Hear me out!
In The NBA Playoffs thus far the team to win the game has only not covered twice throughout every game, so who ever you think will win will cover the spread. We are also seeing FAVES of -1.5 to -3 cover at a 10-1 ATS clip during this playoffs. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Knicks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York and 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Knicks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. You have to think The Knicks will get the benefit of the doubt calls in MSG while it will be rocking. The Knicks D is ranked first at home and should be able to make Atlanta regress to their mean on the road. Knicks offence cant be this bad for that long vs a subpar Hawks D. Law of Averages say Knicks have a great chance to regress back to their norm when playing at home. Since most teams have trouble closing out a series and the Hawks are young I feel playing at MSG to close out a series might be to big for them.
Knicks win 110-98.