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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Posted: #2651

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: @KellyM_1964  A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!     ya    i took bengals at +14.5   I am considering the same as I believe Browning can be effective even in the face of a decent D and on the road. But I wanna see how the teams play early so will reserve for possible ingame opp BoL with your bet!   @fubah2  u can get +16.5 for a good price now   live check that     after lawrence completion for 26 yds   its now up to +17.5

with a 7-0 score that  line has climbed to as high as  +24.5 now peace_5

 

 

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Posted: #2652

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: @KellyM_1964  A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!     ya    i took bengals at +14.5   I am considering the same as I believe Browning can be effective even in the face of a decent D and on the road. But I wanna see how the teams play early so will reserve for possible ingame opp BoL with your bet!   @fubah2  u can get +16.5 for a good price now   live check that     after lawrence completion for 26 yds   its now up to +17.5 with a 7-0 score that  line has climbed to as high as  +24.5 now

LIVE BET early 2Q, Bengals ball driving....BENGALS +21.5 -250

 
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Posted: #2653

Quote Originally Posted by Fuse:

peaceclover

Thanks FUSE! peace_5

BoL with your bets tonight! clover an_cheers

 

 
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Posted: #2654

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: @KellyM_1964  A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!     ya    i took bengals at +14.5   I am considering the same as I believe Browning can be effective even in the face of a decent D and on the road. But I wanna see how the teams play early so will reserve for possible ingame opp BoL with your bet!   @fubah2  u can get +16.5 for a good price now   live check that     after lawrence completion for 26 yds   its now up to +17.5 with a 7-0 score that  line has climbed to as high as  +24.5 now

@KellyM_1964

 Yep, saw that and went to consider that dog bet line, but then the Bengals started driving and the line began falling of course angry

 

 

 
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Posted: #2655

My God this thread is a horror show .

Can somebody kick that Kelly guy out so he stops repeating his posts over and over again ?

you can’t even read anything cuz he makes it a mess .

BACK PATTING and KISSING threads are like passing HAM SANDWICHES around over and over-wall
 
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Posted: #2656

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: @KellyM_1964  A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!     ya    i took bengals at +14.5   I am considering the same as I believe Browning can be effective even in the face of a decent D and on the road. But I wanna see how the teams play early so will reserve for possible ingame opp BoL with your bet!   @fubah2  u can get +16.5 for a good price now   live check that     after lawrence completion for 26 yds   its now up to +17.5 with a 7-0 score that  line has climbed to as high as  +24.5 now @KellyM_1964  Yep, saw that and went to consider that dog bet line, but then the Bengals started driving and the line began falling of course

Bengals Browning  doing fine in the first half!

 

 

 
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Posted: #2657

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: @KellyM_1964  A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!     ya    i took bengals at +14.5   I am considering the same as I believe Browning can be effective even in the face of a decent D and on the road. But I wanna see how the teams play early so will reserve for possible ingame opp BoL with your bet!   @fubah2  u can get +16.5 for a good price now   live check that     after lawrence completion for 26 yds   its now up to +17.5 with a 7-0 score that  line has climbed to as high as  +24.5 now @KellyM_1964  Yep, saw that and went to consider that dog bet line, but then the Bengals started driving and the line began falling of course Bengals Browning  doing fine in the first half!

@fubah2

Not a big surprise though.  He's a very good QB, who just needed an opening to get some playing time

 

 
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Posted: #2658

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET early 2Q, Bengals ball driving....BENGALS +21.5 -250

touchdown !!  bengals lead 21-14 and now they are favs ! an_cheers

 

 

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Posted: #2659

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET early 2Q, Bengals ball driving....BENGALS +21.5 -250 touchdown !!  bengals lead 21-14 and now they are favs !

@KellyM_1964

 peace_5   an_cheers

Jags will score and will tie the game...then eventually win it outright.

an_light If it gets close enough I may even take the Jags SU to set up a middle! an_2drinks

They might even cover the -9.5 pregame lines. 

But I am confident my +21.5 alt-line has at least a 5 to 1 chance of covering, and your +14.5 line probably around 4 to 1....

NO GUARANTEES THOUGH!!! Game could just as easily explode in Jags favor!

 
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Posted: #2660

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

@KellyM_1964     

Jags will score and will tie the game...then eventually win it outright.

If it gets close enough I may even take the Jags SU to set up a middle!

They might even cover the -9.5 pregame lines.  But I am confident my +21.5 alt-line has at least a 5 to 1 chance of covering, and your +14.5 line probably around 4 to 1.... NO GUARANTEES THOUGH!!! Game could just as easily explode in Jags favor!

Jags tied the game as expected, and they will move ahead at some point -- most likely for a SU winner.  LIVE BET: JAGS -245 *BB 5u for an excellent middle shot!!!!

 
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Posted: #2661

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: @KellyM_1964      Jags will score and will tie the game...then eventually win it outright. If it gets close enough I may even take the Jags SU to set up a middle! They might even cover the -9.5 pregame lines.  But I am confident my +21.5 alt-line has at least a 5 to 1 chance of covering, and your +14.5 line probably around 4 to 1.... NO GUARANTEES THOUGH!!! Game could just as easily explode in Jags favor! Jags tied the game as expected, and they will move ahead at some point -- most likely for a SU winner.  LIVE BET: JAGS -245 *BB 5u
WHOA!!  Trick play backfires!! an_getaway

 
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Posted: #2662

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

WHOA!!  Trick play backfires!!

And Jags make them pay for it!

Jags up 7 once again....

 
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Posted: #2663

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET early 2Q, Bengals ball driving....BENGALS +21.5 -250 touchdown !!  bengals lead 21-14 and now they are favs ! @KellyM_1964      Jags will score and will tie the game...then eventually win it outright. If it gets close enough I may even take the Jags SU to set up a middle! They might even cover the -9.5 pregame lines.  But I am confident my +21.5 alt-line has at least a 5 to 1 chance of covering, and your +14.5 line probably around 4 to 1.... NO GUARANTEES THOUGH!!! Game could just as easily explode in Jags favor!

HUGE BREAK for Jags in the RZ....then an easy TD to take the lead.....BUT Bengals are outplaying them!  Almost 100+ more net yards and a whopping 8.1 ypp to Jags only 5.6 ypp.......

Jags in a hole now backed to their own 6 

 

 
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Posted: #2664

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET early 2Q, Bengals ball driving....BENGALS +21.5 -250 touchdown !!  bengals lead 21-14 and now they are favs ! @KellyM_1964      Jags will score and will tie the game...then eventually win it outright. If it gets close enough I may even take the Jags SU to set up a middle! They might even cover the -9.5 pregame lines.  But I am confident my +21.5 alt-line has at least a 5 to 1 chance of covering, and your +14.5 line probably around 4 to 1.... NO GUARANTEES THOUGH!!! Game could just as easily explode in Jags favor! HUGE BREAK for Jags in the RZ....then an easy TD to take the lead.....BUT Bengals are outplaying them!  Almost 100+ more net yards and a whopping 8.1 ypp to Jags only 5.6 ypp....... Jags in a hole now backed to their own 6

Bengals ball at midfield after the punt.......Anyone interested in the hometown heavy favs now, with a TD lead, the line is down to only -850

 
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Posted: #2665

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:    i have this feeling jags will drop theproverbial football on primetime and blow a cover at least

 

@KellyM_1964  

A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!!

  After Bengals just earned yet another score to tie it in the 4th, it's not looking good at all for heavy home fav JAGS to cover their spread and now just winning is iffy!!   Bengals clearly regained the momentum

 
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Posted: #2666

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:    i have this feeling jags will drop theproverbial football on primetime and blow a cover at least   @KellyM_1964   A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!! 

 

After Bengals just earned yet another score to tie it in the 4th, it's not looking good at all for heavy home fav JAGS to cover their spread and now just winning is iffy!!   Bengals clearly regained the momentum

  Jags driving as we get toward the middle of 4thQ, and the line on them is around -750  even though the score is tied!

 

 
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Posted: #2667

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:    i have this feeling jags will drop theproverbial football on primetime and blow a cover at least   @KellyM_1964   A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!!    After Bengals just earned yet another score to tie it in the 4th, it's not looking good at all for heavy home fav JAGS to cover their spread and now just winning is iffy!!   Bengals clearly regained the momentum  Jags driving as we get toward the middle of 4thQ, and the line on them is around -750  even though the score is tied!
Lawrence hurt bigly......sucks...... CHANGES EVERYTHING!!!  I am getting some buy backs now as a tie game without their starting QB looks more favorable for Bengals; LIVE BET 4thQ  Bengals +125   10u

 
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Posted: #2668

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:    i have this feeling jags will drop theproverbial football on primetime and blow a cover at least   @KellyM_1964   A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!!    After Bengals just earned yet another score to tie it in the 4th, it's not looking good at all for heavy home fav JAGS to cover their spread and now just winning is iffy!!   Bengals clearly regained the momentum  Jags driving as we get toward the middle of 4thQ, and the line on them is around -750  even though the score is tied!Lawrence hurt bigly......sucks...... CHANGES EVERYTHING!!!  I am getting some buy backs now as a tie game without their starting QB looks more favorable for Bengals; LIVE BET 4thQ  Bengals +125   10u
 

 

Lawrence had to be helped off the field  an_speechless  paint_help

 

 
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Posted: #2669

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:    i have this feeling jags will drop theproverbial football on primetime and blow a cover at least   @KellyM_1964   A distinct possibility!  The line on Bengals crossing a key number of 10 is now available for cheap, which I am seriously considering. Even better might be getting them on alt-line for +14.5 at around -195/-205 range!  Last Thursday Dallas was a solid -9 home fav with a large home vs road edge and not only failed to cover but almost lost the game!  It can happen no doubt.  Meanwhile Bengals road record is no worse than Jaguars home record!!    After Bengals just earned yet another score to tie it in the 4th, it's not looking good at all for heavy home fav JAGS to cover their spread and now just winning is iffy!!   Bengals clearly regained the momentum  Jags driving as we get toward the middle of 4thQ, and the line on them is around -750  even though the score is tied!Lawrence hurt bigly......sucks...... CHANGES EVERYTHING!!!  I am getting some buy backs now as a tie game without their starting QB looks more favorable for Bengals; LIVE BET 4thQ  Bengals +125   10u    Lawrence had to be helped off the field

FGA range with less than 3 mins left ......I gotta go with the momentum here..... LIVE BET: BENGALS -275 *BB 3u

 
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Posted: #2670

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

ya    i took bengals at +14.5

@KellyM_1964

Another winner for you, pal!  thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #2671

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: ya    i took bengals at +14.5 @KellyM_1964 Another winner for you, pal!

I need Jags to win.....I think....

 
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Posted: #2672

W+1.0u     BENGALS +21.5 -250
 L -12.25u   LIVE BET: JAGS -245                       *BB 5u
W+12.5u   LIVE BET 4thQ Bengals +125 10u
W+3.0u     LIVE BET: BENGALS -275                *BB 3u

 

MNF = 3 - 1   +4.25u

 
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Posted: #2673

So as we wrap up the MNF game that Bengals won in OT,

one thing is for sure - it was not scripted or "rigged"

 

The other thing is the Bengals did outplay the Jags including all the period Lawrence was still in the game (final miuntes of regulation)

After an EQUAL number of meaningful drives by both teams:

Bengals net yds 491  vs Jags 376

Bengals ypp  6.8  vs Jags 5.5 ypp

Long drives? Bengals  6 vs Jags 5

3rd efficiency? Bengals 57%  vs Jags only 40%

And despite Jags gaining the lucky benefit of the game's ONLY turnover (at the Cinci 9 yd line for a freebie TD) and facing a rookie QB replacing Burrow,  Jags still lost - at HOME - as a 10 pt fav.

 

Well done, Browning and the Bengals! an_clap

 

 

 
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Posted: #2674

Fubah's NFL WEEK 13:

W+1.0u    K'Boys -432
W+1.0u    K'Boys -2.5 -400
W+1.0u    LIVE BET mid 1Q, Dallas -275
W+1.0u    Seahawks alt-line +11.5 -325 (got my middle!!)
  L -3.0u    SEAHAWKS -1.5+110 3u
W+1.0u    BET: Both teams to score 25+ ? Yes -235
W+5.0u    SEAHAWKS 3rdQ +.5 -150 5u
W+1.0u     Titans +3.5 -165
  L-2.62u   Steelers -262                            *BB
W+1.0u    Texans -170
W+1.0u    TEXANS -235                             *BB
W+1.0u    TEXANS -2.5 -400
W+1.0u    RAMS -175                                 *BB
W+1.0u    RAMS -1 -165                             *BB
W+1.0u    RAMS -1.5 -155                           *BB
W+1.0u    RAMS -2 - 145
W+1.0u    Both teams to score 15+? YES -320
W+1.0u    GB +7.5 -334
W+1.0u    BENGALS +21.5 -250
 L-12.25u   LIVE BET: JAGS -245                   *BB 5u
W+12.5u   LIVE BET 4thQ Bengals +125 10u
W+3.0u     LIVE BET: BENGALS -275             *BB 3u

= 19 - 3  +18.63u     an_woo     (5 - 2 *Best Bets)

 
 
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Posted: #2675

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

 

Fubah's  NFL WEEK 13:

= 19 - 3  +18.63u     an_woo    (5 - 2 *Best Bets)

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