Alright fellas I know this isn't an NBA pick but I figured I would post in here anyways to keep this thread going.
First things first, thanks for all the support thus far, but just as a heads up because I went 4-0 doesn't mean I'm gonna go 5-0 so don't go huge on any one bet and we'll do just fine together. The objective is to win more than we lose and we'll be profitable.
That being said I have had my eye on this game for a while the play is going to be...
Kansas +6 (-110)
I decided to post this early because the line is dropping like a fly, it started at +7 in some places and just checked this morning at it is at +5, which I still think would be a fairly safe play. Now I'll come out and say it I have strong ties to Iowa State and have seen every game this year so far. But the reason that I like the Jayhawks in this situation is because of how strong they have been lately and flew under the radar. Three weeks ago at home they nearly knocked off Texas, came back the next week and had a stinker against Baylor on the road, then last week they were on the road at Texas Tech and took them to overtime and damn near won that one too. Iowa State on the other hand hasn't really been relevant ever since losing Knott to his shoulder injury. The run defense has struggled significantly since his absence and last week alone they gave up 225 on the ground to Texas, this is big because Kansas can and will run the ball successfully. Iowa State in my opinion has one of the worst if not worst offenses in the Big 12, against Baylor in a game that they won; the Cyclones receivers had 10 drops in the first quarter alone. KU doesn't have a great defense but they are good enough to keep Jantz in check. Some things that ISU has going for them that KU doesn't is they are still playing for a potential bowl game whereas the Jayhawks are playing for pride and their seniors on senior day. Iowa State knows this and doesn't want to have to go back to Jack Trice relying on beating West Virginia in order to go bowling. Paul Rhoads (Iowa State coach) meanwhile is 11-2 as a head coach when they are the favorites, so that is something to keep in mind. However, these teams are much more evenly matched then their records indicate. I honestly thought this line would be closer to +3 or +2. Kansas very well could pull off the win in this one and it wouldn't surprise me one bit.
Risking $27.93 (10% of $279.33) to win $25.39
Whether you decide to tail, fade, or stay away good luck to ya and stay smart out there.
Alright fellas I know this isn't an NBA pick but I figured I would post in here anyways to keep this thread going.
First things first, thanks for all the support thus far, but just as a heads up because I went 4-0 doesn't mean I'm gonna go 5-0 so don't go huge on any one bet and we'll do just fine together. The objective is to win more than we lose and we'll be profitable.
That being said I have had my eye on this game for a while the play is going to be...
Kansas +6 (-110)
I decided to post this early because the line is dropping like a fly, it started at +7 in some places and just checked this morning at it is at +5, which I still think would be a fairly safe play. Now I'll come out and say it I have strong ties to Iowa State and have seen every game this year so far. But the reason that I like the Jayhawks in this situation is because of how strong they have been lately and flew under the radar. Three weeks ago at home they nearly knocked off Texas, came back the next week and had a stinker against Baylor on the road, then last week they were on the road at Texas Tech and took them to overtime and damn near won that one too. Iowa State on the other hand hasn't really been relevant ever since losing Knott to his shoulder injury. The run defense has struggled significantly since his absence and last week alone they gave up 225 on the ground to Texas, this is big because Kansas can and will run the ball successfully. Iowa State in my opinion has one of the worst if not worst offenses in the Big 12, against Baylor in a game that they won; the Cyclones receivers had 10 drops in the first quarter alone. KU doesn't have a great defense but they are good enough to keep Jantz in check. Some things that ISU has going for them that KU doesn't is they are still playing for a potential bowl game whereas the Jayhawks are playing for pride and their seniors on senior day. Iowa State knows this and doesn't want to have to go back to Jack Trice relying on beating West Virginia in order to go bowling. Paul Rhoads (Iowa State coach) meanwhile is 11-2 as a head coach when they are the favorites, so that is something to keep in mind. However, these teams are much more evenly matched then their records indicate. I honestly thought this line would be closer to +3 or +2. Kansas very well could pull off the win in this one and it wouldn't surprise me one bit.
Risking $27.93 (10% of $279.33) to win $25.39
Whether you decide to tail, fade, or stay away good luck to ya and stay smart out there.
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