML(+175)*small*

BOL