🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

  Sorry but ROI is not a stat I keep track of in my sports handicapping because I believe it to be a poor measure of one's skill set.

It's a tool that might be used well in other areas, such as investments, but not sports-handicapping, imo.

Do you feel differently?   If so, how/why?

In any case, if anyone needs to know, it's easy enough to look it up as I have conveniently listed all my bets in this thread and recapped all the wins and losses

Arizona Cardinals defensive end J.J. Watt will retire after the 2022 season, the three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year announced on Tuesday.

Watt said he played his “last ever” home game this past Sunday, a 19-16 overtime loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

@fubah2

 good luck 

WEEK 16 results:

= 11 - 5        4 - 3 *Best Bets

WEEK 16 results:

Loss  Jets +3.5-222
Loss  BROWNS -150             *Best Bet
W   49ers -1 -291
W   RAVENS -290               *Best Bet
W   PANTHERS +3.5-143
W   COWBOYS -212           *Best Bet
W   BUFFALO -2.5-300
Loss Titans -185                  *Best Bet
W   CHIEFS -3.5-269
W   CAROLINA +4.5-200
Loss CLEVELAND -1-170
W   BALTIMORE -2.5 -260    *Best Bet
W   NINERS -307                 *Best Bet
Loss Dolphins -180                *Best Bet
W   Rams -165
W   Chargers -2-162

= 11 - 5                          4 - 3 *Best Bets

YTD   70 - 27           (41 - 18 *Best Bets)

ROI can easily be misleading toward a better bottom line. 

Jets moved from +1 road dogs to -2.5 road favs at Seattle.

Both teams equally desperate for a win.

@fubah2     

R.I.P.  Barbara Walters

nice job man

happy holidays

Thank you, sir!  GL with your bets this weekend and HAPPY NEW YEAR!

  YTD  70 - 27           (41 - 18 *Best Bets)

For Sunday, January 1, 2023 

I have several games circled as GOOD bets, but pending updated pregame injury info.   Definitely passing on the Broncos/Chiefs as I suspect KC will only just do enough to win then rest people and allow a backdoor cover.

And passing on the JAX/Texans game as it truly is unclear how long Trevor Lawrence stays in the game if he even plays at all.  And he appears to be the difference maker. Meanwhile, Houston has played decent the past 3 weeks and could keep it very close even if Lawrence does play all game.

Going to pass on the Bears/Lions too.  Just don't see an edge vs that line and the juice is too much to risk on the Lions when Fields could have a terrific game and Goff could have an "off" game vs a supposedly much weaker opponent. 

Lining up my early bets now as injury info and new odds come in.

Bets to follow . . .

YTD   70 - 27          (41 - 18 *Best Bets)

Sunday, January 1, 2023:  

EAGLES -230   ....I expect Saints could make it a nailbiter whatwith the Eagles heavily naged-up D-Line

... more bets to follow ...

@fubah2

 quite the win-loss record  !

gl today  

Good luck, Fubah2! 

Adding:

   .....Brady sucks....the team sucks.....they are playing poorly....one-dimensional .....heavily bandaged BUCS defense against a determined Panthers team.....therefore: Buccaneers -185

 ....more coming...

FALCONS -2.5-235 (buying pts of course)   Cards could ruin the party though and the Falcons are extremely thin on the OL now!

....more coming...

Passing on Miami/Patriots.......Bridegwater makes this a coin flipper

GIANTS -2.5-190 (buying pts)  *BEST BET .....I may be sweating out this one right down to the wire, as I prefer finding value on the moneylines where possible.... and playing desperate the GIANTS could find a way to fckup everything

One more . . .

Riskiest bet of the day:

Washington -120    .....change of QB.... secondary looks vulnerable.....CAUTION HERE but just makes the grade