The Heat will come out with a full head of steam tonight vs the Pacers for how things ended the last game. As you all know, they last lost 2 games in a row January 10th. Since then they have lost 8 times, and here are the results of the following games in which they lost including playoffs.
Average 1st quarter scores: 28.4 - 21.6 Average half time score: 55.5 - 45.8 Average game score: 106.4 - 85.8
That's a difference of 7 by the end of the first, 10 by half, and over 20 for the game!
Average point spread: -5.5
8-0 SU and 8-0 ATS
bol everyone
This are very selective stats. Why not check every ATS stat after a Miami loss all season? Why not at least check every game after a loss in 2013? Cherrypicking your stat right after they LOST the game after a loss is very self-serving.
It's also important to know *WHO* they played. If they faced Charlotte, Cleveland, Sacramento, and other lotto teams, then the big margin of victory is meaningless in a game right after a loss.
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Quote Originally Posted by chestbrah:
The Heat will come out with a full head of steam tonight vs the Pacers for how things ended the last game. As you all know, they last lost 2 games in a row January 10th. Since then they have lost 8 times, and here are the results of the following games in which they lost including playoffs.
Average 1st quarter scores: 28.4 - 21.6 Average half time score: 55.5 - 45.8 Average game score: 106.4 - 85.8
That's a difference of 7 by the end of the first, 10 by half, and over 20 for the game!
Average point spread: -5.5
8-0 SU and 8-0 ATS
bol everyone
This are very selective stats. Why not check every ATS stat after a Miami loss all season? Why not at least check every game after a loss in 2013? Cherrypicking your stat right after they LOST the game after a loss is very self-serving.
It's also important to know *WHO* they played. If they faced Charlotte, Cleveland, Sacramento, and other lotto teams, then the big margin of victory is meaningless in a game right after a loss.
youre just hoping, as a bettor ya gotta look at both sides. y didnt heat come out roaring the other games but they do it tonight?
After Heat lost game 1 to the Bulls they won by 37, 10 and 21, and incredible 3 game run.
Go back and look-up how teams perform off these great 3 game runs.
In the next 3 games they've covered the spread at a 15.9% clip.and almost every team lost SU as a big favorite just like Miami did game 2. With no team posting a winning spread record in the past few years.
The Heats next 3 games, went 0-3 ATS including losing SU as a big favorite, exactly as past team coming off these big runs.
It's called "regression to the mean".....................................
Explains why the Heat didn't come-out with guns ablazing, no teams do..................................
In the following 3 games after suffering their 3rd ATS loss, no team has failed to post a winning record ATS. The Heat are 1-1 ATS.....................
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Quote Originally Posted by jtoler:
youre just hoping, as a bettor ya gotta look at both sides. y didnt heat come out roaring the other games but they do it tonight?
After Heat lost game 1 to the Bulls they won by 37, 10 and 21, and incredible 3 game run.
Go back and look-up how teams perform off these great 3 game runs.
In the next 3 games they've covered the spread at a 15.9% clip.and almost every team lost SU as a big favorite just like Miami did game 2. With no team posting a winning spread record in the past few years.
The Heats next 3 games, went 0-3 ATS including losing SU as a big favorite, exactly as past team coming off these big runs.
It's called "regression to the mean".....................................
Explains why the Heat didn't come-out with guns ablazing, no teams do..................................
In the following 3 games after suffering their 3rd ATS loss, no team has failed to post a winning record ATS. The Heat are 1-1 ATS.....................
Composite, that was not your finest post. If you can't acknowledge the dominance the Heat have CLEARLY demonstrated over the last 4.5 months in games that followed a loss, then you are kidding yourself. Don't kid yourself.
Hey, I'm a Heat hater along with millions of other people. I faded them in Games 1, 2, and 4. I have the Pacers +650 for the series. But even I had to stop in my tracks today when I found this thread.
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Composite, that was not your finest post. If you can't acknowledge the dominance the Heat have CLEARLY demonstrated over the last 4.5 months in games that followed a loss, then you are kidding yourself. Don't kid yourself.
Hey, I'm a Heat hater along with millions of other people. I faded them in Games 1, 2, and 4. I have the Pacers +650 for the series. But even I had to stop in my tracks today when I found this thread.
Pacers are the better team...and were before the series started...If Dwayne Wade is not the Wade of old...why on earth would Miami win unless the refs hand it to them...I love Miami but if they do win...its by a very close margin......pacers should have beaten them last year but they did not use hibbert properly...won't happen this year
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Pacers are the better team...and were before the series started...If Dwayne Wade is not the Wade of old...why on earth would Miami win unless the refs hand it to them...I love Miami but if they do win...its by a very close margin......pacers should have beaten them last year but they did not use hibbert properly...won't happen this year
Composite, that was not your finest post. If you can't acknowledge the dominance the Heat have CLEARLY demonstrated over the last 4.5 months in games that followed a loss, then you are kidding yourself. Don't kid yourself.
Hey, I'm a Heat hater along with millions of other people. I faded them in Games 1, 2, and 4. I have the Pacers +650 for the series. But even I had to stop in my tracks today when I found this thread.
They haven't played well just after a loss. They went 45-4 or something in 2013. They've played well. Period. And, of course, they probably play even slightly better after a rare loss.
But I bought into the Miami hype and took them for the 1Q and lost. But if Indy should somehow pull out this win, I think Miami is a great bet for G6. Refs will try hard to push a G7.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Composite, that was not your finest post. If you can't acknowledge the dominance the Heat have CLEARLY demonstrated over the last 4.5 months in games that followed a loss, then you are kidding yourself. Don't kid yourself.
Hey, I'm a Heat hater along with millions of other people. I faded them in Games 1, 2, and 4. I have the Pacers +650 for the series. But even I had to stop in my tracks today when I found this thread.
They haven't played well just after a loss. They went 45-4 or something in 2013. They've played well. Period. And, of course, they probably play even slightly better after a rare loss.
But I bought into the Miami hype and took them for the 1Q and lost. But if Indy should somehow pull out this win, I think Miami is a great bet for G6. Refs will try hard to push a G7.
I am on the Heat -4 -110 in the 1st half. Not small.
My costly mistake was in not checking to make sure the Heat were also 8-0 ATS in the first halves of those games. Well, they weren't. They were 5-3 ATS and a perfect 8-0 ATS in the second halves. I fuc.ked myself out of what should have been a nice -7.5 winner by instead betting a nice -4 first half loser. Costly.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
I am on the Heat -4 -110 in the 1st half. Not small.
My costly mistake was in not checking to make sure the Heat were also 8-0 ATS in the first halves of those games. Well, they weren't. They were 5-3 ATS and a perfect 8-0 ATS in the second halves. I fuc.ked myself out of what should have been a nice -7.5 winner by instead betting a nice -4 first half loser. Costly.
"Tried to warn all." This jtoler nobody posted this taunt at halftime attempting to rub it in the face of Heat bettors. What a chump. Every post he had in this thread made him look like an idiot.
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Quote Originally Posted by jtoler:
Tried to warn all.
"Tried to warn all." This jtoler nobody posted this taunt at halftime attempting to rub it in the face of Heat bettors. What a chump. Every post he had in this thread made him look like an idiot.
After Heat lost game 1 to the Bulls they won by 37, 10 and 21, and incredible 3 game run.
Go back and look-up how teams perform off these great 3 game runs.
In the next 3 games they've covered the spread at a 15.9% clip.and almost every team lost SU as a big favorite just like Miami did game 2. With no team posting a winning spread record in the past few years.
The Heats next 3 games, went 0-3 ATS including losing SU as a big favorite, exactly as past team coming off these big runs.
It's called "regression to the mean".....................................
Explains why the Heat didn't come-out with guns ablazing, no teams do..................................
In the following 3 games after suffering their 3rd ATS loss, no team has failed to post a winning record ATS. The Heat are 1-1 ATS.....................
And there you have it..................................
Heat go on to post a 2-1 ATS winning record in the 3 games to follow their 3rd ATS coming of that incredible 3 game run.
Something to remember in the years ahead................................
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
After Heat lost game 1 to the Bulls they won by 37, 10 and 21, and incredible 3 game run.
Go back and look-up how teams perform off these great 3 game runs.
In the next 3 games they've covered the spread at a 15.9% clip.and almost every team lost SU as a big favorite just like Miami did game 2. With no team posting a winning spread record in the past few years.
The Heats next 3 games, went 0-3 ATS including losing SU as a big favorite, exactly as past team coming off these big runs.
It's called "regression to the mean".....................................
Explains why the Heat didn't come-out with guns ablazing, no teams do..................................
In the following 3 games after suffering their 3rd ATS loss, no team has failed to post a winning record ATS. The Heat are 1-1 ATS.....................
And there you have it..................................
Heat go on to post a 2-1 ATS winning record in the 3 games to follow their 3rd ATS coming of that incredible 3 game run.
Something to remember in the years ahead................................
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This guy captainpapsmear has no clue. 
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