YTD: 8-3 (73%)
BIG PLAYS: 2-0
So I'm gonna start by addressing all the "noise" in my previous thread. First off, good, bad or indifferent, I do NOT need to post plays. I also do not NEED attention. Hence, I do not NEED to create accounts to get my viewership/following up. All my plays have been posted and listed on here, if you don't like them, a constructive argument or comment is fine. Otherwise, you don't need to be in the thread. The plays speak for themselves and while they cannot all win, I do my best to draft a write up so people can understand the thinking and angles I'm using to play the games. And yes, I know it's a small sample size thus far but I've posted years ago with success as well, so tail if you want, or don't, won't matter to me.
With that said, I do have plays for today but want to be VERY clear. I do NOT count the LIVE plays I post to my record, I know some people on COVERS do, no worries, just my way of doing things. I DO post them because a couple of people have asked me to do so. And they HAVE won, but again, not posted to record. Secondly, my BIG plays also count as ONE win, though I personally put more units on it. I trust every person can manage their own bankroll and so do as you please with those. Currently they are 2-0...on to today.
A couple of days ago, before the NBA came to a screeching halt, I had posted a play on MIL/ORL 1H OVER. Two days later, I do not see much of what has changed. I think Milwaukee comes out at the same speed you have seen them previously, and expect the Magic to play loose as they know they are all but finished and having nothing to lose. I expect the Bucks to get a big lead, just as they have the past couple of games, but I expect them to put the Magic away and win by close to 20, if not more. The reason i do not want to take the FG OVER is because I do see the second and third units hitting the floor. BUT, the only thing that has saved the Bucks ATS has been those units, as they have come in and held the cover for the past couple of games. Again, what's different? Personally i see the game as 120-100 or 125-105 type of final. To me, if that is correct, it's just way too close to the current FG OVER for my liking. Barring some type of unforeseen injury, I like both:
OVER 113 FH (MIL/ORL)
MILWAUKEE (-13) BIG PLAY
I actually do have an angle on the second game as well as some of the other sports today. I am going to keep everything posted in ONE thread in this forum so if you want to tail, great, they will be listed here. If not, again, no worries. Just keep things constructive and interesting, don't appear as a troll I have done nothing wrong and want to continue doing this until I can bear no more.
As for HOU/OKC, I know that Westbrook is returning, but I think that will help the UNDER more than anything. He is a menace defensively, can get rebounds, and creates shots for his teammates. I think the current spread of HOU (-4.5) is a little high for my liking so I can see myself taking that LIVE. Until a game is emboldened, it is NOT a play. Just so nobody is confused and thinks I'm doctoring the record, as they thought I doctored my own posts.