TRAP HUNTER

Question

I&#x27;ve been doing some research lately and these so called "TRAPS" (even though some dont believe its existence) are actually kinda obvious. so for this season, what im gonna do is to look for "TRAPS" and put money on them and explain why they&#x27;re called as such, regardless on whether or not i think they&#x27;re a cock sucking team or not. My plays to follow as soon as all the lines are up.

kosmos4 · Answer

I&#x27;ve been doing some research lately and these so called "TRAPS" (even though some dont believe its existence) are actually kinda obvious. so for this season, what im gonna do is to look for "TRAPS" and put money on them and explain why they&#x27;re called as such, regardless on whether or not i think they&#x27;re a cock sucking team or not. My plays to follow as soon as all the lines are up.

kosmos4 · Answer

Here is my TRAP OF THE DAYHouston &#x2B;4.5 (or ML if you want to be extra risky)last night, houston was &#x2B;8/8.5 playing on the road and they lost by 15. Now that they are at home, they are still the dogs at &#x2B;4.5 and the line hasnt moved since it started. What&#x27;s worth noting is that a lot of the public movement is on OKC, and my first instinct when i saw this line was that the OKC line is practically begging for money. This was a similar trend to yesterday&#x27;s game in phoenix, where they were only dogs by 2.5 points.

PR9 · Answer

Not only is OKC getting between 70 to 80% of the bets.. but there is an added juice of 10% is you want to bet houston in most of the books.

this has a psychological effect on the unknowing public casual bettors, and immediately they say "WOW !! I can bet on okc -4.5 on a team they beat last night by 15 points, and I don't even have to lay any juice !! This is a BARGAIN !! "

LOL

PR9 · Answer

10% is = 100% ifsorry, meant to put the word "if" in there in the 2nd sentence

bleeblaabloo · Answer

....haven&#x27;t lost in any games that seem like a trap yet. Hopefully the trend won&#x27;t stop tonight

JEG53 · Answer

I got trap on Atl.the other day,took them +2.5 and then they announce James is out,the line moves to +3,Im like WTF,but I had the bet in,so just let it ride,thought I had out thought them with 2 mins left and Atl.up 5,what happened after that is the reason most of us think the NBA does rig games,Im not going into the ending,but very strange.

KeyElement · Answer

75% betting on OKC, but the line is dropping to -4, and that ain't a trap. Respected money has hit Houston (probably hard) and they need yours on OKC to balance the ledger. Not playing that game myself so,
BOL

PR9 · Answer

LAC also seems like a semi-trap.The line hasn&#x27;t moved from -10 yet all the money and bets are going to the clippers.by the way, The best tip offs are an hour before gametime on traps. Look at the bulls-magic game last night. The line moved begging you to take orlando. The night before, the line moved begging you to take dallas. Result = Dallas gets blown out by san antonio.it was the same 3 nights ago. Vegas begged you on taking the knicks with the line movement a half hour before tipoff. They like giving late bettors coming home from work "deals". Well, it wasn&#x27;t such a deal after all. The knicks not only didn&#x27;t cover the spread, but they lost at home to Charlotte.. and in convincing fashion.And of course, last night vegas decided to "LOWER" the line in the phx/blazers game. Even though portland was getting all the bets and money all day long yesterday at -2.5 points, Vegas one-upped themselves by lowered the line in Portland&#x27;s favor EVER MORE a half-hour before gametime by going to -2 !!!!!!!!Again, you&#x27;ll find the best traps by checking the lines (thats the spread AND the ML number) about an hour before to tipoff (game time). See who vegas is begging people to bet with line movement right before the games, then go the other way and you win 90% of the time ;-)

PR9 · Answer

I&#x27;ll bet HOU is Kyle Lowry is in. If he&#x27;s out I&#x27;m staying away.ps -he didn&#x27;t play last night for the Rox

kosmos4 · Answer

@ key elementa considerable amount of money is going by OKC&#x27;s way and if you are going to use that line of reasoning, maybe i can cite CHI v ATL. The line has moved from -3 to -6 now in favor of CHI and I really can&#x27;t say the difference in the amount of money placed between CHI and OKC is that great.BOL though.

kosmos4 · Answer

HOUSTON ML 4 UNITSHOUSTON &#x2B;4.5 10 UNITSIf you&#x27;re gonna play the trap way, just make sure to go against your gut feeling when you see "give away" plays. My gut feeling says that OKC will win by double digits, so for once i am going against what i believe and put faith the TRAP SYSTEM

KeyElement · Answer

Basketball is a game full of home and away reversals, happens all the time. Heck, it happens quarter to quarter in a lot of games. In the NBA last year home teams won straight up 65.7% of the time. By comparison did you realize in MLB this year the home team won only 52.5% of the time? It just slays me when guys in the MLB Forum cite one of the reasons for the pick as AT HOME! like that is some sort of magic elixir. Frankly, I don't see anything funny in this line at all, the number is about right and the result won't surprise me either way, but if I was playing this game I would follow the money and play the Rockets.

PR9 · Answer

Have you heard if Kyle Lowry is playing ? If he is I&#x27;m in. If he isn&#x27;t I don&#x27;t like Houston&#x27;s chances of covering... meaning it&#x27;s too 50/50 for me

kosmos4 · Answer

I think Lowry wont be able to play. and If he doesnt, that&#x27;s only gonna make my trap stronger. HOU&#x27;s best point guard isnt playing and the line hasnt moved a lot at all (and if it ever moved, it&#x27;ll only go to &#x2B;5/5.5)

PR9 · Answer

The line  moved to &#x2B;5.5 at thegreek@RocketsJCFJason FriedmanCourtney Lee (calf) and Kyle Lowry (foot) both ruled out for tonight&#x27;s game.Jan 07 via Twitter for iPhoneFavoriteRetweetReply

dopeman · Answer

take houston, books already knew kyle lowry was going to be out, now just moving the line up a bit in our favour. Joe Pub&#x27;s will jump on OKC even more now

TheBrownMamba · Answer

Definately looking like a trap So difficult to go against OKC the way they&#x27;re playing though

dopeman · Answer

OKC playing the SPURS tomorrow too, so they may be looking ahead, may just do the bare minimum to win.

Kazual12 · Answer

Can&#x27;t say i disagree about this.

Imakeplays · Answer

vegas is very good at what they do..what you are doing I call "contrarian betting". Its nothing new, and it can be profitable if you know when to lay off the SHARP move. problem is, vegas and the online books are privy to REVERSE LINE MOVES and TRAP BETS and all that jargon, so what they have begun to do is purposely move lines in the wrong direction.. occasionally like one gentleman above said, it is because they have a ton of action, or one big RESPECTED bet on the SHARP team and they need to force action to the favorite. BUTwhat I have seen in the last 3 years is books purposely putting false lines out there to discourage the SHARP angles. I call these PUBLIC GIVEAWAYS or HANDOUTS. think of them as free chips to the casino or perhaps a comped hotel room. It keeps the people who bet LA LAKERS -3.5 on a sunday afternoon thinking that they know what they are talking about...nonetheless, what you are talking about bro is a very intuitive and developed chess game, and from your post I dont think you understand the intricacies of the whole match between oddsmaker/bookmaker and bettor. Line movements are a whole other subject. that Im not teaching a class on today...bottom line is if you see the public on 3 plays with REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT.. you still have to decipher which of the three is going to be the GIVEAWAY.. sometimes its all 3.

PR9 · Answer

So what do you think about the knicks moving down to -4 after being at -5 all day ?

moved down to -4 about 20 minutes ago (about an hour before game time)

ps- most of the bets have been going to knicks as it was.

kosmos4 · Answer

this is a good and insightful post.however, what im trying to do is not to create a way to win all of the games. what im trying to tell here is that TRAPS exist and im here to prove that they can be profitable, even only by a small margin.

TheGoodfella · Answer

i like this thread, I am also on Houston +4.5 as my play of the day..

if most of you check the Play Of The Day thread that is posted daily in the NBA betting forum, you will see I am currently leading everyone in this play of the day challenge at a whopping 10-2 record, as well as being 9-0 in the last 9 days for my play of the days.

I have got this record soley on betting "Trap" games. By far basketball is my least favourite, least watched and least bet on sport out of the 4 major sports, yet I cannot seem to know I am doing so well betting a sport i may watch one game in a month! I have only been sports betting/handicapping for 2 years now and although i may be a "amateur" in most of your eyes, i believe i have figured out line movents, public vs sharps, and trap games.

I like the post by Imakeplays, as it seems you know alot more then the rest of us and have done your homework, and I would like to learn more from you to add to the strategy I already have going.

I keep to a strict routine of only betting one NBA game a night since Xmas day, and post them reguarlay in the Play of the Day thread, so if some of you would like to check it out, please feel free.

cashinsports · Answer

great discussion fellas. and i can sense great cappers in here.&#xD;&#xA;been waiting all day for the houston line to see if it hit&#x27;s &#x2B;6

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