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Who will sweep the Christmas board?

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Legend
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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by DeHoyos:

dont ATS records for teams always end up between 50-60% every year......year after year.......so those numbers would eventually have to be closer to 50/50 than they are right now.....
just a thought......

In that case the Cavs have some serious work to do, currently batting at a whopping 16.7% as an ATS favourite through 12 games.

Just win baby...

 
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Posted: #52
my brother seems to think theres value in fading teams like that.....but he's never really done any serious research to back it up.....the fact that teams do end up in that range does make it an interesting theory....especially when teams are high or low in ATS%'s.....I've always thought that if a team is destined to be at 50% or close to it.. that would make for less winning and losing streaks ,especially towards the end of the season where teams would "have some serious work to do" if they went on a really long streak....
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by DeHoyos:

dont ATS records for teams always end up between 50-60% every year......year after year.......so those numbers would eventually have to be closer to 50/50 than they are right now.....
just a thought......

if the season is 2048 games long, then yes, it will be close to 50/50... but with 82 games, the variance is high and you will see some teams ending with 40% ATS and with totals, I have seen teams as low as 38% O/U for the season...

I won't automatically assume all teams will finish close to 50% and start betting blindedly on teams with horrible ATS% right now.

 
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Posted: #54
all I'm saying is you cant put to muck stock in the fact that their ATS record is bad.....in my opinion..
 
-2.5 at home on Christmas,is not asking a whole lot facing a Zoe-less Miami with a Deisel on cruise-control....I'm sorry but I'll give the edge to Gooden and Z.......
 
 
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Posted: #55
Give me The Wades +5 all day.  And possibly Over.
 
Will most likely be on Phoenix as well.  Not as strong as Miami though.  Like the Under, but I expected to see a 214.  221
 
Will most likely take Seattle 1st Half as well but small.  No reason to play Seattle full game IMO.  If they are down by 5 ore more at the half they probably get beat by at least 3 2nd half.  I could see it being a one basket game at the half and staying close or Portland pulling away.  Point being, if they cover the game, I strongly feel they have to cover the 1st half. 
 
Im smokin hot as well.  So I probably go 3-0 or 0-3.
 
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Posted: #56
 Looks like I might be against you on all 3, well somewhat.  Typed on here before I read through your thread.   Fine with me. 
 
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Posted: #57
well the only thing we officially disagree on is Cle/Mia.....and its not like really even put alot of effort into the choice....just an instincts play...I know that the bigger play will be in one of the later games.....Right now I'm more enclined to watch the 1st half of Lal/Phx.....The Blazers in my opinion are a solid pick on the ML....7.5 is alot though..
 
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Posted: #58
take cleveland, and portland teased!!!!!
 
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Posted: #59
thats a good idea
 
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Posted: #60

I just locked in

Phoenix -0.5

300/200

i just have the feeling that Nash will come up big.....

 
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Posted: #61

1 down 2 to go...............

 
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Posted: #62
I dont regret my Phoenix play anyomore after watching the first few minutes...
Nash comes up big....IMO
 
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Posted: #63

Those were the most spectacular 4 assists in the history of the NBA on Christmas......

 
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Posted: #64
Cleveland, Phoenix, Portland ML Parlay
 
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Posted: #65
Bynum is so much better than now than in any of the other playoff matchups...and Diaw is so disapointing...
 
Bynum has the ability to singlehandedly kick my arse this afternoon...We may have to start talking LA title contention again before we know it.....
 
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Posted: #66
vintage Nash....
 
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Posted: #67
What do you get a guy like Kareem for Christmas?
 
 
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Posted: #68
62-62 at the half....
everyone accomplished absolutley nothing.....
by the way since when did the NBA start making shoe comercials?
I think if anyone has takin a bath today,one really good way to make up for it is to put your trust in the Blazers....Ive done it alot the last 2 weeks...
And if I were the NBA or anyone else for that matter whos not a part of the Sonics org. wants Portland to continue their remarkbale run.....Just for one more game....For one game so that everyone can go to sleep content with the card the NBA offered to us this Christmas Day.....Plus their hotter than any team on the planet right now...and Portland's in the the top 5 in the league as far as fans are concerned....couple that with the fact that Seattle is atleast 2 years away from playoff contention and their frankly just ready to go home for Christmas...cuz you know they couldnt really celebrate(blunts and braudes)the way they wanted to with the pending game on the docket.....
 
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Posted: #69
Nash and Bynum came up huge in the 1sthalf...
Phillip's bowtie makes him look like a bouncer at a gay night club.....
 
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Posted: #70

Portland -5.5

1800/1200

cmon Blazers one more!

 
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Posted: #71

How come you buy your points all the time?

Nice calls so far.

 
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Posted: #72
MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYBODY!!!!!!!!
 
 
 
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Posted: #73
I buy the points because of all the times I've bought points and both sides won....thats a pretty good bet in my opinion....also buying points saves me money.....like on sunday when i bought 1 point and made the Pats -21...not buying would have cost me $1200....
 
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Posted: #74
 
 
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Posted: #75

I'm totally stumped on first glance at Wens......

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