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Stinkroach NBA

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Posted: #226

MIL tends to play down to their opponents and play better vs strong opposition.  Happened last yr too.

7-1 ATS at home vs winning teams

9-3-2 ATS overall vs winning teams

3-6 ATS ATS overall vs losing teams

4-1-1 ATS as 1-2.5pt fave

2-1 ATS as 3-4.5 pt fave

5-1-1 ATS as 5-7 pt fave

 

GS not bad at 8-6 ATS vs winning teams but 2-3 ATS away

 

 

 
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Posted: #227

BOS -4 10u

 

LAL 1-9 ATS in last 10 games vs winning teams.  Think their recent play has come at expense of bad teams although they are playing better.  lost to PHI, TOR, CLE and only beat MIL (who tends to play down to their opponents esp at home for some reason)

LAL 5-1 ATS vs losing teams

 

BOS 4-1 ATS on 0 day rest

BOS 5-2 ATS after loss

BOS 1-1 ATS away after loss

 

 
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Posted: #228

disappointing split. 

 

MIL W

BOS L

 
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Posted: #229

wow got a push on BOS.  blew a big lead again lol

 
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Posted: #230

GS -1.5 1H -115 5u live

GS -3.5 5u live

 

teams generally 58% ATS after losing by 15+ pts and are road fave after

GS after SU loss 9-5 ATS (last year the ratio was much better)

GS ATS after 15pt loss 2-1 ATS

GS ATS after 10+ pt loss 3-1

 
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Posted: #231

gs q3 -1.5 4u live

 
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Posted: #232

GS -1.5 1H -115 5u live L

 GS -3.5 5u live L

gs q3 -1.5 4u live W

 
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Posted: #233

LAC -1.5 5u.  Line almost seems to indicate Booker will play but still taking the bet.

 
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Posted: #234

Quote Originally Posted by stinkroach:

LAC -1.5 5u.  Line almost seems to indicate Booker will play but still taking the bet.

yuck leonard, george, and reggie jackson out

 
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Posted: #235

MEM -3 -118 5u

 
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Posted: #236

lac -1.5 5u L

mem -3 5u W

 
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Posted: #237

PHI -9.5 10u.  they might sit Klay too Im guessing

 

PHI 10-1 ats home recently

GS v poor on road ATS 3-12 

GS 0-6 ats on road after loss

 
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Posted: #238

PHI -9.5 10u.  they might sit Klay too Im guessing W

 
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Posted: #239

MEM -7 2u

 
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Posted: #240

CLE -4 3u 

DAL 4-8 ats away

CLE 11-3 ats home

CLE 8-2 ats home after win

DAL 2-3 ats away after win

DAL 1-8 ats away vs teams w winning records at home

 

also think CLE forwards will slow down Doncic in the paint.  they switch really well

 
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Posted: #241

mia -2.5 live

 
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Posted: #242

mia -2.5 live W

 

I should just stick w live betting and look for mean reversion opportunitiesnew_laugh_sweat

 
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Posted: #243

speaking of mean reversion ops, CLE and MEM fit the bill if the spread dips down to 4-5 pts ingame

 
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Posted: #244

CLE 1H -1.5 live -115 1u

 
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Posted: #245

MEM +5.5 1u live

 
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Posted: #246

UTA -1.5 q3 live -115

 
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Posted: #247

MEM +7.5 -135 live

 
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Posted: #248

MEM +11.5 -130 4u live

 
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Posted: #249

Stop chasing buddy. Ja has been ejected. 

 
 
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Posted: #250

MEM -4.5 -120 2u live Q3

 

just plunked down 8u live here on MEM

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