🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

HT shtats:  Good Guys lead 10 - 7

1st downs:   BUFFY 13  -  9     *but Den had extra drive
Net yards:    BUFFY 189 - 161  *but Den had extra drive
OFF YPP:     DEN 6.7 - 5.4
Turnovers:       none
48+yd drives:    2  -  2    *but Den had extra drive
Penalty yds:      neg

BUFFY gets the ball to start 2H

@Europa

 Game 2....I have rated as a near EVEN MATCHUP but with a modest edge to the homies to win SU. However my stats suggest the line should only be -3.5 or -4.0 based on those small edges.... So, there may be value in a +5.5 dog (notwithstanding any missing players/walking wounded yet to be accounted for on either team)

BUT  it's a close call for me....This another game where I prefer the idea of waiting to see if I can get 7.5 point middle shot if it presents itself...

BoL with your bets today, my friend!

After BRONCOS just punted mid 3Q....

Denver has had 5 possessions and scored on ONE of them

BILLS have had only 4 possessions and scored on 3 of them...

Denver has had 6 possessions and scored on only ONE of them

BILLS have had only 5 possessions and scored on 4 of them...

UPDATE!

Denver has had 6 possessions and scored on only ONE of them

My BILLS have also had 6 possessions but scored on 5 of them...

i dropped 0.5 unit at Bills +17 before their latest TD to hedge. 

*

  My 2024 weekly results:
-----------------------------------------------------------

Week 01:   1 - 0
Week 02:   3 - 1     (Loser: -115)
Week 03:   5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
Week 04:   6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
Week 05:   5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
Week 06:   6 - 0
Week 07:   8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
Week 08:   5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125) 
Week 09:   9 - 8  (Losers: -105; +1.5 -120; +17.5 -250; +3 -142; +3.5 -150; -150; +3.5 -180; -105)
Week 10:   6 - 4    (Losers: *-4 -140; +120; +8 -128; *-127)
Week 11:  16 - 6     (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
Week 12:   8 - 1    (Loser: *-7.5 -125)
Week 13:   7 - 4    (Losers: *-118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
Week 14:   5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
Week 15:   5 - 1      (Loser: -125 hedge bet)
Week 16:   3 - 1    (Loser: +8.5 -152)
Week 17:   6 - 3    (Losers: *+3 -140; +0.5 -138; *+12.5 -175 hedge bet)
Week 18:   6 - 3    (Losers: ATL -3 -290; GB -3 -345; *under 43.5 -334)

Playoffs:   3 - 0  

YTD:  113 - 45      [35 - 11  *Best Bets!!]

67 -  8   ( 8 losses add up to -2196) when posted bet juice is -200 and up
46 - 37   (37 losses add up to -5043) when posted bet juice is under -199

       (ie, total -7239 from posted juice on 45 losers vs. 110 winners)

Bet on BILLS -270 ML pending

</

Looks like Denver's players are quitting, unless Bills let Broncos score a back door TD, my Denver +17.5 teaser is smoked. 

I’m smoking cigars and counting money ?? 

@RayRayK

   ...uhhh.....YA, buddy!!    GOOD.   ON.   YOU!!

Perhaps a fine beverage of choice, or two!

Fubah, either way, my teaser is going forward or my Bills +17 play cashed in or pushed. 

@fubah2

 Hey Fubah, any ideas on late games need some help!!!!!!

@mikelinna

Wish I could help......but I have BOTH these games rated a coin-flip on the spread, with only a very thin edge to the home teams SU....

I'm only looking to MAYBE play LIVE BETS, if at all....

Maybe just enjoying a game and not trying to force bets on near coin-flips is the wise play.

I DO have VIKINGS tomorrow...

So which way were you leaning and why?

                *Best Bet WINNER!!

TY, FUSE!   BoL with your bets today!!

Interesting stat, FYI ...

Chargers START with the ball   and LOSE 12 - 32

Steelers START with the ball   and LOSE 14 - 28

Broncos START with the ball   and LOSE  7 - 31

... Packers STARTED with the ball ...

@fubah2

 Fubah … do you think this gets away from the Pack?  Not many positives, but can’t get a whole lot worse. 

Feeling comfy with Eagles and the way this defense is playing. Cheers 

Late 2Q Eagles lead 10 - 0 after getting their 2nd BIG LUCKY BREAK on a missed FG

I think your bet will be just fine,  JJ

Jan 11 - 13  WildCards:

W  still 6 - 0 LAC mid 2Q...LA driving...LIVE BET: highest scoring half? 2nd -350
W  mid 3Q...Texans ball...LIVE BET:   Houston -215
W  RAVENS -6 -182 alt-line, pinnacle (pre-game posted bet)

W  down 0 - 7...LIVE BET: BILLS -270  *BB

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

Thank You, PG!

Hope your bets are winning!