Watched the Nuggets a good amount this preseason. They look like they have promise after falling short of the playoffs the last couple years and I believe, now know what it takes, just to make the playoffs. Their main goal will be finding consistency and not losing to the bad teams. The easiest way to find consistency on a night in and night out basis all starts with defense. When shots aren't falling, you can always rely on "hustle and hear" to grind out wins.
Paul Millsap has been on the record in saying that he wants to turn Denver into a top defensive team. Granted, it was only pre-season, but the Nuggets did rank 7th in defensive effieciency and the Clippers actually ranked 1st. The Clippers should be one of the top defensive teams this year. Avery Bradley has also been on the record in saying that he thinks him and Beverly will be the best defensive guard duo in the league. Add in the likes of Gortat, Harrell, and Boban, there's no reason why this Clippers team should be any less than 3rd or 4th in the league in defensive rating.
I think Denver plays at a relatively slower pace this year in regards to the run and gun pace that we're used to seeing. They are looking to establish a new identity and hopefully will find success this season doing something different.
Expect this game to be highly competitive all game long and 226 in my opinion is a solid ten points too high.
Bet this under with confidence.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD 1-0
Nuggets/Clippers under 226
Watched the Nuggets a good amount this preseason. They look like they have promise after falling short of the playoffs the last couple years and I believe, now know what it takes, just to make the playoffs. Their main goal will be finding consistency and not losing to the bad teams. The easiest way to find consistency on a night in and night out basis all starts with defense. When shots aren't falling, you can always rely on "hustle and hear" to grind out wins.
Paul Millsap has been on the record in saying that he wants to turn Denver into a top defensive team. Granted, it was only pre-season, but the Nuggets did rank 7th in defensive effieciency and the Clippers actually ranked 1st. The Clippers should be one of the top defensive teams this year. Avery Bradley has also been on the record in saying that he thinks him and Beverly will be the best defensive guard duo in the league. Add in the likes of Gortat, Harrell, and Boban, there's no reason why this Clippers team should be any less than 3rd or 4th in the league in defensive rating.
I think Denver plays at a relatively slower pace this year in regards to the run and gun pace that we're used to seeing. They are looking to establish a new identity and hopefully will find success this season doing something different.
Expect this game to be highly competitive all game long and 226 in my opinion is a solid ten points too high.
It's crazy how interesting of this game this is despite both teams having recent history of being irrelevant. The individual match-ups between the DeAndres and Booker vs Smith Jr are interesting and obviously we're all curious to see how Luka Doncic does.
Doncic is my pre-season pick to win rookie of the year. If he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for this kid. Despite being only 19, this kid plays far beyond his years. He's the total package and possesses so many skills. He'll be a tough guard for anybody and I think the Suns are a perfect team for him to play his first career game against.
I'm not going to get too much into the individual match-ups despite them being super interesting because that's not where I think the story of this game lies.
Despite getting the first pick in the draft, I think the Suns have regressed with the guys on their roster. They don't have nearly as many athletes and have added more role players. The problem with role players is that most of them can't create their own shots. Even Jamal Crawford is a shell of his former self and not only is he not that great offensively anymore, his defensive is a major liability.
Ariza has been known as a jack of all trades guy, but even last year in Houston I wasn't sold on him and I think him and Anderson both are now playing on a much lower grade team and won't have nearly as much success this season shooting the three. I'm wondering other than Booker, who isn't known to be an amazing facilitator, how these guys are going to get good, consistent looks.
Overall, I think the depth between the two teams is pretty lopsided and the Mavericks should beat a team who's lost their last three season openers, all at home by an average of 27 points.
0
Mavericks +1.5
It's crazy how interesting of this game this is despite both teams having recent history of being irrelevant. The individual match-ups between the DeAndres and Booker vs Smith Jr are interesting and obviously we're all curious to see how Luka Doncic does.
Doncic is my pre-season pick to win rookie of the year. If he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for this kid. Despite being only 19, this kid plays far beyond his years. He's the total package and possesses so many skills. He'll be a tough guard for anybody and I think the Suns are a perfect team for him to play his first career game against.
I'm not going to get too much into the individual match-ups despite them being super interesting because that's not where I think the story of this game lies.
Despite getting the first pick in the draft, I think the Suns have regressed with the guys on their roster. They don't have nearly as many athletes and have added more role players. The problem with role players is that most of them can't create their own shots. Even Jamal Crawford is a shell of his former self and not only is he not that great offensively anymore, his defensive is a major liability.
Ariza has been known as a jack of all trades guy, but even last year in Houston I wasn't sold on him and I think him and Anderson both are now playing on a much lower grade team and won't have nearly as much success this season shooting the three. I'm wondering other than Booker, who isn't known to be an amazing facilitator, how these guys are going to get good, consistent looks.
Overall, I think the depth between the two teams is pretty lopsided and the Mavericks should beat a team who's lost their last three season openers, all at home by an average of 27 points.
The Hawks travel to the Big Apple for the battle of the Treys. I expect the more experienced guard tandom of Bourke and Hardaway Jr to have their way with Young and Bazemore. Burke/Hardaway are an underrated guard duo in my opinion, and should find a lot of good scoring opportunities tonight.
Young will find his way eventually, but it's going to take time for him to get accustomed to the NBA and it's size and speed. Even in college he was jacking up a lot of unnecessary shots as well as reckless layup attempts often resulting in a bad pass or turnover.
Both teams have some key injuries. Porzingas, Muliday, and Lee are out for the Knicks. John Collins and Dwayne Deadmon are ruled out for the Hawks. The Knicks are likely to play Ntilikina, who's a solid defender at the SF and he'll be guarding Prince.
The Hawks are going to be shorthanded in scoring and I believe the Knicks have the upper hand both offensively and defensively.
Kanter is going to be a stud this season. It's crazy how many guys have come through OKC the last few years. I think he'll be a 20/10+ guy or close to it and few teams will have an answer for him.
Especially short handed, I don't see the Hawks having enough talent to beat too many teams right now unless they catch another bad team on a bad night.
0
Knicks -3.5
The Hawks travel to the Big Apple for the battle of the Treys. I expect the more experienced guard tandom of Bourke and Hardaway Jr to have their way with Young and Bazemore. Burke/Hardaway are an underrated guard duo in my opinion, and should find a lot of good scoring opportunities tonight.
Young will find his way eventually, but it's going to take time for him to get accustomed to the NBA and it's size and speed. Even in college he was jacking up a lot of unnecessary shots as well as reckless layup attempts often resulting in a bad pass or turnover.
Both teams have some key injuries. Porzingas, Muliday, and Lee are out for the Knicks. John Collins and Dwayne Deadmon are ruled out for the Hawks. The Knicks are likely to play Ntilikina, who's a solid defender at the SF and he'll be guarding Prince.
The Hawks are going to be shorthanded in scoring and I believe the Knicks have the upper hand both offensively and defensively.
Kanter is going to be a stud this season. It's crazy how many guys have come through OKC the last few years. I think he'll be a 20/10+ guy or close to it and few teams will have an answer for him.
Especially short handed, I don't see the Hawks having enough talent to beat too many teams right now unless they catch another bad team on a bad night.
Thanks for your insights into these games, especially the DEN/LAC game. Just getting started in NBA this season and did zero prep work, which obviously is bad. But I didnt make the decision to bet NBA this year until a few days ago. Anyway, yeah 226 is generally high for a NBA game to begin with then you throw in the info about the defenses you referenced.....I'm definitely going to look into that game further.
0
Thanks for your insights into these games, especially the DEN/LAC game. Just getting started in NBA this season and did zero prep work, which obviously is bad. But I didnt make the decision to bet NBA this year until a few days ago. Anyway, yeah 226 is generally high for a NBA game to begin with then you throw in the info about the defenses you referenced.....I'm definitely going to look into that game further.
Thanks for your insights into these games, especially the DEN/LAC game. Just getting started in NBA this season and did zero prep work, which obviously is bad. But I didnt make the decision to bet NBA this year until a few days ago. Anyway, yeah 226 is generally high for a NBA game to begin with then you throw in the info about the defenses you referenced.....I'm definitely going to look into that game further.
I'm usually the same way. I'll watch a couple weeks of regular season to get familiar with rosters and what not before I go too ham on the betting. I decided to bet preseason though this year so I'm a little more up to date, quicker than usual and decided to dive in. I've been betting systems the last year and change but miss the handicapping aspect along with forum interaction. NBA will be the only sport I handicap and I'm sure this season will quickly pass.
0
Quote Originally Posted by the_dude911:
Thanks for your insights into these games, especially the DEN/LAC game. Just getting started in NBA this season and did zero prep work, which obviously is bad. But I didnt make the decision to bet NBA this year until a few days ago. Anyway, yeah 226 is generally high for a NBA game to begin with then you throw in the info about the defenses you referenced.....I'm definitely going to look into that game further.
I'm usually the same way. I'll watch a couple weeks of regular season to get familiar with rosters and what not before I go too ham on the betting. I decided to bet preseason though this year so I'm a little more up to date, quicker than usual and decided to dive in. I've been betting systems the last year and change but miss the handicapping aspect along with forum interaction. NBA will be the only sport I handicap and I'm sure this season will quickly pass.
You seem knowledgeable how long have you been capping NBA games ?
Capping, ten years on and off. About as long as I've been gambling. I was literally wearing out Bulls VHS tapes as a kid, so NBA has always been in my blood and I've kept pretty up to date with the sport in general.
Been trying to bet systems the past year and change because I was getting burnt out from the capping, but decided to at least give NBA capping another go and just forego capping the other sports. It's been working out well so far. We'll see how things transpire over the next few months.
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Quote Originally Posted by bearsfan111:
You seem knowledgeable how long have you been capping NBA games ?
Capping, ten years on and off. About as long as I've been gambling. I was literally wearing out Bulls VHS tapes as a kid, so NBA has always been in my blood and I've kept pretty up to date with the sport in general.
Been trying to bet systems the past year and change because I was getting burnt out from the capping, but decided to at least give NBA capping another go and just forego capping the other sports. It's been working out well so far. We'll see how things transpire over the next few months.
I had to come back for one more write up. I may be a sucker but I can't stop thinking about how high this total is tonight. So many things have to happen to hit a 233 mark and with it being the first game and both teams having roster changes from last season, I'm biting on the under.
A couple weeks ago I had read on how the Pelicans want to so called "update" their game play. They want to shoot more threes and play faster, if that's even possible. In my opinion they don't have the personnel to do that. They were horrible last year from beyond the arc and certainly didn't upgrade their shooting. I'm also not sure how fitting Julius Randle into that strategy is going to work either.
Anthony Davis wants to be more "Westbrook like". Do whatever his team needs to to win, and instill more confidence in his teammates and not be their only scoring option.
Houston can guard. I see them upgrading their defense with Ennis over Ariza, who I wasn't sold on last season. Houston will do what they do, but I'm skeptical how sharp even they'll be tonight.
Too many things have to happen (all game long) and this total is as if both teams are well oiled machines, which I highly doubt they are. I'm betting this under with confidence that there will be those stretches of sloppy play and missed threes for this massive total to not go over.
0
Pelicans/Rokets under 233
I had to come back for one more write up. I may be a sucker but I can't stop thinking about how high this total is tonight. So many things have to happen to hit a 233 mark and with it being the first game and both teams having roster changes from last season, I'm biting on the under.
A couple weeks ago I had read on how the Pelicans want to so called "update" their game play. They want to shoot more threes and play faster, if that's even possible. In my opinion they don't have the personnel to do that. They were horrible last year from beyond the arc and certainly didn't upgrade their shooting. I'm also not sure how fitting Julius Randle into that strategy is going to work either.
Anthony Davis wants to be more "Westbrook like". Do whatever his team needs to to win, and instill more confidence in his teammates and not be their only scoring option.
Houston can guard. I see them upgrading their defense with Ennis over Ariza, who I wasn't sold on last season. Houston will do what they do, but I'm skeptical how sharp even they'll be tonight.
Too many things have to happen (all game long) and this total is as if both teams are well oiled machines, which I highly doubt they are. I'm betting this under with confidence that there will be those stretches of sloppy play and missed threes for this massive total to not go over.
I ended up not going with the o/u on the DEN/LAC game but i did take DEN ML in a parlay. I'm only doing ML/ou parlays for NBA. Personally I think betting spread's in the NBA is a losing proposition so staying far far away from that.
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I ended up not going with the o/u on the DEN/LAC game but i did take DEN ML in a parlay. I'm only doing ML/ou parlays for NBA. Personally I think betting spread's in the NBA is a losing proposition so staying far far away from that.
I think your call on the under in the HOU game is good as well. I was looking at that this morning when it was 228 1/2....didnt pull the trigger on it but it was a bet I was considering.
0
I think your call on the under in the HOU game is good as well. I was looking at that this morning when it was 228 1/2....didnt pull the trigger on it but it was a bet I was considering.
I ended up not going with the o/u on the DEN/LAC game but i did take DEN ML in a parlay. I'm only doing ML/ou parlays for NBA. Personally I think betting spread's in the NBA is a losing proposition so staying far far away from that.
.
Good luck with your ML bet.
I have concern about how well the Nuggets offense will gel tonight. I think their defense will keep them in the game though. Hopefully the Paul Millsap that we're used to shows up.
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Quote Originally Posted by the_dude911:
I ended up not going with the o/u on the DEN/LAC game but i did take DEN ML in a parlay. I'm only doing ML/ou parlays for NBA. Personally I think betting spread's in the NBA is a losing proposition so staying far far away from that.
.
Good luck with your ML bet.
I have concern about how well the Nuggets offense will gel tonight. I think their defense will keep them in the game though. Hopefully the Paul Millsap that we're used to shows up.
I had to come back for one more write up. I may be a sucker but I can't stop thinking about how high this total is tonight. So many things have to happen to hit a 233 mark and with it being the first game and both teams having roster changes from last season, I'm biting on the under.
A couple weeks ago I had read on how the Pelicans want to so called "update" their game play. They want to shoot more threes and play faster, if that's even possible. In my opinion they don't have the personnel to do that. They were horrible last year from beyond the arc and certainly didn't upgrade their shooting. I'm also not sure how fitting Julius Randle into that strategy is going to work either.
Anthony Davis wants to be more "Westbrook like". Do whatever his team needs to to win, and instill more confidence in his teammates and not be their only scoring option.
Houston can guard. I see them upgrading their defense with Ennis over Ariza, who I wasn't sold on last season. Houston will do what they do, but I'm skeptical how sharp even they'll be tonight.
Too many things have to happen (all game long) and this total is as if both teams are well oiled machines, which I highly doubt they are. I'm betting this under with confidence that there will be those stretches of sloppy play and missed threes for this massive total to not go over.
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
PM for the skinny on the down low
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Quote Originally Posted by HonestD:
Pelicans/Rokets under 233
I had to come back for one more write up. I may be a sucker but I can't stop thinking about how high this total is tonight. So many things have to happen to hit a 233 mark and with it being the first game and both teams having roster changes from last season, I'm biting on the under.
A couple weeks ago I had read on how the Pelicans want to so called "update" their game play. They want to shoot more threes and play faster, if that's even possible. In my opinion they don't have the personnel to do that. They were horrible last year from beyond the arc and certainly didn't upgrade their shooting. I'm also not sure how fitting Julius Randle into that strategy is going to work either.
Anthony Davis wants to be more "Westbrook like". Do whatever his team needs to to win, and instill more confidence in his teammates and not be their only scoring option.
Houston can guard. I see them upgrading their defense with Ennis over Ariza, who I wasn't sold on last season. Houston will do what they do, but I'm skeptical how sharp even they'll be tonight.
Too many things have to happen (all game long) and this total is as if both teams are well oiled machines, which I highly doubt they are. I'm betting this under with confidence that there will be those stretches of sloppy play and missed threes for this massive total to not go over.
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
I hear you there. Definitely too many high percentage gimmie baskets. Just pure laziness. This game will definitely be noted and it might warrant a week of games before I bet another total with the Rockets. Thanks for your insight!
0
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
I hear you there. Definitely too many high percentage gimmie baskets. Just pure laziness. This game will definitely be noted and it might warrant a week of games before I bet another total with the Rockets. Thanks for your insight!
Watched the Nuggets a good amount this preseason. They look like they have promise after falling short of the playoffs the last couple years and I believe, now know what it takes, just to make the playoffs. Their main goal will be finding consistency and not losing to the bad teams. The easiest way to find consistency on a night in and night out basis all starts with defense. When shots aren't falling, you can always rely on "hustle and hear" to grind out wins.
Paul Millsap has been on the record in saying that he wants to turn Denver into a top defensive team. Granted, it was only pre-season, but the Nuggets did rank 7th in defensive effieciency and the Clippers actually ranked 1st. The Clippers should be one of the top defensive teams this year. Avery Bradley has also been on the record in saying that he thinks him and Beverly will be the best defensive guard duo in the league. Add in the likes of Gortat, Harrell, and Boban, there's no reason why this Clippers team should be any less than 3rd or 4th in the league in defensive rating.
I think Denver plays at a relatively slower pace this year in regards to the run and gun pace that we're used to seeing. They are looking to establish a new identity and hopefully will find success this season doing something different.
Expect this game to be highly competitive all game long and 226 in my opinion is a solid ten points too high.
Bet this under with confidence.
No defense in this one and both teams playing fast.
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Quote Originally Posted by HonestD:
YTD 1-0
Nuggets/Clippers under 226
Watched the Nuggets a good amount this preseason. They look like they have promise after falling short of the playoffs the last couple years and I believe, now know what it takes, just to make the playoffs. Their main goal will be finding consistency and not losing to the bad teams. The easiest way to find consistency on a night in and night out basis all starts with defense. When shots aren't falling, you can always rely on "hustle and hear" to grind out wins.
Paul Millsap has been on the record in saying that he wants to turn Denver into a top defensive team. Granted, it was only pre-season, but the Nuggets did rank 7th in defensive effieciency and the Clippers actually ranked 1st. The Clippers should be one of the top defensive teams this year. Avery Bradley has also been on the record in saying that he thinks him and Beverly will be the best defensive guard duo in the league. Add in the likes of Gortat, Harrell, and Boban, there's no reason why this Clippers team should be any less than 3rd or 4th in the league in defensive rating.
I think Denver plays at a relatively slower pace this year in regards to the run and gun pace that we're used to seeing. They are looking to establish a new identity and hopefully will find success this season doing something different.
Expect this game to be highly competitive all game long and 226 in my opinion is a solid ten points too high.
Bet this under with confidence.
No defense in this one and both teams playing fast.
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
Yep. Unders in the regular season are quickly becoming next to impossible in this league now regardless who's playing.
0
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
This game is most likely going over...watching it near the end of the 1H...
Houston has almost no defense...they will miss Ariza a LOT this year...
Probably want to play the OVERs in their games for the most part this year and I don't think they get to their O/U season wins which I think was at 56...
No way they get there with this absolutely dreadful defense....
Yep. Unders in the regular season are quickly becoming next to impossible in this league now regardless who's playing.
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