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Turc's Pick of the Day for Wednesday- %79 winners!

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Posted: #1
With the nail-biter under win in tragic/crabliers game, pick of the day record stands at 23-6. let's get this one right and get it back up to 80 percent rate....

Today's pick:

SACRAMENTO-CHARLOTTE  UNDER 200

Both teams are bad offensive teams as both are in bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. Tempo of this game is important and considering Charlotte's home games rarely go over 200 points, Charlotte usually successful at implementing  their slow tempo when playing at home. Also, Sacramento is playing b2b, so don't look for them to increase the tempo very often. Last game ended at 195 and considering this one is played at Charlotte's court, I expect this one to end in lower number than that.

Best of luck.
 
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Posted: #2
capped that same under.  seeing you on this play makes me feel more confident on it
 
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Posted: #3
gj on the backdoor cover
 
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Posted: #5
turc... i'm leaning UNDER No/ Min 191.5 what do you think?
 
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Posted: #6
nice hit last nite you make a lot of sence with that pick goood luck i may go with u
 
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Posted: #7
Don't play the total but I think they go over this time.



Sac plays lax defense and the Cats scores well against teams that let them score. Should fall to something like a 98-109 type of game
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by 2-4-Money:

turc... i'm leaning UNDER No/ Min 191.5 what do you think?


posted this in the other thread...

i capped min/noh at 189 without taking hornets' latest offensive struggles into account. if you think they are going to continue to lay egg offensively, this is a good bet, if you think they are going to snap out of it against a mediocre team on their home court, play is little iffy. make your judgement.

best of luck.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

Don't play the total but I think they go over this time.



Sac plays lax defense and the Cats scores well against teams that let them score. Should fall to something like a 98-109 type of game


i am not much of a trend guy but last time charlotte had a non-overtime game that went over 200 points, calenders showed 2008.

sacramento does have a bad defense, but i don't think charlotte offense is efficient enough to capitalize on that.
 
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Posted: #10
i meant at home, of course.
 
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Turc,

I have played the Kings first quarter OVER the last 2 months.  I can remember losing only about 2 or 3 times.  That being said, if this trend holds true then there should be a 50+ 1st quarter.  The Kings have averaged 29+ points on their own in the first 1st qtr the last 6 games.

I have been tailing your plays for over a week and have learned a lot from people like you and Ax.  How do you think the game will play out if the Kings continue their trend in the 1st qtr.

BOL my friend.
 
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Posted: #13
Locked on SACRAMENTO-CHARLOTTE  UNDER 200 Turcand again GLto us
 
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Posted: #14
wow, i went back and researched it bit more, out of Charlotte's 35 home games, only ONE non-overtime game went over 200 points, and that was against the team with the fastest tempo in the league-Golden State Warriors. 2 games ended exactly at 200 points.

I hope this is not too good to be true
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Turc:

With the nail-biter under win in tragic/crabliers game, pick of the day record stands at 23-6. let's get this one right and get it back up to 80 percent rate....

Today's pick:

SACRAMENTO-CHARLOTTE  UNDER 200

Both teams are bad offensive teams as both are in bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. Tempo of this game is important and considering Charlotte's home games rarely go over 200 points, Charlotte usually successful at implementing  their slow tempo when playing at home. Also, Sacramento is playing b2b, so don't look for them to increase the tempo very often. Last game ended at 195 and considering this one is played at Charlotte's court, I expect this one to end in lower number than that.

Best of luck.

Actually, the last game ended in 189.  That's even better.  But read my last post.  The last game the 1 qtr was exactly at 50.  I think I pushed.  Then the rest of the game offense tailed off.  Hopefully, we see the same results this time around.  BOL.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Philip_Rivers:

Turc,

I have played the Kings first quarter OVER the last 2 months.  I can remember losing only about 2 or 3 times.  That being said, if this trend holds true then there should be a 50+ 1st quarter.  The Kings have averaged 29+ points on their own in the first 1st qtr the last 6 games.

I have been tailing your plays for over a week and have learned a lot from people like you and Ax.  How do you think the game will play out if the Kings continue their trend in the 1st qtr.

BOL my friend.


I don't play quarter bets, so i can't comment how it is going to fare tomorrow but if first quarter indeed ends with 50+ points tomorrow, i wouldnt worry too much. Sacramento tends to drop off second half, f.e last night against Atlanta they shot almost 60% first half but finished the game with 39%. Also, b2b fatigue will show its face in second half.

best of luck. 
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Philip_Rivers:


Actually, the last game ended in 189.  That's even better.  But read my last post.  The last game the 1 qtr was exactly at 50.  I think I pushed.  Then the rest of the game offense tailed off.  Hopefully, we see the same results this time around.  BOL.


thanks for the correction, i was capping some other game at the same time.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Turc:



I don't play quarter bets, so i can't comment how it is going to fare tomorrow but if first quarter indeed ends with 50+ points tomorrow, i wouldnt worry too much. Sacramento tends to drop off second half, f.e last night against Atlanta they shot almost 60% first half but finished the game with 39%. Also, b2b fatigue will show its face in second half.

best of luck. 

Yeah I see you. As a Kings fan I know too well that they tend to fall off the face of the Earth after half time, especially on the 2nd game of a b2b.  BOL.
 
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Posted: #19
It seems that like 90% of the public is on the over, and my book has the line at 200.5 right now.  What do you think about waiting it out and hoping to get it at 201+?
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by jmart222:

It seems that like 90% of the public is on the over, and my book has the line at 200.5 right now.  What do you think about waiting it out and hoping to get it at 201+?


waiting wouldn't hurt if you feel like it is going to go up, but I capped this at 194-195, so make sure you follow it closely and don't let it get down lower than 199.

best of luck.
 
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Posted: #21
on it also
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Turc:

wow, i went back and researched it bit more, out of Charlotte's 35 home games, only ONE non-overtime game went over 200 points, and that was against the team with the fastest tempo in the league-Golden State Warriors. 2 games ended exactly at 200 points.

I hope this is not too good to be true

WOW WHAT A FIND ITS TIME TO DROP THE FUCKING HAMMER LETS GO UNDERRRRRRRRRRRRR

THANKS FOR THE POST

 
 
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