I will continue with the system as long as its hitting above 52%.
I did learn more about how to interpret my data by losing all 3 games.
So we shall see. All picks tonight are 3 star. Denver Phx appeard under at first and second glance. However stats are so similar on offense and defense the deciding factor was pace. Both teams are on the faster side. So with no clear advantage on offense or defense the play is Over Denver. Spurs have a huge statistical advantage on defensie while both offenses are about average. That advantage plus both teams run at a slow pace so if spurs dictate the game it should be well under.
Boston Under
Hou Under
Denver Over
Clippers Under
Phil Over
Dal Over
GL to all.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
0-3 last night. Week total is 20-15 57%. + 1000$
I will continue with the system as long as its hitting above 52%.
I did learn more about how to interpret my data by losing all 3 games.
So we shall see. All picks tonight are 3 star. Denver Phx appeard under at first and second glance. However stats are so similar on offense and defense the deciding factor was pace. Both teams are on the faster side. So with no clear advantage on offense or defense the play is Over Denver. Spurs have a huge statistical advantage on defensie while both offenses are about average. That advantage plus both teams run at a slow pace so if spurs dictate the game it should be well under.
0-3 last night. Week total is 20-15 57%. + 1000$ I will continue with the system as long as its hitting above 52%. I did learn more about how to interpret my data by losing all 3 games. So we shall see. All picks tonight are 3 star. Denver Phx appeard under at first and second glance. However stats are so similar on offense and defense the deciding factor was pace. Both teams are on the faster side. So with no clear advantage on offense or defense the play is Over Denver. Spurs have a huge statistical advantage on defensie while both offenses are about average. That advantage plus both teams run at a slow pace so if spurs dictate the game it should be well under. Boston Under Hou Under Denver Over Clippers Under Phil Over Dal Over GL to all.
Upon further review
PHIL UNDER
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Quote Originally Posted by Doodlebop:
0-3 last night. Week total is 20-15 57%. + 1000$ I will continue with the system as long as its hitting above 52%. I did learn more about how to interpret my data by losing all 3 games. So we shall see. All picks tonight are 3 star. Denver Phx appeard under at first and second glance. However stats are so similar on offense and defense the deciding factor was pace. Both teams are on the faster side. So with no clear advantage on offense or defense the play is Over Denver. Spurs have a huge statistical advantage on defensie while both offenses are about average. That advantage plus both teams run at a slow pace so if spurs dictate the game it should be well under. Boston Under Hou Under Denver Over Clippers Under Phil Over Dal Over GL to all.
I typically do not unless the player out has more of an impact on defense then offense. I got burnt so many times and had no stats backing up my plays. I.E. the other night OKC vs knicks i liked the under. Numbers pointed somewhat to under. Plus the knicks star center was out so i liked the under even more. OVER hit in that game. lol. Perhaps players out are more relevant for covering the point spread.
What matter most to me is pace of the game. But more the quality of possessions when at a face pace. A team can have a fast pace but low score perentage. So i look for fast pace with a high offensive efficeincy at that fast pace when gathering over data.
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Quote Originally Posted by manu20:
do you put injury to teams into consideration?
I typically do not unless the player out has more of an impact on defense then offense. I got burnt so many times and had no stats backing up my plays. I.E. the other night OKC vs knicks i liked the under. Numbers pointed somewhat to under. Plus the knicks star center was out so i liked the under even more. OVER hit in that game. lol. Perhaps players out are more relevant for covering the point spread.
What matter most to me is pace of the game. But more the quality of possessions when at a face pace. A team can have a fast pace but low score perentage. So i look for fast pace with a high offensive efficeincy at that fast pace when gathering over data.
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