Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NBA Record:
143 - 95 @ 60% for +38.5 Units
Sun, 04.10
Miami Heat -5.5
Triple-revenge game for Miami. I was waiting for this game, since I pretty much knew this would be an ‘automatic’ play for me. Here’s an interesting ‘angle’. The last 2 games between the two teams, who do you think was the biggest difference maker for the Celtics? Come on take a guess……… Well, in the 2nd game (I’m ignoring the first game between the 2 teams as it was very early in the season, and Miami needed some time to ‘gel’ still) the difference maker was Shaq, with a +/- of +12 (tied for highest with Paul Pierce). In the last meeting, which was most recent, the biggest difference maker for the Celts, was none other, but Kendrick Perkins with +/- of +11. What’s interesting is that no other Celtic was higher than +4 in that game. Starters (-3 KG; +4 PP; -2 RA; -1 RR and +11 Perk). Hmm… How important was Perkins in that game? Well, based on this, he was crucial to their win. Today, neither Shaq nor Perk will be available for Boston.
What else is interesting is that Miami were -3 road favorites last game (SA: -9 at home). They were -7.5 at home in the 2nd meeting. And they were -1 road favorites in the first meeting, very early (SA: -8). Well, today’s line is lower than ANY of those. Do we have some ‘line-value’? Possibly. More likely, Heat were OVER-valued in every game against the Celts this season, and finally the line is more accurate. Either way, we’ll find out today if Miami can compete with Boston.
Boston is 6-22 ATS after a blow-out loss this season and I expect a comfortable Heat win/cover in this one.
143 - 95 @ 60% for +38.5 Units
Sun, 04.10
Miami Heat -5.5
Triple-revenge game for Miami. I was waiting for this game, since I pretty much knew this would be an ‘automatic’ play for me. Here’s an interesting ‘angle’. The last 2 games between the two teams, who do you think was the biggest difference maker for the Celtics? Come on take a guess……… Well, in the 2nd game (I’m ignoring the first game between the 2 teams as it was very early in the season, and Miami needed some time to ‘gel’ still) the difference maker was Shaq, with a +/- of +12 (tied for highest with Paul Pierce). In the last meeting, which was most recent, the biggest difference maker for the Celts, was none other, but Kendrick Perkins with +/- of +11. What’s interesting is that no other Celtic was higher than +4 in that game. Starters (-3 KG; +4 PP; -2 RA; -1 RR and +11 Perk). Hmm… How important was Perkins in that game? Well, based on this, he was crucial to their win. Today, neither Shaq nor Perk will be available for Boston.
What else is interesting is that Miami were -3 road favorites last game (SA: -9 at home). They were -7.5 at home in the 2nd meeting. And they were -1 road favorites in the first meeting, very early (SA: -8). Well, today’s line is lower than ANY of those. Do we have some ‘line-value’? Possibly. More likely, Heat were OVER-valued in every game against the Celts this season, and finally the line is more accurate. Either way, we’ll find out today if Miami can compete with Boston.
Boston is 6-22 ATS after a blow-out loss this season and I expect a comfortable Heat win/cover in this one.
0
Wonder if the Kid is going to choke, or if we have a new superstar in the making...does the 21 year old have ice in his veins like a young Tiger did? We will see!!!
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