Wizards -2

Disappointing night. The Pelicans disappointed me big time. I hope I can bounce back today. I only have one play despite the big card. Trimming down the fat is essential to building a nice, steady stream of profit. Don't force plays just to have action. It's a marathon, not a sprint.

Wizards -2 @ Sixers

Factor: Popular home dog/Fade the “hot” team

There’s an old adage saying that it’s better late than never. But in sports wagering, it’s never good to be late. The betting public likes to hop on “hot” streaks or fade the slumps in the middle or right at the very end when almost all the value of riding or fading particular team or situation has gone out of the window. The moment the public decides to hop on the bandwagon, it’s already too late. Winning in sports betting is about analyzing the teams that will progress and ride them from the beginning or near the beginning of such progression or fade the team that is due for a regression.

Such is the case in this match up. The time to hop off the Sixers bandwagon started in their last game against the Warriors. Unfortunately, the betting public is still enamored with this team after their fast start. They see the loss to the Warriors as a minor stumbling block and they’ll get back on track against the winless Washington team. There’s a reason why this game opened with the Wizards LAYING a point on the ROAD (which has since moved to -2) even after they lost in their last meeting a week ago. They’re perceived by the oddsmakers as the much better team. Their over/under for wins before the season started was set at 41. Forty one wins in the Eastern Conference is a borderline playoff team. The Sixers? Set at 16.5. They’re projected to have the worst record coming into this season and the oddsmakers remain steadfast in their belief by setting them up as dogs in this game. They’re a three win, one loss team that is GETTING points at HOME against a WINLESS team. Let that sink in for a minute. I waited with bated breath for the line to come out for this game because I’m ready to pound the Wizards. Laying a bucket against a laughable team with a team poised to battle for a playoff spot is an easy call. Don’t get caught up with fast starts. The Bobcats started 7-5 last year and look what happened to them.