....And DL Highsmith is hurt too! If he can't continue HUGE lucky break for Pats! He is now officially QUESTIONABLE to return!!!! PATS score to go up 14 - 3...
I've seen enough to feel reasonably confident with a LIVE BET here including juice:
....And DL Highsmith is hurt too! If he can't continue HUGE lucky break for Pats! He is now officially QUESTIONABLE to return!!!! PATS score to go up 14 - 3...
I've seen enough to feel reasonably confident with a LIVE BET here including juice:
In my capping I frequently find value in betting a heavy fav. But NOT ATS!
Check this out (using VI as source)
Heavy HOME favs (-7.5 or more) from Week 4 until today: 12 - 12 ATS = loser
but...
10 - 0 SU on HOME FAVS of10.5+(yes, heavy moneylines)
Here's the thing: the HOME FAV ML vigs are very large on most, but a cheaper deal can be had by buying points down to -3....still large ML but not as bad, and the result so far would have been 10 - 0
In my capping I frequently find value in betting a heavy fav. But NOT ATS!
Check this out (using VI as source)
Heavy HOME favs (-7.5 or more) from Week 4 until today: 12 - 12 ATS = loser
but...
10 - 0 SU on HOME FAVS of10.5+(yes, heavy moneylines)
Here's the thing: the HOME FAV ML vigs are very large on most, but a cheaper deal can be had by buying points down to -3....still large ML but not as bad, and the result so far would have been 10 - 0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.
Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.
Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Injuries piling up for 49ers against a betting line that has increased!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Injuries piling up for 49ers against a betting line that has increased!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Injuries piling up for 49ers against a betting line that has increased!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 32 - 7 on all PRE-GAME bets of -270 juice or more Star TE Goedert is back for Eagles on Sunday! Star Denver RB Perine highly questionable as well as Walker for Seattle.Saints have mounting injuries but Derek Carr is cleared for action.
Injuries piling up for 49ers against a betting line that has increased!
NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results...
NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results...
Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game.
...most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better
Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game.
...most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game....most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better
...for that to happen, Seattle will have to go up by a TD ....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game....most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better
...for that to happen, Seattle will have to go up by a TD ....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game....most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better...for that to happen, Seattle will have to go up by a TD ....
...also leaning toward Dolphins but the ML and spread are too much
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Also, lean to 9ers, but only on an alt-line if at all....or I will look for other opps in game....most likely that will be a play on SF with an alt-line resembling -2 or -3 with a vig no worse than maybe -350 give or take at maximum..........smaller the better...for that to happen, Seattle will have to go up by a TD ....
...also leaning toward Dolphins but the ML and spread are too much
Fubah's super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings for Week 12: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Fubah's super-duper-pooper, deep-dive-forensic, totally friggin awesome, fully guaranteed NFL Ratings for Week 12: (in ranked order left to right within each tier)
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyone
@fubah2 If you're convinced you're going to lose this week why bother betting so many? You doubled up on three teams
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyone
@fubah2 If you're convinced you're going to lose this week why bother betting so many? You doubled up on three teams
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyone
LIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyone
LIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275
All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275
All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!
LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240
and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!
LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240
and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240 and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
VERY LUCKY COLTS gain a pick-6 off a tipped ball.... to come from behind 0 - 14 to tie the game....... Meanwhile RAMS playing above their heads in the wet conditions. Ravens in a much tougher fight than expected and the game looks dead even now.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240 and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
VERY LUCKY COLTS gain a pick-6 off a tipped ball.... to come from behind 0 - 14 to tie the game....... Meanwhile RAMS playing above their heads in the wet conditions. Ravens in a much tougher fight than expected and the game looks dead even now.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240 and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
2 min warning LIVE BET, Rams lead 17 - 14 and driving: RAMS +8.5 -400
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Week 13: 19 - 3 +18.63u ( 5 - 2 *Best Bets!)Week 12: 24 - 7 +25.52u (17 - 4 *Best Bets!)Week 11: 17 - 4 +45.80u (10 - 1 *Best Bets!) TNF: 1 - 2 -1.0u = 61 - 16 +88.95u (32 - 8 *Best Bets!) Posted NFL bets just from recent 3 weeks! Fubah's NFL week 14: NOTE: I am expecting this will likely be "regression week" after running a super HOT streak the past 3 weeks. I am chopping down my bet sizing accordingly! Seen this movie many times before, so I've learned hard lessons from it. Obviously no *Best Bets when I anticipate losses coming... This applies to anyone in a similar situation. Skipping this week would NOT sidestep the regression. It has to come sooner or later on my NFL bets because I am way over my usual profit margin! There is no avoiding regression to my usual mean. In this situation all one can do is ride it out by chopping down the bet sizes to minimize the losing results... Browns -1 -156 Browns -165 Saints -266 Bengals -2 -106 Bengals -128 Ravens -3 -290 Ravens -336 BoL on Sunday everyoneLIVE BET early 1Q Chicago just scored: Both teams to score 15+? YES -275 All everything for CHIEFS, RB Pacheco is OUT today vs desperate Bills!LIVE BET early 2Q, RAMS just scored, 10 - 7: Both teams to score 15+? YES -240 and RAMS +10.5 -390 alt-line Looking for the middle!
2 min warning LIVE BET, Rams lead 17 - 14 and driving: RAMS +8.5 -400
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