🏴🚩 PROPS NATION 🚩🏴 13-12 (52%)ytd - Don't Fade Me yet...I'm Just Warming Up

Thursday Night - Would like to make a point about 2 unit play, My theory was dead on RIGHT, James Robinson was being underutilized and he was there entire offense that week. If I had the option to play Rush+receiving I would of. My point is that with props, you can follow angles/plays but make the wrong bet. Would be concerned if I was totally wrong about everything. I checked last season and started the year 1-6, and didn't really get going until 3rd week of betting, just need to get away from "Even Steven"

LEANS - NOT LOCKED IN TILL BOOK OPENS AROUND 8:30

ALLEN ROBINSON OVER 53.5 REC YARDS 

-LOVE THIS PLAY, one of favorites so far this season

-Between BAD QB play and even worse matchups, Robinson has done nothing all season.

-Against Browns, Bears had 47 total yards of offense and he accounted for 27 of them on 6 targets

-Robinson leads the team with a 33.3% target share with Justin Fields in, Lions defense and especially secondary is one of worst in league

TIM PATRICK OVER 53.5 REC YARDS 

-Facing Tavon Young 5'9 185 VS TP 6'5 210

-KJ Hamler just went down to injury so more target share

-his average depth of target of 11.1 yards downfield

Deebo Samuel OVER 5.5 Catches or OVER 70.5 Rec Yards 

-Kittle is out this game

-Targets per game 12, 8, 10 with yards 189, 93, 52

-Matchup Advantage against a suspect Seahawks secondary

running out of time and will be back after plays locked in

Kareem Hunt OVER 17.5 Rec Yards 

DJ Moore OVER 77.5 Rec Yards 

Beckham OVER 64.5 Rec Yards 

Terry Mclaurin OVER 65.5 Rec Yards 

Justin Jefferson OVER 84.5 Rec Yards 

Kyle Pitts OVER Anytime Td score +230 

Tell me why not to drop the house on AB over 54.5 for SNF

Really love this prop

@dynamicz

 I can see the angle and the "whys" of the play.

Gronk is out, so target share will go up and this should be somewhat high scoring affair.

My projections have it right around the number.

Devils advocate - Pats defense has actually been good and they know AB well from being a past teammate.

I think its a good play and might even play it myself but wouldn't say its a Slam dunk PUT 4 UNITS ON IT IS MY STANCE

Hey there coach, hows life in the fast lane? Hope all is well.What did ya think about y man TRavis going off today against the great Eagles,. Shouldnt he hit the over 89 yards recieving? Looks too good to me. Phili D Blows and if they throw to him atleast 5 times he beats that number. 

@STLcoach

 Thank you for the insight brother. Gronk being out made it an autoplay for me.

Pats D is great for sure. My only thing is who is getting blanketed? Imo, gotta be Evans. To me, it's a coinflip for Godwin or AB to be the go-to

@SelectivePlayer

Whats going on bro! Happy Sunday to ya

I think its a REAL SOLID play, he should have Eric Wilson Of Philly covering him and he has gotten somewhat gashed all year.

PFF had a matchup Advantage of 93% if that says anything at all

Devils Advocate - Most bet TE in Props and they always cook his number up a bit and really comes down to either he has a big game or Hill.

They rarely both over yards so its like a coinflip.

I say play it and it should hit, I might even play it as well!

 I would much rather play the yardage here instead of catches as he has to have a few nice gainers today even though his numbers are inflated both sides. Looks too easy today. You know me 1 play for the eyeballs. Either i win or lose. All or nothing. Thats me in a nutshell. No wasting any ammo on likes. Has to be LOVES!!!!!

 LOCKED IN

ALLEN ROBINSON OVER 52.5 REC YARDS

-ONCE AGAIN love this play

DEEBO SAMUEL OVER 69.5 Rec Yards

-wanted to play catches here but -155

K HUNT OVER 17.5 Rec Yards

-Think Minny gives them a TOUGH game, will need him in pass game

DJ MOORE OVER 78.5 Rec Yards

-This is a really bad matchup for Dallas Dbs, I think he gets loose for a 40+ catch

JUSTIN JEFFERSON OVER 84.5 Rec Yards

-Tough matchup somewhat, but he matchup proof and think he eats 

No on Allen Robinson,he’s gotta show a pulse 1st,no on DJMoore,Diggs on him……gl

If your gonna go with someone that has done nothing this year,go with Robbie Anderson,other Dallas db’s stink

HARD LEANS

Terry Mclaurin OVER 65.5 Rec Yards 

TIM PATRICK OVER 53.5 REC YARDS

Kyle Pitts OVER Anytime Td score +230 (Cant bet TDs at my book for day games..que eye roll)

BECKHAM OVER 4.5 CATCHES BUT DONT WANT MORE THAN TO SHARES OF THAT GAME

Kittle is going to play.

@DelcoPIc

 Ahh buy you're thinking like "joe Public"

Its about knowing when to strike and getting the best value for it.

Sure you can say he hasn't done anything and correct, BUT also look at the Matchups and Bears playing a ton of QBs at that time.

I look for Angles and follow certain situations and pound it when i think the books haven't caught or baked into number.

Might hit before halftime

@DelcoPIc

I love the Diggs play and about played it myself.

DJ Moore went for 126 last game, 79 week 2, and 80 week 1

He also has had 31 targets during that time, just feel his speed will be a big problem for Dallas. 

Right an the book loves dopes that keep going back to the well.

@DelcoPIc

  Now why in the world do you have to call my buddy or anybody a dope. Coach always backs up his plays with numbers. That doesnt give you the right to call him a dope, or refer to him negatively. The man has a good opinion and always backs it up with stats. Are you like that Contrarian guy that just loves to be contrary?

Believe I gave reason y I wouldn’t play those 2 ,like some others but don’t get your panties all wet.sweetie 

ok sweetie u want facts,he gave good 1’s on Moore,but didn’t give Robinson’s great stats……ready 6/35,2/24,2/27….I realize someone can hit 1 week ,I’m just saying he has to show me before I blow dough on it.

@pollaxt

 Saw that, has its positives and negatives cause it could help draw coverage away

@DelcoPIc

 Come back with some actual Clout, then you can start talking trash my friend.

Go back last year and check my record out, you will never get on that level bro!

So one more time, gets some street cred/clout/respect or whatever, then I might listen to ya.

Every week I have some idiot like yourself come in and say uneducated football picks with no backing.

You entitled to your opinion, so go make your own post and "drop knowledge on people" see how man views you get lol 

@STLcoach

 Good luck brother thanks for always posting.  Anyone following your picks over the last year knows whats up.  Long season, I just hope you keep posting.   LFG

Views,ok u got me

@DelcoPIc

Exactly you post your picks and people view them, pretty simple concept

Like I said post your own picks and get some cred first, cause you got none son.

Just a little bitch talking trash behind his computer

@mjack

Ohh I will! Trolls don't bother me one bit

That was a good 1st half of football too!