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Watchdog's Chase System (NBA 13/14)

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Prospect
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Posts: 330
Posted: #1
Hey, everyone! Today I fooled around with some numbers and trends from past seasons and something caught my eye. I found this one trend of which I can possibly make a profitable trend. I'll track it for some time and see what's gonna happen. Should be fun. 

NB! 
  • I'll play these picks with 1/20 of my real unit size!
  • I will post plays without any lines, but all plays are ATS and line chosen will be the one which will be available at 6pm!
  • Unit size: A: 1.10u; B: 2.31u; C: 4.85u; D: 10.19u!
01/22/2014
A bets:
  • ORL (1.10u)
  • SAC (1.10u)
  • IND (1.10u)



 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
The lines are: ORL +5.5, SAC +10, IND -6

BOL! 
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Ok, Indiana is done. I'll call this a day.

01/22/2014
A bets:
  • ORL (1.10u) WON
  • SAC (1.10u) LOST
  • IND (1.10u) LOST 

Total Record: 1-2
Total: -1.20u
A: 1-2
B: 0-0
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
Known games for tomorrow.

01/23/2014
A bets:
  • MIA (1.10u)

 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
Line: MIA -11
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
01/23/2014
A bets:
  • MIA (1.10u) LOST
Total Record: 1-3
Total: -2.30u
A: 1-3
B: 0-0
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
Known games for tomorrow.

01/23/2014
A bets:
  • CLE (v. MIL) (1.10u)
  • TOR (@ PHI) (1.10u)
  • GSW (v. MIN) (1.10u)
  • LAL (@ORL) (1.10u)*

B bets:
  • ORL (v. LAL) (2.31u)*
  • SAS (@ ATL) (2.31u)
  • MEM (@ HOU) (2.31u)
  • WAS (@ PHX) (2.31u)
* Play ORL (v. LAL) 1.10u!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
With one game left looking for a sweep here (that LAL game was a formality). 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

Known games for tomorrow.

01/23/2014
A bets:
  • CLE (v. MIL) (1.10u) WON
  • TOR (@ PHI) (1.10u) WON
  • GSW (v. MIN) (1.10u) LOST
  • LAL (@ORL) (1.10u)* LOST

B bets:
  • ORL (v. LAL) (2.31u)* WON
  • SAS (@ ATL) (2.31u) WON
  • MEM (@ HOU) (2.31u) WON
  • WAS (@ PHX) (2.31u) WON
* Play ORL (v. LAL) 1.10u!

Total record: 7-5
Total: +5.84u
A: 3-5
B: 4-0
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Known games for tomorrow:

01/25/2014
A bet: 
  • TOR (v. LAC) (1.10u)
B bet:
  • POR (v. MIN) (2.31u)


 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
Like both. Nice job 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 330
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

Known games for tomorrow:

01/25/2014
A bet: 
  • TOR (v. LAC) (1.10u) LOST
B bet:
  • POR (v. MIN) (2.31u) WON 
Total record: 8-6
Total: +6.82u 
A: 3-6
B: 5-0
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
Games for tomorrow night:

01/26/2014
A bets:
  • ORL (@ NOP) (1.10u) *
  • DET (@ DAL) (1.10u)
  • LAL (@ NYK) (1.10u)
B bets:
  • NOP (v. ORL) (2.31u) *
*! Bet NOP (v. ORL) 1.10u !*

 
Prospect
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Posts: 117
Posted: #15
Nice run. I have been following your thread now I will tail you@!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

Games for tomorrow night:

01/26/2014
A bets:
  • ORL (@ NOP) (1.10u) * LOST
  • DET (@ DAL) (1.10u) LOST
  • LAL (@ NYK) (1.10u) LOST
B bets:
  • NOP (v. ORL) (2.31u) * WON
*! Bet NOP (v. ORL) 1.10u !*


Total record: 8-9
Total: +4.64u
A: 3-9
B: 5-0
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #17
01/27/2014
A bets:
  • OKC -9.5 (v. ATL) (1.10u)
  • SAC +6 (@ UTA) (1.10u)

B bets:
  • MIL +10 (v. LAC) (2.31u)

BOL! 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

01/27/2014
A bets:
  • OKC -9.5 (v. ATL) (1.10u) LOST
  • SAC +6 (@ UTA) (1.10u) LOST

B bets:
  • MIL +10 (v. LAC) (2.31u) LOST


Total record: 8-12
Total: +0.13u
A: 3-11
B: 5-1
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #19
Known games for tomorrow:

01/28/2014
B bets:
  • CLE (v. NOP) (2.31u)
  • BOS (@ NYK) (2.31u)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

Known games for tomorrow:

01/28/2014
B bets:
  • CLE (v. NOP) (2.31u) LOST
  • BOS (@ NYK) (2.31u) LOST

Total record: 8-14
Total: -4.49u
A: 3-11
B: 5-3
C: 0-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
Known games for tomorrow:

01/29/2014
A bets:
  • MIL (v. PHX) (1.10u)
  • ORL (@ TOR) (1.10u)
  • OKC (@ MIA) (1.10u)
B bets: 
  • HOU (@ DAL) (2.31u)
  • CHA (@ DEN) (2.31u)
  • DET (@ ATL) (2.31u)
C bets:
  • WAS (@ LAC) (4.85u)
  • MIN (v. NOP) (4.85u)
 
Prospect
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Posts: 330
Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by HoopWatchdog:

Known games for tomorrow:

01/29/2014
A bets:
  • MIL (v. PHX) (1.10u) LOST
  • ORL (@ TOR) (1.10u) LOST
  • OKC (@ MIA) (1.10u) WON 1
B bets: 
  • HOU (@ DAL) (2.31u) WON 2.08
  • CHA (@ DEN) (2.31u) WON 2.08
  • DET (@ ATL) (2.31u) VOID
C bets:
  • WAS (@ LAC) (4.85u) WON 4.37
  • MIN (v. NOP) (4.85u) WON 4.37

Total record: 13-16
Total: +11.7u
A: 4-13
B: 7-3
C: 2-0
D: 0-0
 
Prospect
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Posted: #23
Known games for tomorrow:

01/30/2014
B bets:
  • IND (v. PHX) (2.31u)
C bets:
  • CLE (@ NYK) (4.85u)
s:
  • CLE (@ NYK) (4.85u)

 
Prospect
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Posts: 330
Posted: #24
Known games for tomorrow:

01/30/2014
B bets:
  • IND (v. PHX) (2.31u)
C bets:
  • CLE (@ NYK) (4.85u)
 
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jun, 2013
Posts: 782
Posted: #25
Are these based on trends/public perception?

Also do you post these before looking at actual spreads to avoid the bias?
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