🏈🏈🏈 “to bet, or not to bet, that is the question” ...fubah2's risky bets

Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 5:23 PM ET #1455

Quote Originally Posted by Merle_iv:

Curious what your thoughts are on raiders -3. I wish i got them when they are dogs. But theres alot of factors going in their direction this game

Hi!

It is my firm belief the Steelers are riding a bogus high after a VERY fortuitous win AT HOME against the BROWNS playing without CHUBB.... Meanwhile Garoppolo and the Raiders are primed for a bounceback from 2 consecutive road games - the last one an embarrassing rout albeit to a TOP 6 elite team in their park..... I dunno we should put too much into that rout-loss! It's deceiving imo. Raiders have a SOLID QB, and finally at home the Raider D will make likely noise all over the luckyass Steelers...... of course more lucky breaks and Ts can flip a game, but I believe Raiders win -- by 3 or more...... My opinion then is I would rather you got a smaller number because having a bit of a cushion is desirable, but 3 might be ok here...

cool Is that more or less the way you were thinking too?

Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:15 PM ET #1466

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Well there ya go.......

Browns 20 first downs vs Steelers only 9

Browns 408 net yards vs Steelers only 255

Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens

Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)

We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....

Oh yes......and one other important point about how incredibly LUCKY the Steelers were to be outplayed badly and still win....All-star RB for Cleveland, Nick Chubb was carted off the field just one minute into the 2ndQ........that early in the game and he had already AMASSED 64 yds rushing on just 10 carries!!! IN ONE QUARTER!!!

Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited. Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D...

Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6

i did grab the raiders after watching the game then reading that . thanks peace_5

u got a badbeat with your ravens pick but i think quite fortunate to get the packers win

gl tonite clover raiders roll win

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump

fubah2

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Posts: 31154

Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:21 PM ET #1467

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Well there ya go....... Browns 20 first downs vs Steelers only 9 Browns 408 net yards vs Steelers only 255 Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts) We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas..... Oh yes......and one other important point about how incredibly LUCKY the Steelers were to be outplayed badly and still win....All-star RB for Cleveland, Nick Chubb was carted off the field just one minute into the 2ndQ........that early in the game and he had already AMASSED 64 yds rushing on just 10 carries!!! IN ONE QUARTER!!! Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited. Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D... Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6 i did grab the raiders after watching the game then reading that . thanks u got a badbeat with your ravens pick but i think quite fortunate to get the packers win gl tonite raiders roll

In that case I really hope YOu win your bet! an_2drinks

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:39 PM ET #1468

S L O W start tonight.....

Keep in mind for the statsheet that Steelers began with the first drive so if they finish the half in possession that means their stats may be skewed in comparison

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:53 PM ET #1469

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Well there ya go.......

Browns 20 first downs vs Steelers only 9

Browns 408 net yards vs Steelers only 255

Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens

Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)

We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....

Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited.

Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D...

Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6

an_light Raiders played EVEN with the Broncos in Denver, but got steamrolled by an elite angry BILLS team coming off a horrible performance.Both those games were on the road but Sunday Night primetime they get the spotlight at home against the very lucky Steelers. Steelers had the luxury of playing 2 consecutive HOME games. They got steamrolled by an elite team, the Niners....then we all witnessed their performance on Monday night - being badly outplayed but getting incredibly lucky..... When they meet Sunday night in primetime, the Raiders will have their #2 WR back in the lineup!! And like any decent QB, I fully expect Garroppolo to bounce back with a SOLID outing! When my books put the lines up I will be all over duuhh Raaaayyyduuuhhhs for a *BEST BET

For a moment it looked like the very lucky Steelers woulg gain the first big lucky break on a fumble.

Nope. Instead both teams EARNED their 7 points.

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Well there ya go.......

Browns 20 first downs vs Steelers only 9

Browns 408 net yards vs Steelers only 255

Browns flagged for 50 more yds in pens

Lucky Steelers gain net of +2 turnovers, both for TDs (unearned pts)

We all shall remember these key PERFORMANCE stats when assessing next week's matchups when Browns are at home to Titans and the outplayed and VERY LUCKY STEELERS travel to Vegas.....

Cleveland led 11 - 7 at the time he exited.

Obviously THAT hampered the Browns and helped the Steelers. But despite that loss of production the Browns still managed all those stats shown above against the bumbling Steeler D...

Remember, the opening pts of the game - just 10 seconds into the game - was a defensive TD after a DOUBLE-TIPPED fluky bounce ball for a pick 6

For a moment it looked like the very lucky Steelers woulg gain the first big lucky break on a fumble.

Nope. Instead both teams EARNED their 7 points.

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:54 PM ET #1470

Strange the way covers message boxes are working here

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 8:55 PM ET #1471

LOL an_roll_laugh

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 9:02 PM ET #1472

WOW! FIRST BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to Pittsburgh as DB Marcus Peters drops a wide open guaranteed pick 6.

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 9:16 PM ET #1473

SECOND significant break also goes to the very lucky Steelers with an INT at their own 30 to snuff a scoring drive...

So that plus the dropped pick 6 by Peters.

Steelers should be down 7 pts right now....instead, as luck often has it, most likely now the lucky Steelers will march downfield and score

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 24, 2023 - 11:14 PM ET #1474

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Start week YTD 9 - 5WEEK 3 NFL: W Niners -555 *BEST BET winnerW Buffalo -240W Lions -1 -165 W Miami -2 -270 W Dolphins -260Loss Vikings -110Loss Ravens -375 W Packers -125 *BEST BET winnerp GreenBay -1Loss Dallas -200 *BEST BET lossW Seattle -215 W Seattle -1.5 -225 *BEST BET winner pending LV Raiders +1 -115 *BEST BETpending Las Vegas -125 ml *BEST BET *Caveat: nothing is a sure thing! Beware: These might lose... Which is why I NEVER ask members to tail my bets..... PS. I will respect the forum by NOT cluttering-it-up with a whole bunch of unnecessary new threads every week, but instead I post all my bets conveniently in just THIS thread.

Two more losing bets. Turns an 8 - 5 week into a small loss overall with juice.

fubah2

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Posted: Sep. 25, 2023 - 12:27 PM ET #1475

Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL today @fubah2

Thanks. You too!

Some UNDECIDED early leans for NFL week 4 pending injury updates:

Titans ?? - maybe not as bad as they looked @Cleveland

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