TRUST YOURSELF PLAYS (10-7 YTD)

YTD:  10-7

BIG PLAYS:  2-1

YESTERDAY:  2-4 (NBA: 2-2)

Not going to run and hide, just not my style.  Got caught up in the drama and did a poor job yesterday of assessing the games.  Flipped from liking the Blazers to thinking the Lakers would whoop them and i got whooped.  Unfortunately I know how this forum works, so others did as well if they tailed me.  I have 3 more games to get to 20 listed plays and if they win i will get back to a respectable 65%, so that is the goal.  Going to list all the games now and give abbreviated write-ups as it's sometimes challenging to give super in-depth angles at the same time you are under the gun.  Also, the site limits how many characters you can write in an individual post so might show up as separate posts.  No excuses, never have had them.  But will stick to NBA plays for today unless something REALLY jumps out which it might in the NHL of all leagues.

The first game of the day i truly LOVE the OVER between Toronto and Boston.  It's an early game, sure, but so have been all the games more or less in the bubble for both these teams.  Same with the Bucks.  As you can see, doesn't mean they won't score.  Difference here is that both these teams CAN score and, I feel, WILL score.  I know that Toronto is great defensively and Boston is as well, but I think the outside shooting for both teams will be what get this game over the number.  Not to mention, if the game is close, which it should be, good chance we get end of game FT's.  Feel very confidently about this play and I think that the Raptors will end up taking Game 1 and the series, but would just like to see how the first game of the series plays out before wagering on that.

PLAY 1:  OVER 217 (BOS/TOR) BIG PLAY 

Next game, which I also LOVE, is again going to the well on my favored team.  I just feel that the Clippers DO watch what the Lakers do and, while they might replicate what they did yesterday in closing the series out, they have much better pieces and I think will be defensively prepared to finish off Dallas.  I'm not going to predict what the final tally will yield, but the analysis I have done show it's another 12-15 point win.  Doncic is incredible but, with no Porzingis, I'm afraid they will be short points, especially if George is playing motivated and not depressed.  I think he does, I think the bench is also too much, and I think the Clips get it done again.

PLAY 2:  LA CLIPPERS (-10) BIG PLAY

Last game of the night is probably the best series between Utah and Denver.  Can't wait to see these guys go off.  I'm not making this last one anything more than a normal play ONLY b/c i think i can grab it LIVE and get a good number.  I do love what Murray is doing and I don't care if Gary Harris is playing I think that's not a great thing as he's been out for a while and the chemistry might be off for the first game back.  The old adage "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" applies here as good of a player and as needed as his scoring his.  I think Mitchell comes back to put on yet another show and I do feel this will be close just as every game this postseason between the clubs has been.  In the end, I think Quinn Snyder does just enough to stop a Denver comeback:

PLAY 3:  UTAH ML (-145) AND LIVE PLAY UPCOMING

Again, the BIG PLAYS are NOT counted as double, do as you wish when playing them.  I personally play more on those games than on others so that's why I label them differently.  Whatever you choose, stay positive.  Heres to a good day...as always, good luck to all.

thanks for posting and good luck to all

Great insight . Thank You

just because people asked...not sure i got the best LIVE line but took TORONTO (+7.5).  they can't play worse than they did and i see them staging some sort of comeback over the next 3 quarters.  remember it's basketball not football so this lead is not insurmountable and the Celtics have a habit of giving up these big leads.  i'm no swammy but just posting as promised.

UPDATE:  PLAYING THE CLIPPERS GAME NOW THE LINE IS LAC (-9) BIG PLAY.  WON'T MAKE A DIFFERENCE IN MY OPINION BUT THAT'S WHAT I GOT IT AT 

Good luck I’m on board. 

Toronto looked like shit today. 

Clippers

fh

TODAY:  1-1

YTD:  11-8

ADDING PLAY: OVER 109.5 FH (DEN/UTA)

Still have Utah FG pending, been a solid day so far will be even better if the last two hit.  Feeling on this game is while I know all the games since the restart have had a low scoring 1Q, probably due to getting their legs back after a couple day layoff, MOST the teams have come back with a torrid 2nd quarter.  The reason I think even IF they start slowly this could go over, is b/c the total is also far lower than some of the other games.  This number is attainable and I can see Denver wanting to play fast especially with Gary Harris back.  I think IN THE END the Jazz just have too much Donovan Mitchell and will get the job done. I also like Jordan Clarkson to have another solid game.  That's my take, good luck whatever you decide.

As always, good luck to everyone.