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'10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u
'10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF: 16-21 (43.2%) -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P: 9-6 (60.0%) +1.65u
'11-12 NFL: 42-35-1 (54.5%) +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P: 5-5 (50.0%) -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB: 9-3 (75.0%) +5.70u
'11-12 NBA: 57-53-1 (51.8%) +1.58u
ML Parlay - Philadelphia 76ers ML & San Antonio Spurs ML (-120)
This wager doesn't need much of a write-up. We have two spectacular home teams playing with rest against two opponents playing on a back to back and third in four nights. Even before fatigue is factored into the lines, my model projects both teams to win by 6 points. Boston has an away PSR of -2.8 and Philadelphia has a home PSR of +4.4 making a true line of Philadelphia -7.2. New York has an away PSR of -1.4 and San Antonio has a home PSR of +4.7 making a true line of San Antonio -6.1. I've done this a few times this season with varying success but I can't seem to pass up the value of getting two teams I project to win by 6 or more points effectively teased down to PK at low juice. In this case I'm getting a 7 point teaser at -120 odds.
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