Of course, that’s not to say that these teams don’t win (or, more importantly) aren’t allowed to win, as their coaches will throw these “dogs” a bone, every now and again. But trying to guess when that win will come is an art in itself. Looking at all the tanking teams it is difficult to discern a pattern, or to know when a win, or a loss, or a cover is coming. But one thing is clear, these teams simply can’t afford to win many games. Looking at the Lakers schedule, we can see that they have a couple of winnable games coming up: the Pistons and Knicks. We know that they won’t and can’t lose to the Knicks for a couple of important reasons:
1) The moribund Knicks already beat them in NY
2) The Knicks are coached by Fisher and run by Phil Jackson, 2 ex-Lakers who have joined the dark side (enough said) and cannot be allowed to win on the Laker’s home court.
So if the Lakers beat the Pistons and the Knicks, they’ll be sitting at 18 wins, 4 ahead in win totals over the next best tanking team (with a lot of winnable games, against losing teams, still remaining on their schedule) and getting closer to losing out on their pick. That’s not good.
And now for the team that the Lakers (if they know what’s good for them) ought to lose to: The Pistons. The Pistons are a mess right now. The trades for Jackson and Prince have not translated into wins. Though they have played hard, they have not been able to close the deal are amidst a six game losing streak (with playoff hopes quickly dwindling). So we have the team that can’t close against the team that doesn’t have a closer. But here is what the Pistons do have:
1) Plenty of motivation. Lose this game and you could lose 10 in a row (with games against Dubs, Blazers and Jazz coming up) before you finally wine one.
2) Lakers are playing the tricky 2nd home game and are due for a letdown after taking on playoff bound teams.
3) Lakers are in a look-ahead spot. Yes, go on and laugh, but the Knicks coming into town (or Fisher and Phil) is a distraction.
4) The Piston’s owner (who lives near LA) will be at the game. He is a big supporter of Van Gundy’s (since he hired him) and, more importantly for us, has never seen his team win in LA!
“Pistons owner Tom Gores, of Beverly Hills, Calif. -- via Genesee County, Mich. -- faithfully attends whenever his team visits Los Angeles to play either the Lakers or Clippers, which will happen again with Tuesday's Pistons-Lakers game. He just doesn't get to see them win there. The Pistons' second-longest losing streak at any NBA arena is seven games, at Staples Center and Portland (the longest is nine games at Houston). Gores has sat courtside for overtime wins and hopeless blowouts alike at Staples Center. Is this the time he finally gets to see the Pistons win there?”
5) the line is only -2, so we don’t have to worry too much about a cover (but we can worry a little)
Here is what we are up against:
1) The Lakers have great chemistry and are full of upstarts.
2) The Pistons have no chemistry and are full of guys questioning themselves.
3) Pistons play GS next, but I don't think they can afford to look-ahead.
4) The Lakers can get on a roll and even Scott might not be able to call off his “dogs.” Pistons have no comeback ability (hard to believe in today’s NBA), so it is imperative that they maintain contact.
In turn, these factors must force us to proceed with cautious optimism.
2.5 units on the Pistons at -2