Posted:
#1
154-138 YTD
38-14 post all-star break(+35.05 units)
2-4 yesterday(+.19 units)
First losing day since break(record wise). Wasn't feeling the card much so went w/ a couple nutty parlays and lost a small one on Bucks/Celtics live over 220 by 1 pt. Really poor defensive showing by okc and pelicans. That under burned right away. But I kinda like okc ats tomorrow...
Tonight
1. CHARLOTTE HORNETS+4(-112)*XL
2. ML(+147)*med
Great spot for the Hornets to bounce back after the Cavs wooped on em. The Cavs were in a bounce back spot themselves for that game, not a good situation for the Hornets, or any team for that matter. The public mind is short...but I'm not gonna throw away what the Hornets were doing before the Cavs game.
Before the Cavs game: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS last 5. 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS last 8(both ats losses were as favs)
The Pacers are coming off a 108-105 home win vs the Knicks. That game was close from beggining to end. A rather competitive and taxing game.
Pacers are 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS last 5 games. 4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS last 8 games.
Next few points I like most:
1. In their last matchup on Feb 10th, the Hornets beat them 117-95. So one can say it's a revenge spot for Indy, it very well could be. But I think the matchups favor the Hornets.
They are bigger and more physical than the Pacers. Al Jefferson is a huge mismatch for them.
The Pacers thrive on causing opponent turnovers(#6 at 16.14pg) and fast break points(#8 at 14.4pg)
The hornets though...#2 in turnovers per 100 possessions at 12.94. They don't give up the ball.
Over the Pacers last 3 games they have an opponent effective possession ratio of .947, #22 in the league.
3. The Pacers +- pt diff is -.8 over their last 10 games.
The Hornets +- pt diff is +5 over their last 10 games.
2. Refs are 50-71 ATS this year to the home team. 10-18 ATS to the home fav in spreads of 0 to 4.5 spreads.
BOLTA
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