18-14 yesterday but had almost all of my money wrapped up in the Spurs game, so still made a bunch of money and avoided getting juiced to death.
A few notes:
The Clips will be good in due time, but for now they're pure fade material. You cannot throw a bunch of superstars on the same team without time to learn to play together and expect an immediate impact. Even the Heat (who are more talented than the Clips) needed about 20 games to get rolling last year, and started out 9-8, and only 2 of those wins were against good teams. Public money will remain on the Clippers just because of all the drama. Fine by me.
Never bet against the Spurs at home. Ever. I will be taking every short line I can get on them this season until their ridiculous play @ home stops. But I don't see that happening.
Experience is always better than youth. Saw a lot of money burned on the Clippers yesterday and the Jazz on Tuesday. Just because a team is athletic and extremely talented does not mean they can play good basketball. The most obvious case of this is the Memphis Tigers.
The Knicks suck.
1Q unders have been so, so profitable for me. I can't decide whether to keep playing them or to jump off the money train. I recognized the Heat overs were the easiest trend, and therefore thought yesterday was a great day to stop playing them....but of course I got greedy and played the Heat overs and got badly burned by it. So it's a tough call on whether to keep going after these 1Q unders. Of the 6 1q o/us i played yesterday, 5 of them stayed under, and the one that went over (Nuggets game) only went over by .5 point because the nugs hit a two w/ 3 seconds left in the 1st quarter.
Think it's probably a good idea to only take the 1q unders for the poor teams.
Will have some posted plays shortly. Promised myself I would reduce the volume of plays to avoid getting juiced, so today will have a lot less action.
Good luck all.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
55-42-2 ytd
29-15-1 on totals
26-27-1 sides
18-14 yesterday but had almost all of my money wrapped up in the Spurs game, so still made a bunch of money and avoided getting juiced to death.
A few notes:
The Clips will be good in due time, but for now they're pure fade material. You cannot throw a bunch of superstars on the same team without time to learn to play together and expect an immediate impact. Even the Heat (who are more talented than the Clips) needed about 20 games to get rolling last year, and started out 9-8, and only 2 of those wins were against good teams. Public money will remain on the Clippers just because of all the drama. Fine by me.
Never bet against the Spurs at home. Ever. I will be taking every short line I can get on them this season until their ridiculous play @ home stops. But I don't see that happening.
Experience is always better than youth. Saw a lot of money burned on the Clippers yesterday and the Jazz on Tuesday. Just because a team is athletic and extremely talented does not mean they can play good basketball. The most obvious case of this is the Memphis Tigers.
The Knicks suck.
1Q unders have been so, so profitable for me. I can't decide whether to keep playing them or to jump off the money train. I recognized the Heat overs were the easiest trend, and therefore thought yesterday was a great day to stop playing them....but of course I got greedy and played the Heat overs and got badly burned by it. So it's a tough call on whether to keep going after these 1Q unders. Of the 6 1q o/us i played yesterday, 5 of them stayed under, and the one that went over (Nuggets game) only went over by .5 point because the nugs hit a two w/ 3 seconds left in the 1st quarter.
Think it's probably a good idea to only take the 1q unders for the poor teams.
Will have some posted plays shortly. Promised myself I would reduce the volume of plays to avoid getting juiced, so today will have a lot less action.
Bulls are a fantastic 2nd half team. This is exacerbated by the fact that they play 20 of their first 30 games on the road this season. So very good chance they will fall down to the Kings tonight in the 1st half, much like they did @ Golden State the other night. And even if they don't, I still like them to roll in the 2nd half.
Knicks are notoriously bad 3rd quarter team on the road. More a fade on them than a play on the Lakers. But I think there's a great chance the Lakers come out strong anyway, it's a home game for them so I think they'll be able to outscore in the 3rd. Knicks looked really, really bad last night after halftime. Granted, both Melo and Amare were having off games, but I still favor the Lakers.
Mavs were insane in the 4q last season, and it looks like this will hold true. Even when they got slaughtered in their first two games this season, they absolutely rolled in the 4q. They outscored Denver by 7 points in 4q and outscored the Heat by 21 points. I'll take them getting points, even @ OKC.
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Bulls are a fantastic 2nd half team. This is exacerbated by the fact that they play 20 of their first 30 games on the road this season. So very good chance they will fall down to the Kings tonight in the 1st half, much like they did @ Golden State the other night. And even if they don't, I still like them to roll in the 2nd half.
Knicks are notoriously bad 3rd quarter team on the road. More a fade on them than a play on the Lakers. But I think there's a great chance the Lakers come out strong anyway, it's a home game for them so I think they'll be able to outscore in the 3rd. Knicks looked really, really bad last night after halftime. Granted, both Melo and Amare were having off games, but I still favor the Lakers.
Mavs were insane in the 4q last season, and it looks like this will hold true. Even when they got slaughtered in their first two games this season, they absolutely rolled in the 4q. They outscored Denver by 7 points in 4q and outscored the Heat by 21 points. I'll take them getting points, even @ OKC.
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