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Stop Betting Before The Game !! DUBS/ROCKS G4

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Prospect
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Posted: #1

If you leaned Rockets, could have had +4 live.

If you leaned Warriors, could have had +10 live.

 

If you liked OVER, could have had 214.5 live.

If you liked UNDER, could have had 222.5 live.

 

Stop betting before the game; every point counts!

 

 
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Posted: #2
So true. All the money left on table is enormous!
 
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Posted: #3

Quote Originally Posted by Mancity:

So true. All the money left on table is enormous!

 

City ! peace_5

 
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Posted: #4
hahah youre assuming you can make the judgement on the fly for the best available number.... AFTER THE GAME.

just lmao
 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by justlol:

hahah youre assuming you can make the judgement on the fly for the best available number.... AFTER THE GAME.just lmao

 

9/10 times you will get a better number LIVE than what you pay pre-game.

 

Bucks were down 9, could have got +3 LIVE

There is ALWAYS more value in game, just have to be able to find it. peace_5

 
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Posted: #6

Ridiculous thinking. What if your desired team leads the game wire to wire? For example, what if the rockets jumped to a 10 point lead in the beginning and you wanted to bet the rockets? The adjusted line would be super inflated. Would you still bet this super inflated line, when you would have been able to bet rockets -1 pregame? I see what you are saying, but things don't always go your way.

 
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Posted: #7
youre banking on a game changing leads numerous times and being able to identify on which exact score in the game is the best value. easy to try and be the smartest guy in the room the next day after the game. 
 
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Posted: #8
The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. 

However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don’t, you can always lay off
 
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Posted: #9
It’s hard to catch it in-game when they are still playing. Need to wait for time outs to get a solid 2-3 mins to play a standing line. When they are still playing and the line and juice still fluctuating is frustrating. 

 
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Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don’t, you can always lay off

 

Porcelain, thank you for understanding! peace_5

 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by HabsHater88:

It’s hard to catch it in-game when they are still playing. Need to wait for time outs to get a solid 2-3 mins to play a standing line. When they are still playing and the line and juice still fluctuating is frustrating.

 

Easiest thing to do is have multiple books/internet windows open.

 

Find a 3.5-5 pt discrepancy in spread/total, and then fire.

 

At least that's what I've been having success with ^

 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by linewatcher:

Ridiculous thinking. What if your desired team leads the game wire to wire? For example, what if the rockets jumped to a 10 point lead in the beginning and you wanted to bet the rockets? The adjusted line would be super inflated. Would you still bet this super inflated line, when you would have been able to bet rockets -1 pregame? I see what you are saying, but things don't always go your way.

 

Now you're talking about WHAT IF's?  Silly lol.  Not sure how often you bet/know the game of basketball, but it is game of runs...Rockets did go up big early, I grabbed Warriors +5 (the better team and beat the closing line by 6 SEVEN pts - cashed).

 

**You also could have gotten Rockets PK, +1, +2 throughout this game - still beat closing line**

 

Now think Celtics/Bucks....Celtics go up big early, we get the better team at +4 (beat the closing line by 5 pts).

 

**You also could have gotten Celtics +5, +7 throughout this game - still beat closing line**

 

Again, there is ALWAYS MORE VALUE live betting....just need to be able to see it.

 

BOL moving forward linewatcher peace_5

 

 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by justlol:

youre banking on a game changing leads numerous times and being able to identify on which exact score in the game is the best value. easy to try and be the smartest guy in the room the next day after the game.

 

Precisely...there are ways to do that without it being hindsight.  

 

peace_5

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

The biggest problem I see w this philosophy is that you will lay around 10 cents more juice live. 

However, you will always get a better line. In the rare instances when you don’t, you can always lay off


It's not quite that simple. The games you lay off are the ones your team led the entire way, those are the best games to win at without sweating anything out, so ifr you miss all these games because you could not get a better line, what then must your W/L % be to turn a profit ?

Because your passing up your best games to win easy, so if you pass up all those games are you saying  your going to win the games that are not easy and your team trails ?

That means you'd need to win way more then 50% because you already pass up so many wins, you can not pass up the easy games and expect to win all the games your team is trailing and going back and forth.

If you could of  won 60% but passed up 10 wins or 20 easy wins that you could not get a better line what do you think that drops your W/L % down to, maybe 47% ? or 52%.

Passing up easy wins is never a good strategy.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by OldGreg808:

If you leaned Rockets, could have had +4 live.

If you leaned Warriors, could have had +10 live.

 

If you liked OVER, could have had 214.5 live.

If you liked UNDER, could have had 222.5 live.

 

Stop betting before the game; every point counts!

 



Instead of telling people about it why don't you show us. Start a thread and list all the games you want to find a better line in game and which team you'd want to take in game.


Then we can compare how you did VS how you would of done betting before the game started .
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:



It's not quite that simple. The games you lay off are the ones your team led the entire way, those are the best games to win at without sweating anything out, so ifr you miss all these games because you could not get a better line, what then must your W/L % be to turn a profit ?

Because your passing up your best games to win easy, so if you pass up all those games are you saying  your going to win the games that are not easy and your team trails ?

That means you'd need to win way more then 50% because you already pass up so many wins, you can not pass up the easy games and expect to win all the games your team is trailing and going back and forth.

If you could of  won 60% but passed up 10 wins or 20 easy wins that you could not get a better line what do you think that drops your W/L % down to, maybe 47% ? or 52%.

Passing up easy wins is never a good strategy.

You are not passing up wins, you are simply getting a better number, and better numbers usually win more.

This post is more-so relating to the playoffs and how sharp the lines are/the value that a few extra points add.
 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Quote Originally Posted by OldGreg808:

If you leaned Rockets, could have had +4 live. If you leaned Warriors, could have had +10 live.   If you liked OVER, could have had 214.5 live. If you liked UNDER, could have had 222.5 live.   Stop betting before the game; every point counts!  
Instead of telling people about it why don't you show us. Start a thread and list all the games you want to find a better line in game and which team you'd want to take in game.Then we can compare how you did VS how you would of done betting before the game started .

 

76ers/Raps o207.5 live

 

 
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Posted: #18

Bet a live team plus 6 next thing u know they are plus 26.

,
 
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Posted: #19
76ers live o207.5 


Closing line 214.5, lands 214....live line wins, closing line/daytime line loses.

Always get the best number 
 
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Posted: #20

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Quote Originally Posted by OldGreg808:

If you leaned Rockets, could have had +4 live. If you leaned Warriors, could have had +10 live.   If you liked OVER, could have had 214.5 live. If you liked UNDER, could have had 222.5 live.   Stop betting before the game; every point counts!  
Instead of telling people about it why don't you show us. Start a thread and list all the games you want to find a better line in game and which team you'd want to take in game.Then we can compare how you did VS how you would of done betting before the game started .

 

Another one for you Claw an_happybounce

Stop leaving points on the board !

 
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Posted: #21
like sixers +6... just wait til live and get them at +17.5...

like sixers +17.5? just wait til more live and get them at +25.5.

like sixers +25.5? just wait til more more live and get them at +30.5



..............................
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by justlol:

like sixers +6... just wait til live and get them at +17.5...like sixers +17.5? just wait til more live and get them at +25.5.like sixers +25.5? just wait til more more live and get them at +30.5..............................

 

I'm sorry if you bet Sixers bud, that's why I went with the total value and cashed easily...Embiid GTD and sick, on the road, getting 6?  Couldn't be me betting on them...coulda had Raps -3.5 live though!

 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

This holds true for totals more than sides. Linesmakers don't move those sides too rapidly. They expect comebacks by the faves. But they get vnervous when a total is going one way, so they nervously adjust. It's like they handicapped the talent, but have no idea what the coaches are planning to do.

 

Like it Circus peace_5

 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by OldGreg808:

 

I'm sorry if you bet Sixers bud, that's why I went with the total value and cashed easily...Embiid GTD and sick, on the road, getting 6?  Couldn't be me betting on them...coulda had Raps -3.5 live though!


i remember when i started gambling too
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by justlol:

Quote Originally Posted by OldGreg808:

  I'm sorry if you bet Sixers bud, that's why I went with the total value and cashed easily...Embiid GTD and sick, on the road, getting 6?  Couldn't be me betting on them...coulda had Raps -3.5 live though!
i remember when i started gambling too

 

Probably should go back to those day 1 principles then, seems like you lost a lot of knowledge through the process.

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