Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NBA Record:
64 - 51 @ 55% for +7.9 Units
Sun, 01/30
#2: Phoenix Suns -1.5
This is the last game of a 3-game 'roadie' for the Hornets. Even though it's a short one, it actually is 6 days in length (including travel day on the 25th), thus making it a fairly long time to be away from home. Phoenix on the other hand, have been at home since the 25th, playing in their 3rd consecutive home game. Even though the Suns are only 12-10 at home this year, they are actually 4-1 at home in their last 5 games. The Hornets are coming off a disappointing loss to Sacramento last night, and now must face an up-tempo Suns squad. Interestingly, the Hornets are 0-7 this year off an upset loss as a favorite. Hmm… In addition they are 7-14 ATS versus teams that don’t play much defense. To me this game comes down to 2 factors. The first one is the fact that Suns are ACTUALLY playing some D in the last few games. They are holding their opponents to 43% shooting and only 91 ppg in their last 5. Consequently, the 2nd factor is the Hornets’ defense. As good as they are defensively, in the last 2 games they’ve allowed their opponents to shoot 50% and score 102.5 ppg. Obviously their defensive intensity is lacking and I don’t see it picking up in the last game of this road-trip. The Suns are rested, playing at home, and I expect them to push the tempo all game long causing the Hornets to tire-out in the 2nd half. Suns are the play.
#3: UNDER 203 DET/NYK
The Pistons are averaging 88 ppg while giving up 91 ppg in their last 5. That’s a total of 179 points. The Knicks are averaging 100 ppg while giving up 101 ppg in their last 5, for a total of 201 points. The O/U in today’s game is at 203. Why? Is it because the first meeting between the 2 teams cleared the 206.5 O/U line by 34.5 points? Well, what’s interesting is that this 1st game went into double overtime, where a total of 43 points were scored. The final in regulation was 99-99, for a 198 total points. I do expect today’s game to go UNDER. . As explosive as the Knicks are, they are 10-11 O/U at home this year and 10-12 O/U when facing a team with a losing record. I expect them to play well enough to win this one today, but I don’t really see them over-extending themselves in this spot. The Pistons are 7-18 O/U this season on the road and 9-15 O/U when playing teams with a winning record. This team is not good enough talent-wise, therefore they know they must slow down the pace, minimize shot opportunities and try to win games in the 4th quarter. The O/U is 2-7 in Detroit’s last 9 road games and I see this one going UNDER as well.
Good luck!
64 - 51 @ 55% for +7.9 Units
Sun, 01/30
#2: Phoenix Suns -1.5
This is the last game of a 3-game 'roadie' for the Hornets. Even though it's a short one, it actually is 6 days in length (including travel day on the 25th), thus making it a fairly long time to be away from home. Phoenix on the other hand, have been at home since the 25th, playing in their 3rd consecutive home game. Even though the Suns are only 12-10 at home this year, they are actually 4-1 at home in their last 5 games. The Hornets are coming off a disappointing loss to Sacramento last night, and now must face an up-tempo Suns squad. Interestingly, the Hornets are 0-7 this year off an upset loss as a favorite. Hmm… In addition they are 7-14 ATS versus teams that don’t play much defense. To me this game comes down to 2 factors. The first one is the fact that Suns are ACTUALLY playing some D in the last few games. They are holding their opponents to 43% shooting and only 91 ppg in their last 5. Consequently, the 2nd factor is the Hornets’ defense. As good as they are defensively, in the last 2 games they’ve allowed their opponents to shoot 50% and score 102.5 ppg. Obviously their defensive intensity is lacking and I don’t see it picking up in the last game of this road-trip. The Suns are rested, playing at home, and I expect them to push the tempo all game long causing the Hornets to tire-out in the 2nd half. Suns are the play.
#3: UNDER 203 DET/NYK
The Pistons are averaging 88 ppg while giving up 91 ppg in their last 5. That’s a total of 179 points. The Knicks are averaging 100 ppg while giving up 101 ppg in their last 5, for a total of 201 points. The O/U in today’s game is at 203. Why? Is it because the first meeting between the 2 teams cleared the 206.5 O/U line by 34.5 points? Well, what’s interesting is that this 1st game went into double overtime, where a total of 43 points were scored. The final in regulation was 99-99, for a 198 total points. I do expect today’s game to go UNDER. . As explosive as the Knicks are, they are 10-11 O/U at home this year and 10-12 O/U when facing a team with a losing record. I expect them to play well enough to win this one today, but I don’t really see them over-extending themselves in this spot. The Pistons are 7-18 O/U this season on the road and 9-15 O/U when playing teams with a winning record. This team is not good enough talent-wise, therefore they know they must slow down the pace, minimize shot opportunities and try to win games in the 4th quarter. The O/U is 2-7 in Detroit’s last 9 road games and I see this one going UNDER as well.
Good luck!
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ny under 
phx
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