🚩 PROPS NATION 🚩 7-5 (58%) YTD

After a rusty 1-4 start to the day, came back STRONG with a 5-2 finish.

Got some strong plays today gentlemen, week 3 is all about people breaking out of slumps and HOT players become cold so beware cause the books might of caught them.

MY BOOK DOESNT OPEN TILL 8:30-9, SO THESE ARE MY LEANS THUS FAR

STRONG LEANS

JULIO JONES OVER 62 REC YARDS

-Facing a very poor colts pass defense and Julio is becoming more of the offense every play

-Mainly is the number and his matchup advantage (75% PFF) against these corners

-He will face Travis Carrie, who is allowing a 19% target rate (76th percentile), 75% catch rate (64th percentile)

DK METCALF OVER 76 REC YARDS - might play just td too

-Everyone on here knows I'm a DKM fanboy, I'm a huge draft guy and knew whomever got him would be a steal (story on why, another time)

-So you say Tyler Lockett is getting all the yards, catches, TDs...Lockett has just converted more and they have been double high safety Metcalf

-Corner Watch: Breeland allowing 75% of his targets to be caught (64th percentile) while Alexander gives up a 90% catch rate (92nd percentile).

-He rarely goes more than 2 games without a TD or 100 yard game, bottomline "he gunna Eat"

J JEFFERSON OVER 75 REC YARDS

-JJ is becoming one of the elite receivers of the game, besides Cook he is there offense

-had at least 9 targets each game, think he really busts out in a high scoring wing the ball down field type game

-Really like the projections as well

SAQUAN BARKLEY OVER 64 RUSH YARDS (really its come to this??)

-So I have been monitoring this since week 1 and when the time to bet barkley with a books adjustment

-1st game he played 48% snaps, 2nd 84%, and now prob 95%+

-This number is absolutely absurd against a falcons defense that is LAST in the league at just about everything

-He is coming off 10 days rest, what more you want! If he breaks out its this game

OTHER LEANS

SUTTON OVER 64 REC YARDS

-Been a target monster with Juedy gone and love the matchup

-Most likely finished around 80-85

KEENAN ALLEN OVER 6.5 CATCHES

-LOVE THIS PLAY, but depends on number if its 6.5 SMASH it

-Other than that I still think he hits the yards and will be standout in high scoring affair

AUSTIN EKLER OVER 4.5 CATCHES

-LOVE THIS PLAY, but depends on number if its 4.5 SMASH it

-Ohh no 2 guys from the same team?? who cares this will be in the 60s for sure and chargers will be throwing..ALOT

Hey there St Louis.............................Did you look at Justin Herbert completions...... Over 26.5, i think is mortal. You know me, 1 or 2 plays max. Good Luck with your plays today my old buddy!

@SelectivePlayer

Happy Sunday to ya friend! 

I think its a very SOLID play, thing is that pass completions always BURN me.

Try to stick what works for ole coach Receiving/Rushing yards, Catches, anytime Tds

When I did the math on it was right at the number.

Reason I'm wary of that game, the books know everyone and mother will be betting those props so they kinda juiced

I did get Allen at 6.5 receptions, when i scrolled down to bet it was already at-130 then went to -150 in like 10 seconds if that is to say anything about the action

@SelectivePlayer

 I also like Travis Kelce to Score a TD in that game.

The more I look and think about it and think you're right bro is a great bet

Get em today buddy! Have Dk as one of my top 3 plays today as well. Good luck! 

FINAL CARD

--JULIO JONES OVER 64.5 REC YARDS

--KEENAN ALLEN OVER 6.5 CATCHES (-130)

--SAQUAN BARKLEY OVER 64.5 RUSH YARDS

--SUTTON OVER 65.5 REC YARDS

--J JEFFERSON OVER 78.5 REC YARDS

--KYLER MURRAY OVER RUSH YARDS 37.5 (+120) *pure value bet, +money and Tyrod ran 4-40 on them

--DK METCALF OVER 75.5 REC YARDS 

--GRONK OVER 40.5 REC YARDS * great matchup advantage and he will get fed

HOLY SHIT BOYS..THATS A BIG ASS CARD RIGHT THERE

@JetsFan86

 IM TELLING YOU BRO..thats my freaking dude and he has just been steps away from having a monster game.

You cant hold him down for more than 1-2 games, If I could bet anytime TD would SMASH that too

Good Luck today friend, and lets get this money!

Following you and Jet coach. Good luck

@Skydome

 My Man!

I know its a long list but sometimes I play alot and sometimes I play a liitle.

Lets open this shit up and get some wins bro, you got an favorites out his, mine, or your plays?

@SelectivePlayer

 So whats your final card looking like?

@STLcoach

 Agree. Legit said same thing in my post lol it’s hard to keep him down and he’s been relatively quiet for 2 games but I expect points to trade this game and I think we see a Dk blow up

FIRST WIN OF THE DAY

--KEENAN ALLEN OVER 6.5 CATCHES (-130)

@SelectivePlayer

 Ohh man did you take that?

26 total and it 26.5 right, tough break.

Like I said it was right at the number with projections

@STLcoach

  Yes sir another loser by a half of a reception. That one stung pretty bad. Cost me a ton. You know how i play 1 or 2 plays. That was the one.A slow swtarting game. We will have our fair share of winners. Thats why they call it gambling. Never cry there will be more good plays.Good Luck to your plays my friend.

Bam pay that Dk bet easyyyyyyy for us 

@SelectivePlayer

 Hope you took that DK yards over, EAZZZYYY MONEY

@JetsFan86

 should just put my whole stack on it! for some reason my site took TDS away from me

Very suspect

RECORD FOR THE DAY THUS FAR (4-3)

@STLcoach

 I played yours and Jets

  I am throwing up rigjt now because i lost my 1 play by .5 receptions on that Justin Herbert completions. Might have to take a shoton something in the prop for Green Bay game? Any loves here men?

@STLcoach

 Same here. Week 1 I had to score td bets. Week 2 had less and now I have none. Oh well there’s always bets to find if they take em away we find new avenues !

@SelectivePlayer

 Not trying to hijack coaches thread but often times we like the same bets. I love Aaron Jones recieving tonight . That’s my final play of the day

@JetsFan86

 Might join you on that or Debo Samuel recieving yards. Should have a good game against them. Lookng at number on that 69 yards. Like Over

@SelectivePlayer

 I like Deebo rushing if it’s under 10 but I don’t have that line. Like Jones more but I’d play deebo rushing if I had if

@JetsFan86

 You are talking about Debo Rushing, I mean recieving yards. He should go over 69 yds recieving vs Green Bay.